Pacers could be short-handed against 76ers
Indiana may be without multiple starters for the game against Philadelphia, whose entire starting five is available and not on the injury report.
Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.
See exactly how confident our model is
Every probability, the total and team points lines and the player lines. The winner percentages are free for everyone 2h before tip-off ·
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Expected Philadelphia 76ers 2.8
Total points237.4
Indiana Pacers111.5
Philadelphia 76ers111.8
Over 221.5 / Under 221.575% · 14%
Over 231.5 / Under 231.534% · 88%
Over 241.5 / Under 241.529% · 99%
Over 109.5 / Under 109.583% · 20%
Over 115.5 / Under 115.530% · 49%
Over 121.5 / Under 121.511% · 76%
Over 109.5 / Under 109.597% · 77%
Over 115.5 / Under 115.572% · 85%
Over 121.5 / Under 121.524% · 91%
Expected123.6
Over 110.5 / Under 110.558% · 13%
Over 116.5 / Under 116.547% · 79%
Over 122.5 / Under 122.544% · 89%
Philadelphia 76ers are our winner pick, mainly because our model rates them slightly stronger than Indiana Pacers once team results and the players expected to play are weighed up. The strongest argument the other way is plain: the game is in Indianapolis, and home court counts for something. Indiana are also short, with Ivica Zubac Out and both Tyrese Haliburton and Andrew Nembhard Questionable, which is the second reason behind the call. No single point settles it; the model's overall view does, helped by Philadelphia's 3‑1 start and a road win at New York while Indiana lost the only game they have played at home. The call is narrow.
Total points: Both teams play faster than a typical NBA game, Indiana ninth in pace and Philadelphia fourth, but that push upward is offset by fewer points per possession in their games and by the absences on the injury report. The model lands on the league average.
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers brings NBA regular season basketball to Indianapolis on Wednesday 28 October 2026, with our model backing Philadelphia 76ers to win and placing the total points around the league average.
Indiana may be without multiple starters for the game against Philadelphia, whose entire starting five is available and not on the injury report.
The Celtics broadcaster took back his report that Jaylen Brown asked for a trade from Boston before being sent to the 76ers, correcting himself on live television.
The 76ers guard took the award after Philadelphia opened the season 3-1, scoring 28.8 points per game and contributing on defense.
LeBron James started at centre for the 15th time in his career as the Philadelphia 76ers lost 106-93 to the Detroit Pistons on Sunday. He said he can play the position but pointed to Joel Embiid, out with plantar fasciitis, as the team's MVP big man.
Philadelphia played in Detroit without Embiid and Edgecombe and with only a short bench. The home side also missed two starters but remains the only unbeaten team in its conference.
Detroit handed Philadelphia its first loss of the season, winning 106-93 on Sunday night. Cade Cunningham led the Pistons with 26 points and also topped the team in assists.
Philadelphia could not recover from a poor start and lost to Detroit, its first defeat of the season. Jaylen Brown struggled in the game.
Brooklyn lost at home to Indiana in a lopsided game, and the defeat was described within the team as unacceptable.
The report of 27 Oct, 21:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.
Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers tips off at 23:00 UK time (19:00 US Eastern time) on Wednesday 28 October 2026, US date.
Our model picks Philadelphia 76ers to win, a narrow call. The main reason is the teams' strength on our ratings. It sees the total points around the league average.
The official NBA injury report lists Tyrese Haliburton (Indiana Pacers): questionable; Andrew Nembhard (Indiana Pacers): questionable; Ivica Zubac (Indiana Pacers): out; Johnny Furphy (Indiana Pacers): out; Ben Sheppard (Indiana Pacers): out; T.J. McConnell (Indiana Pacers): out; Dominick Barlow (Philadelphia 76ers): out.
Indiana Pacers are 2-2; Philadelphia 76ers are 3-1.
On 2026-04-10: Indiana Pacers 94-105 Philadelphia 76ers.
Times are UTC.