Leonard treated for knee swelling with Raptors
The Raptors star is receiving treatment for swelling in his left knee, the team's latest injury concern.
Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.
See exactly how confident our model is
Every probability, the total and team points lines and the player lines. The winner percentages are free for everyone 2h before tip-off ·
$6.99 / month · That is about $0.23 a day
Expected Toronto Raptors 9.6
Total points214.6
Toronto Raptors119.9
Orlando Magic113.8
Over 221.5 / Under 221.572% · 38%
Over 231.5 / Under 231.567% · 51%
Over 241.5 / Under 241.564% · 53%
Over 109.5 / Under 109.580% · 22%
Over 115.5 / Under 115.578% · 48%
Over 121.5 / Under 121.545% · 75%
Over 109.5 / Under 109.579% · 30%
Over 115.5 / Under 115.574% · 89%
Over 121.5 / Under 121.514% · 96%
Expected122.5
Over 110.5 / Under 110.587% · 19%
Over 116.5 / Under 116.544% · 60%
Over 122.5 / Under 122.528% · 94%
Our model makes the Toronto Raptors the winner through several small edges that all lean the same way: playing at home, two days of rest for both teams and a slightly stronger place on our ratings than the Orlando Magic. Together they clearly outweigh the clearest argument against, Toronto's own injury report, with Kawhi Leonard Out, and a 94‑117 loss at Minnesota last time out. What holds the pick up is the sum of the case: the Magic are without two key players, Paolo Banchero and Jalen Suggs, and Toronto has won four of the last five meetings. The call is moderate.
Total points: The total points sit below the league average for us. Both teams play faster than a typical NBA game, which pushes the other way, but fewer points per possession at both ends and the absences on the injury report carry more weight.
Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic meet in the NBA regular season on Wednesday 28 October 2026, with our winner pick on Toronto and our view of the total points below the league average.
The Raptors star is receiving treatment for swelling in his left knee, the team's latest injury concern.
Kawhi Leonard's comeback with the Raptors in Toronto has hit an injury setback, the start of his return feeling familiar.
The Raptors forward will sit because of swelling in his left knee and will be re-evaluated in one week.
The star, who returned to the Raptors this summer, has swelling in his knee and will miss several weeks, a blow for Toronto.
Suggs was hurt going up for a layup on Sunday and was diagnosed with a bone bruise in his right knee. He will be re-evaluated in two weeks.
Orlando won 111-102 over New York, leaving the defending champions winless after three games. The Knicks are the first champions to start a season 0-3 since Dallas in 2011.
New York has lost its first three games of the season, the worst opening by a reigning champion since 2011. Orlando, already without Banchero, could also lose Suggs.
Minnesota beat Toronto 117-94 at home, keeping its perfect record intact after a win by more than 20 points.
The report of 27 Oct, 21:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.
Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.
Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic tips off at 23:30 UK time (19:30 US Eastern time) on Wednesday 28 October 2026, US date.
Our model picks Toronto Raptors to win, a call with a fair margin. The main reason is home court. It sees the total points below the league average.
The official NBA injury report lists Kawhi Leonard (Toronto Raptors): out; Malachi Smith (Toronto Raptors): out; Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic): out; Jalen Suggs (Orlando Magic): out.
Toronto Raptors are 2-1; Orlando Magic are 1-2.
On 2026-03-29: Toronto Raptors 139-87 Orlando Magic.
Times are UTC.