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Eredivisie · Matchday 13

Telstar vs PEC Zwolle: Match Preview & Stats

BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Telstar: 2 of 5 right
  • PEC Zwolle: 1 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Eredivisie, Matchday 13
Kick-off
Venue
BUKO Stadion, Velsen-Zuid
Since last match
Telstar: 14 days (Eredivisie) · Fortuna Sittard (2‑2) PEC Zwolle: 15 days (Eredivisie) · Willem II (1‑1)
Next match
Telstar: 6 days (Eredivisie) later PEC Zwolle: 7 days (Eredivisie) later

Last starting XI

Telstar 4-3-3

  1. 1 Koeman
  2. 18 Caschili
  3. 16 Valk
  4. 4 Soualhia
  5. 43 Peersman
  6. 6 Ahmed
  7. 10 Owusu
  8. 17 Rossen
  9. 42 Martha
  10. 11 Thorisson
  11. 27 Brouwer

Coach: Henk Brugge at Fortuna Sittard, 2-2 · Eredivisie · 7 Nov

PEC Zwolle 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Schendelaar
  2. 3 Aertssen
  3. 4 Velthuis
  4. 24 Viergever
  5. 33 van der Haar
  6. 30 Thomas
  7. 8 Sommer
  8. 37 van der Wal
  9. 7 Namli
  10. 11 Mbayo
  11. 17 van Hooijdonk

at Willem II, 1-1 · Eredivisie · 6 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Telstar

  • MF Gerald AldersInjured · Mid November 2026
  • MF Rui MendesInjured · Late November 2026

PEC Zwolle

  • DF Sherel FloranusInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Filip KrastevInjured · Day to day
  • MF Givaro RahajaänInjured · Day to day

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Telstar

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 8.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
2 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Gerald Alders 4% attack · 5% mins
  • MF Rui Mendes 4% attack · 4% mins

PEC Zwolle

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 4.0%
3 players out 1 regular starter out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Telstar PEC Zwolle
Box & Territory Pressure 50 46
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 47 51
Finishing Efficiency 78 66
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 57 18
Underlying Play Power 31 29
Telstar Results above play quality (running hot)
PEC Zwolle Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Telstar

When scoring first 60% won · 100% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 11% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 54% 2nd Half: 46%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 21%

PEC Zwolle

When scoring first 43% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 12% points rescued · 12% won (8 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 6% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Telstar

  1. 1. MF Tyrone Owusu 5G · 1A
    Team attack 17.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. MF Patrick Brouwer 2G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. FW Nökkvi Thorisson 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 14.0%

PEC Zwolle

  1. 1. FW Koen Kostons 3G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
  2. 2. FW Dylan Mbayo 1G · 2A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. FW Sydney van Hooijdonk 2G · 0A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 14.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Telstar PEC Zwolle
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 8/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 6/10 4/10
Both teams scored 6/10 6/10
Clean sheet 1/10 1/10
Failed to score 4/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.5 / 1.9 1.1 / 2.1

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Telstar

  • D 2-2 at Fortuna Sittard (A) Eredivisie · 7 Nov
  • W 4-2 vs FC Utrecht (H) Eredivisie · 1 Nov
  • L 0-2 vs Almere City FC (H) KNVB Cup · 27 Oct
  • L 2-3 at Go Ahead Eagles (A) Eredivisie · 23 Oct
  • L 3-4 vs Feyenoord (H) Eredivisie · 17 Oct

PEC Zwolle

  • D 1-1 at Willem II (A) Eredivisie · 6 Nov
  • W 1-0 vs ADO Den Haag (H) Eredivisie · 1 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs TOP Oss (H) KNVB Cup · 28 Oct
  • D 1-1 at FC Utrecht (A) Eredivisie · 24 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs Go Ahead Eagles (H) Eredivisie · 18 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Telstar

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 2 scored, 7 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded

PEC Zwolle

  • 1-15 minutes: 1 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 2 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 5 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Eredivisie this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Telstar

Player G A
Tyrone Owusu 5 1
Patrick Brouwer 3 3
Abdelnor Soualhia 3 1
Ronald Koeman (2 pens) 2 0
Noach Shenkman 1 2

PEC Zwolle

Player G A
Koen Kostons (1 pen) 4 0
Thijs Oosting 2 2
Elias Sørensen 2 0
Sydney van Hooijdonk 2 0
Dylan Mbayo 1 4

Goals and assists in the Eredivisie this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Telstar PEC Zwolle
  • 4.3 Corners won 4.7
  • 5.9 Corners conceded 6.3
  • 1.4 Yellow cards 1.4
  • 1.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.2

Per match in the Eredivisie this season. Average per club and match: 5.1 corners, 1.5 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

TelstarPEC Zwolle
Attack 29 24 1.5 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 29 12 2.1 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Eredivisie clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1550Elo #356 Elo rating 1583Elo #338

Head-to-head

0Telstar wins
1draw
7PEC Zwolle wins

8 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 31 Jan 2026 · Eredivisie PEC Zwolle 4-1 Telstar
  • 15 Aug 2025 · Eredivisie Telstar 0-2 PEC Zwolle
  • 14 Apr 2023 · Eerste Divisie PEC Zwolle 2-0 Telstar
  • 12 Aug 2022 · Eerste Divisie Telstar 0-5 PEC Zwolle
  • 24 Feb 2012 · Eerste Divisie Telstar 0-3 PEC Zwolle

Table

Eredivisie: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 822 40:15 +25 26
2 Feyenoord 12 741 36:17 +19 25
3 Ajax 12 741 32:15 +17 25
4 FC Twente 12 732 30:12 +18 24
5 AZ Alkmaar 12 723 24:16 +8 23
6 SC Heerenveen 12 633 24:16 +8 21
7 Fortuna Sittard 12 552 20:20 0 20
8 Go Ahead Eagles 12 453 24:27 -3 17
9 FC Groningen 12 435 29:28 +1 15
10 Cambuur 12 435 25:27 -2 15
11 NEC Nijmegen 12 354 20:21 -1 14
12 Sparta Rotterdam 12 336 21:29 -8 12
13 PEC Zwolle 12 336 13:24 -11 12
14 FC Utrecht 12 336 21:34 -13 12
15 Excelsior 12 327 16:29 -13 11
16 Telstar 12 246 18:25 -7 10
17 ADO Den Haag 12 237 16:25 -9 9
18 Willem II 12 039 11:40 -29 3

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Eredivisie: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleRel. play-offRelegated
Telstar 10
PEC Zwolle 12

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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