Champions League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Roma 3-4 Real Madrid: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Roma

3-4Full time

Real Madrid

Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Real Madrid win45% 3-4
Double chance Roma or Real Madrid (12)77% 3-4
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.562% 7 goals
More corners Roma49% Real Madrid (5-9)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Over53% 4.5 Under67% 5.5 Under81%
Corners Above average 14 corners · league 8.9
Corners 14 corners 8.5 Over60% 9.5 Under51% 10.5 Under62%

Match stats

Roma Real Madrid

3 Goals 4
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
5 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Roma vs Real Madrid, in the Champions League league phase, matchday 2, is at the Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday 14 October 2026. Our model picks Real Madrid to win, and also sees a double chance of Roma or Real Madrid (no draw).

Why this pick?

Our model's result pick is a Real Madrid win, mainly because Real Madrid stand clearly above the Champions League average on our strength rating while Roma are lower than them. The strongest point against it is Roma's home advantage at the Stadio Olimpico, which is a moderate concern. Even so, the gap in quality is plainly larger: Real Madrid have won all four head-to-head meetings since 2010, and their recent play shows them above the league average for big chances created and touches in the opposition box, while Roma sit below the average in that same measure and above it for big chances conceded. Still, this is a narrow call.

Form guide

Roma

D 0-0 at Como (A) Serie A · 11 Oct
D 2-2 vs Inter (H) Serie A · 19 Sep
W 2-0 at Torino (A) Serie A · 14 Sep
D 1-1 at Fenerbahçe (A) Champions League · 10 Sep
W 2-1 vs Atalanta (H) Serie A · 5 Sep

Real Madrid

W 1-0 vs Villarreal (H) LaLiga · 10 Oct
L 1-2 at Atlético Madrid (A) LaLiga · 20 Sep
W 3-2 at Elche (A) LaLiga · 15 Sep
W 4-1 vs Rayo Vallecano (H) LaLiga · 12 Sep
W 2-1 vs Inter (H) Champions League · 8 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

RomaReal Madrid

Attack 51 89 1.0 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 80 86 1.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.