Eredivisie · Matchday 9 Match report

PEC Zwolle 4-1 Go Ahead Eagles: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

PEC Zwolle

4-1Full time

Go Ahead Eagles

Sunday 18 October 2026, 10:15 UTC MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle

Our picks against the result

11 of 13 right

Result Go Ahead Eagles win41% 4-1
Double chance PEC Zwolle or Go Ahead Eagles (12)73% 4-1
Both teams to score Yes61% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.563% 5 goals
More corners Go Ahead Eagles51% Go Ahead Eagles (5-6)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 2.8
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under68% 4.5 Under84% 5.5 Under93%
Corners Around average 11 corners · league 10.5
Corners 11 corners 8.5 Over73% 9.5 Over63% 10.5 Over53%

Match stats

PEC Zwolle Go Ahead Eagles

4 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
5 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

PEC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles comes to the MAC³PARK Stadion on Sunday 18 October 2026 for Matchday 9 of the Eredivisie, and our model backs an away win, with either side to win and no draw on the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Go Ahead Eagles the pick because it rates them the stronger of the two, with PEC Zwolle sitting clearly below the Eredivisie average on the same measure. The main argument against the away win is home advantage, and it is not a small one. It does not carry the day, though: the ratings gap, backed by the goal model, clearly outweighs it. Over the last five matches Go Ahead Eagles have created big chances well above the league average, while Zwolle have conceded them at a rate clearly above it. The call stays narrow, because playing at home keeps the hosts in it.

Both teams to score: Our model expects both teams to score: Zwolle's defence concedes more than the Eredivisie average, Go Ahead Eagles' attack scores more than it, and home advantage adds to the hosts' chances. Zwolle's attacking numbers below average work against that, but not enough.

Form guide

PEC Zwolle

L 0-1 vs Cambuur (H) Eredivisie · 11 Oct
L 0-3 at FC Groningen (A) Eredivisie · 18 Sep
L 0-7 vs Feyenoord (H) Eredivisie · 13 Sep
D 2-2 at Sparta Rotterdam (A) Eredivisie · 4 Sep
L 1-3 vs NEC Nijmegen (H) Eredivisie · 29 Aug

Go Ahead Eagles

D 3-3 vs Sparta Rotterdam (H) Eredivisie · 10 Oct
D 1-1 at NEC Nijmegen (A) Eredivisie · 20 Sep
D 1-1 vs FC Groningen (H) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
D 3-3 at FC Utrecht (A) Eredivisie · 8 Sep
L 2-5 at AZ Alkmaar (A) Eredivisie · 29 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

PEC ZwolleGo Ahead Eagles

Attack 24 59 0.8 goals per match this season2.4 goals per match this season

Defence 6 47 2.6 conceded per match this season2.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.