Europa League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Marseille 0-1 Olympiacos: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Marseille

0-1Full time

Olympiacos

Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC CEPAC Vélodrome, Marseille

Our picks against the result

10 of 12 right

Result Marseille win43% 0-1
Double chance Marseille or Olympiacos (12)74% 0-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.552% 1 goal
More corners Marseille55% Marseille (9-1)
Yellow cards Above average 4 yellow cards · league 3.1
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under54% 4.5 Under72% 5.5 Under86%
Corners Around average 10 corners · league 10.6
Corners 10 corners 8.5 Over62% 9.5 Over51% 10.5 Under59%

Match stats

Marseille Olympiacos

0 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
9 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Marseille vs Olympiacos is the Europa League league phase tie at the CEPAC Vélodrome on Thursday 15 October 2026, and our model's result pick is a Marseille win. Our double chance pick is Marseille or Olympiacos to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model's pick is a Marseille win, and the strongest argument for it is home advantage at the CEPAC Vélodrome. The clearest point against: Olympiacos are slightly the stronger side on our long-run, xG-based strength rating, clearly above the Europa League average while Marseille sit only above it, and the calibre of recent opposition points the same way. Even so, that is outweighed: Olympiacos hold possession below the league average and create few big chances, so scoring away from home is a real problem for a defence-first side. The call itself is a narrow one.

Form guide

Marseille

W 2-0 at Troyes (A) Ligue 1 · 11 Oct
L 1-2 vs Paris Saint-Germain (H) Ligue 1 · 20 Sep
L 1-4 at Beşiktaş (A) Europa League · 17 Sep
L 0-1 at Rennes (A) Ligue 1 · 11 Sep
L 2-3 vs Paris FC (H) Ligue 1 · 6 Sep

Olympiacos

W 1-0 vs Panathinaikos (H) Super League 1 · 11 Oct
W 1-0 at Levadiakos (A) Super League 1 · 20 Sep
W 2-1 vs Jagiellonia Białystok (H) Europa League · 16 Sep
L 0-1 vs OFI Crete (H) Super League 1 · 12 Sep
D 1-1 at NFC Volos (A) Super League 1 · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

MarseilleOlympiacos

Attack 91 29 1.0 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 66 91 4.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.