Europa League · League phase, matchday 2 Match report

Sparta Prague 1-1 Lillestrøm: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Sparta Prague

1-1Full time

Lillestrøm

Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC epet ARENA, Praha

Our picks against the result

4 of 12 right

Result Sparta Prague win74% 1-1
Double chance Sparta Prague or draw (1X)89% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.559% 2 goals
More corners Sparta Prague87% Sparta Prague (6-1)
Yellow cards Around average 5 yellow cards · league 3.1
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 3.5 Under57% 4.5 Under76% 5.5 Under88%
Corners Around average 7 corners · league 10.6
Corners 7 corners 8.5 Over66% 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under55%

Match stats

Sparta Prague Lillestrøm

1 Goals 1
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Sparta Prague vs Lillestrøm meet at the epet ARENA on Thursday 15 October 2026 in the Europa League league phase, and our pick is a Sparta Prague win, with Sparta Prague win or draw as our double chance.

Why this pick?

Sparta Prague are our pick for the win, and the main reason is that our model rates them clearly stronger than Lillestrøm on its long-run strength measure. What Lillestrøm have going for them is their recent play: they have kept the ball better than most teams and got shots away more freely than the league average. That territorial control has not turned into goals against Europa League opposition, though, and Lillestrøm's attacking threat is rated a long way below the rest of the field. Sparta's home advantage in Praha adds to the case, and the difference between the two sides leaves the call clear.

Form guide

Sparta Prague

W 2-0 vs Pardubice (H) 1. Liga · 11 Oct
W 3-0 at Sigma Olomouc (A) 1. Liga · 20 Sep
W 4-1 at Ararat Armenia (A) Europa League · 16 Sep
W 2-0 vs Jablonec (H) 1. Liga · 12 Sep
L 1-2 at Hradec Králové (A) 1. Liga · 6 Sep

Lillestrøm

D 2-2 vs Molde (H) Eliteserien · 11 Oct
L 0-3 at Viking (A) Eliteserien · 20 Sep
L 1-2 vs Torreense (H) Europa League · 17 Sep
W 2-0 vs Vålerenga (H) Eliteserien · 12 Sep
W 2-1 at Brann (A) Eliteserien · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Sparta PragueLillestrøm

Attack 54 6 4.0 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 20 14 1.0 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Europa League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.