Champions League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 AEK Athens: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Shakhtar Donetsk

3-1Full time

AEK Athens

Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Stamford Bridge, London

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result AEK Athens win43% 3-1
Double chance Shakhtar Donetsk or AEK Athens (12)77% 3-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.554% 4 goals
More corners Shakhtar Donetsk50% Shakhtar Donetsk (5-2)
Yellow cards Above average 5 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 3.5 Over64% 4.5 Under55% 5.5 Under72%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 8.9
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over54% 9.5 Under57% 10.5 Under67%

Match stats

Shakhtar Donetsk AEK Athens

3 Goals 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
5 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens brings Champions League league phase, matchday 2 football to Stamford Bridge on Wednesday 14 October 2026, and our model leans towards an AEK Athens win, with Shakhtar Donetsk or AEK Athens to win (no draw) as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model leans towards an AEK Athens win because our strength rating, based on long-run expected goals, puts AEK above Shakhtar Donetsk; both sit below the Champions League average, but Shakhtar are the lower of the two. The strongest argument on the other side is that Shakhtar have home advantage. AEK's recent league play backs the pick up: they are shooting more than their league average, creating big chances at a clearly higher rate and getting into the box more often. Shakhtar's attacking numbers run short of their league norm, with big chances well down, though they have conceded few chances lately, and that is why the call is narrow.

Form guide

Shakhtar Donetsk

W 3-0 at Veres Rivne (A) Premier League · 9 Oct
W 3-0 vs LNZ Cherkasy (H) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 2-0 vs Chornomorets Odesa (H) Premier League · 14 Sep
D 1-1 at PSV Eindhoven (A) Champions League · 10 Sep
W 2-1 at Karpaty (A) Premier League · 5 Sep

AEK Athens

W 3-0 vs OFI Crete (H) Super League 1 · 10 Oct
W 2-1 at NFC Volos (A) Super League 1 · 20 Sep
D 1-1 at Asteras Tripolis (A) Super League 1 · 13 Sep
W 1-0 vs LASK (H) Champions League · 8 Sep
W 5-0 vs Aris Thessaloniki (H) Super League 1 · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Shakhtar DonetskAEK Athens

Attack 9 11 1.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 14 46 1.0 conceded per match this season0.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.