Eredivisie · Matchday 10 Match report

Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Excelsior: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Fortuna Sittard

1-0Full time

Excelsior

Sunday 25 October 2026, 11:15 UTC Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard

Our picks against the result

9 of 13 right

Result Excelsior win36% 1-0
Double chance Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior (12)72% 1-0
Both teams to score Yes61% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.551% 1 goal
More corners Fortuna Sittard45% Fortuna Sittard (7-4)
Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 2.8
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under65% 4.5 Under81% 5.5 Under92%
Corners Around average 11 corners · league 10.3
Corners 11 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

Fortuna Sittard Excelsior

1 Goals 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior is the Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 25 October 2026, Matchday 10, and our model goes with an Excelsior win while the double chance pick is either side to win, no draw.

Why this pick?

Excelsior are our pick because our model rates them slightly the stronger of the two over the long run, while Fortuna Sittard's recent attacking output has been limited: below the league average for shots and clearly below it for big chances and touches in the box. The obvious counter is that Excelsior's own attacking play has been poor, and heavy recent defeats to Heerenveen and Groningen show it. What keeps the pick standing is Fortuna's defence: they concede plenty of shots and big chances and have shipped 17 goals in nine games, so Excelsior should find chances even on an off day. It is a narrow call.

Both teams to score: Our goal model also leans to both teams scoring: Excelsior's recent games have swung between 0‑4 and 1‑5 defeats and 2‑2 draws, while Fortuna Sittard have conceded 17 in nine, five of them at home to Ajax.

Form guide

Fortuna Sittard

D 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen (A) Eredivisie · 18 Oct
D 1-1 vs FC Twente (H) Eredivisie · 10 Oct
W 1-0 at Willem II (A) Eredivisie · 19 Sep
L 1-5 vs Ajax (H) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
W 3-2 at ADO Den Haag (A) Eredivisie · 6 Sep

Excelsior

L 0-4 at SC Heerenveen (A) Eredivisie · 16 Oct
L 1-5 vs FC Groningen (H) Eredivisie · 11 Oct
D 2-2 at Ajax (A) Eredivisie · 19 Sep
L 1-2 vs FC Utrecht (H) Eredivisie · 13 Sep
D 2-2 at NEC Nijmegen (A) Eredivisie · 8 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Fortuna SittardExcelsior

Attack 41 29 1.8 goals per match this season1.8 goals per match this season

Defence 35 41 1.9 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.