FC Groningen 2-5 Ajax: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Match summary

FC Groningen vs Ajax is the Eredivisie Matchday 9 fixture on Sunday 18 October 2026: our pick is an Ajax win, and the double chance covers either side but not the draw.

Why this pick?

Ajax get the nod because our model's long-run strength rating places them clearly above the Eredivisie average and well ahead of Groningen, and over the last five matches they have been well clear of the league norm for shots, big chances and touches in the opposition box. The strongest argument on the other side is the Euroborg, where Groningen have home advantage behind them. That alone is not enough to tilt it: the gap in quality is wide enough to outweigh the venue, and the head-to-head record since 2010 agrees, with Ajax winning 23 of the 32 meetings. It is still a narrow call.

Both teams to score: We also expect both teams to score: Ajax's attack is among the strongest in the Eredivisie, and Groningen, at home, score slightly above the league average. The main argument the other way is Ajax's defence, which concedes less than most.