Eredivisie · Matchday 9 Match report

NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Fortuna Sittard: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

NEC Nijmegen

2-2Full time

Fortuna Sittard

Sunday 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

Our picks against the result

9 of 13 right

Result NEC Nijmegen win56% 2-2
Double chance NEC Nijmegen or draw (1X)81% 2-2
Both teams to score Yes61% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.564% 4 goals
More corners NEC Nijmegen77% NEC Nijmegen (13-0)
Yellow cards Around average 2 yellow cards · league 2.8
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Under72% 4.5 Under86% 5.5 Under94%
Corners Around average 13 corners · league 10.5
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over66% 9.5 Over56% 10.5 Under55%

Match stats

NEC Nijmegen Fortuna Sittard

2 Goals 2
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
13 Corners 0

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard meet in the Eredivisie at the Goffertstadion on Sunday 18 October 2026, Matchday 9, and our model goes for a home win, with NEC Nijmegen win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes NEC Nijmegen the pick, mainly because it rates them clearly stronger: Fortuna Sittard sit well below the Eredivisie average on our strength rating, and their recent play backs that up, with few shots, few big chances and little time in the box. The table argues the other way — Fortuna are seventh on 14 points, above NEC, and won both league meetings last season — and NEC played in Europe two days ago. Even so, at home, with our goal model reading the matchup their way and Fortuna creating so little, the case for a home win holds. The call is moderate.

Both teams to score: Our model expects both teams to score: NEC's attack is a strong one and Fortuna's defence concedes more than the league average. NEC's own defence is solid and the visitors' attack slightly below par, but not enough to overturn that.

Form guide

NEC Nijmegen

D 1-1 vs Levski Sofia (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
D 1-1 at Ajax (A) Eredivisie · 10 Oct
D 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles (H) Eredivisie · 20 Sep
L 0-5 at Juventus (A) Europa League · 17 Sep
L 0-3 at Cambuur (A) Eredivisie · 12 Sep

Fortuna Sittard

D 1-1 vs FC Twente (H) Eredivisie · 10 Oct
W 1-0 at Willem II (A) Eredivisie · 19 Sep
L 1-5 vs Ajax (H) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
W 3-2 at ADO Den Haag (A) Eredivisie · 6 Sep
W 3-2 at FC Groningen (A) Eredivisie · 28 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

NEC NijmegenFortuna Sittard

Attack 71 41 1.6 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season

Defence 59 29 1.8 conceded per match this season1.9 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.