Eredivisie · Matchday 10 Match report

NEC Nijmegen 2-2 FC Groningen: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

NEC Nijmegen

2-2Full time

FC Groningen

Sunday 25 October 2026, 13:30 UTC Goffertstadion, Nijmegen

Our picks against the result

9 of 13 right

Result NEC Nijmegen win50% 2-2
Double chance NEC Nijmegen or FC Groningen (12)76% 2-2
Both teams to score Yes69% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.568% 4 goals
More corners NEC Nijmegen61% NEC Nijmegen (11-2)
Yellow cards Around average 3 yellow cards · league 2.8
Yellow cards 3 yellow cards 3.5 Under70% 4.5 Under85% 5.5 Under94%
Corners Around average 13 corners · league 10.3
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

NEC Nijmegen FC Groningen

2 Goals 2
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
11 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen vs FC Groningen brings Eredivisie Matchday 10 to the Goffertstadion on Sunday 25 October 2026, and our model backs a home win; the double chance is either side to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model's result pick is a NEC Nijmegen win, and the main reason is territory: over their last five matches NEC's touches in the opposition box are clearly above the league average, while Groningen have conceded big chances at a rate clearly above it. The strongest point on the other side is the away side's journey and the conditions at the ground, though it is a minor consideration. Playing at the Goffertstadion is the equaliser, and NEC's control of the areas that matter should tell even though their own defence has given up chances. The call is moderate rather than emphatic.

Both teams to score: We also expect both teams to score. Our model views this as an open matchup, and Groningen's recent record is of goals at both ends while NEC keep getting into the opposition box in volume.

Form guide

NEC Nijmegen

W 4-2 at Dinamo Zagreb (A) Europa League · 22 Oct
D 2-2 vs Fortuna Sittard (H) Eredivisie · 18 Oct
D 1-1 vs Levski Sofia (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
D 1-1 at Ajax (A) Eredivisie · 10 Oct
D 1-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles (H) Eredivisie · 20 Sep

FC Groningen

L 2-5 vs Ajax (H) Eredivisie · 18 Oct
W 5-1 at Excelsior (A) Eredivisie · 11 Oct
W 3-0 vs PEC Zwolle (H) Eredivisie · 18 Sep
D 1-1 at Go Ahead Eagles (A) Eredivisie · 12 Sep
D 2-2 vs FC Twente (H) Eredivisie · 6 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

NEC NijmegenFC Groningen

Attack 71 47 1.7 goals per match this season2.4 goals per match this season

Defence 59 65 1.8 conceded per match this season2.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.