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NBA · Regular season

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets Prediction and Preview

Milwaukee Bucks 1-3
vs
Houston Rockets 4-0
Milwaukee

Our picks

Free picks
  • Winner Free pick Houston Rockets
    Model probability 95% 10%
  • First half Free pick Houston Rockets ahead
    Model probability 89% 78% 84%
  • Total points Free pick Below the league average(league average 231.5)
    Model probability Over 221.5 22%Over 231.5 21%Over 241.5 14%
  • Milwaukee Bucks points Free pick Below the league average(league average 115.5)
    Model probability Over 109.5 86%Over 115.5 31%Over 121.5 25%
  • Houston Rockets points Free pick Around the league average(league average 115.5)
    Model probability Over 109.5 81%Over 115.5 74%Over 121.5 19%

Players

PTSREBAST
Ryan Rollins Under 17.5 75% Under 4.5 20% Under 5.5 70%
Tyler Herro Under 20.5 43% Under 4.5 38% Under 4.5 73%
Jaime Jaquez Jr. Under 15.5 24% Under 5.5 48% Under 4.5 27%
Jabari Smith Jr. Over 15.5 88% Under 6.5 96% Over 1.5 39%
Amen Thompson Under 18.5 47% Under 7.5 26% Under 5.5 93%
Kevin Durant Under 25.5 30% Under 5.5 17% Over 4.5 90%

Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.

See exactly how confident our model is

Every probability, the total and team points lines and the player lines. The winner percentages are free for everyone 2h before tip-off ·

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Every percentage of our model from 48 hours before kick-off: result, double chance, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 goals, yellow card and corner lines, and our Top 5 picks as soon as they are out. Cancel any time.

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Why this pick?

Our model makes the Houston Rockets the pick because it rates them clearly the stronger side, and their 4‑0 start — 2‑0 on the road, first in the Western Conference and second of 30 on our team rating — backs that up against a Milwaukee team at 1‑3 and 27th. The clearest argument the other way is the home court Milwaukee brings, and Houston arrive without Alperen Sengun, out, with Steven Adams also out and Marcus Smart questionable. Even so, the gap in the ratings is wide enough to carry the pick, and the head-to-head leans the same way: Houston took four of the last five meetings. The call is clear.

Total points: The pace is the strong pull here: both teams sit among the slowest in the league, which drags the total down. What pushes the other way is a moderate bump in points per possession in their games, not enough to lift the number above the league average.

Game summary

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets comes in the NBA Regular season on Wednesday 28 October 2026, and our model takes the Houston Rockets to win it while expecting the total points to stay low.

Latest news

Official injury report

Milwaukee Bucks

No player who matters is listed.

Houston Rockets

  • Out Alperen Sengun (key player)
  • Questionable Marcus Smart (key player)
  • Out Steven Adams (rotation regular)

The report of 27 Oct, 21:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Last five games

Milwaukee Bucks

  • W 110-102 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 27 Oct
  • L 116-127 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 24 Oct
  • L 125-132 vs Chicago Bulls (H) 23 Oct
  • L 116-128 at Washington Wizards (A) 21 Oct

Houston Rockets

  • W 120-110 vs Atlanta Hawks (H) 27 Oct
  • W 121-114 at Atlanta Hawks (A) 25 Oct
  • W 114-110 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 24 Oct
  • W 128-110 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 22 Oct

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Team facts

MILHOU
Record 1-3 4-0
At home 1-1 2-0
On the road 0-2 2-0
Conference 12 of 15, Eastern Conference 1 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – Won 4 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #27 of 30 #2 of 30
Pace #21 of 30 #25 of 30

Last meetings

  • 2 Apr 2026Houston Rockets 119-113 Milwaukee Bucks
  • 9 Nov 2025Milwaukee Bucks 115-122 Houston Rockets
  • 26 Feb 2025Houston Rockets 100-97 Milwaukee Bucks
  • 19 Nov 2024Milwaukee Bucks 101-100 Houston Rockets
  • 7 Jan 2024Houston Rockets 112-108 Milwaukee Bucks

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
City
Milwaukee

Questions and answers

What time is Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets?

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets tips off at 00:00 UK time (20:00 US Eastern time) on Wednesday 28 October 2026, US date.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Houston Rockets to win, a clear call. The main reason is the teams' strength on our ratings. It sees the total points below the league average.

Who is out for Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets?

The official NBA injury report lists Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets): out; Marcus Smart (Houston Rockets): questionable; Steven Adams (Houston Rockets): out.

How are Milwaukee Bucks and Houston Rockets doing this season?

Milwaukee Bucks are 1-3; Houston Rockets are 4-0.

When did Milwaukee Bucks and Houston Rockets last meet?

On 2026-04-02: Houston Rockets 119-113 Milwaukee Bucks.

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