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NBA · Regular season

San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons: Preview and Stats

San Antonio Spurs 10-2
vs
Detroit Pistons 8-3
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Our picks

Our picks for San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • San Antonio Spurs 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • Detroit Pistons 9 of 11 right (82%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Frost Bank Center
City
San Antonio
Since last match
San Antonio Spurs: Utah Jazz Detroit Pistons: Miami Heat
Next match
San Antonio Spurs: LA Clippers Detroit Pistons: New Orleans Pelicans

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Detroit Pistons

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Detroit Pistons

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

San Antonio Spurs

Projected Starters
  • G Dylan Harper
    31.5 MPG 17.8 PPG 5.5 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Victor Wembanyama
    29.4 MPG 32.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G De'Aaron Fox
    29.1 MPG 13.7 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.8 APG
  • G Stephon Castle
    28.7 MPG 12.9 PPG 5.3 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Devin Vassell
    29.6 MPG 12.8 PPG 3.9 RPG 3.5 APG
Key Bench
  • F Julian Champagnie
    25.9 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F Tobias Harris
    34.3 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G-F Keldon Johnson
    24.9 MPG 7.8 PPG 5.8 RPG 2.5 APG

Detroit Pistons

Projected Starters
  • G Cade Cunningham
    34.6 MPG 25.3 PPG 5.3 RPG 7.9 APG
  • F Duncan Robinson
    32.2 MPG 17.8 PPG 1.9 RPG 2.2 APG
  • G Daniss Jenkins
    28.6 MPG 14.5 PPG 4.0 RPG 4.4 APG
  • F Paul Reed
    28.1 MPG 12.1 PPG 7.9 RPG 2.2 APG
  • G-F Ausar Thompson
    28.2 MPG 10.0 PPG 8.4 RPG 5.1 APG
Key Bench
  • F-C John Collins
    26.4 MPG 11.1 PPG 6.0 RPG 0.7 APG
  • G-F Kevin Huerter
    23.7 MPG 9.6 PPG 2.3 RPG 2.1 APG
  • G Javonte Green
    17.3 MPG 4.8 PPG 2.1 RPG 0.6 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

San Antonio Spurs

#3 of 30
Net rating +6.9 30d: -1.1
Pace: -2.7 (#27 of 30)

Detroit Pistons

#4 of 30
Net rating +6.0 30d: -0.3
Pace: -2.6 (#26 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

San Antonio Spurs

Net 91
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 47
Ball security & passing 72
Rebounding control 66
Defensive disruption 76

ORtg 119.5 · DRtg 104.8 · Net +14.7 · TS 58.4%

Detroit Pistons

Net 71
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 56
Ball security & passing 48
Rebounding control 41
Defensive disruption 80

ORtg 111.8 · DRtg 104.3 · Net +7.5 · TS 58.3%

San Antonio Spurs · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.6W expected (12 GP)
Detroit Pistons · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 8.0W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

San Antonio Spurs

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 4/6 (67%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 61.3 (52.8%) 2H: 54.7 (47.2%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-3 10+ pt margins: 7-1

Detroit Pistons

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/6 (33%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.7 (48.3%) 2H: 58.4 (51.7%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 6-2

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

SASDET
Points scored / game 121.6 115.0
Points allowed / game 106.6 107.3
Average game total 228.2 222.3
Average 1st-half total 119.3 109.6
Possessions / 48 min 100.7 100.7
Games with 220+ pts 8/10 4/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 9/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

San Antonio Spurs

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Detroit Pistons

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

San Antonio Spurs

  • #1 Victor Wembanyama F-C 26.8% pts share
    32.6 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 22.7% FGA
  • #2 Dylan Harper G 14.6% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 5.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 14.7% FGA
  • #3 De'Aaron Fox G 11.3% pts share
    13.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.8 APG · 1.1 3PM 9.9% FGA

Detroit Pistons

  • #1 Cade Cunningham G 22.0% pts share
    25.3 PPG · 5.3 RPG · 7.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 20.5% FGA
  • #2 Duncan Robinson F 15.5% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 1.9 RPG · 2.2 APG · 4.0 3PM 13.9% FGA
  • #3 Daniss Jenkins G 12.6% pts share
    14.5 PPG · 4.0 RPG · 4.4 APG · 2.3 3PM 11.5% FGA

Last five games

San Antonio Spurs

  • W 124-119 at Chicago Bulls (A) 12 Nov
  • W 122-96 at Phoenix Suns (A) 10 Nov
  • W 125-103 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 8 Nov
  • W 124-109 at Sacramento Kings (A) 7 Nov
  • W 112-111 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 5 Nov

Detroit Pistons

  • W 144-140 at Washington Wizards (A) 13 Nov
  • W 122-111 vs Washington Wizards (H) 10 Nov
  • L 116-121 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 8 Nov
  • L 106-112 vs Philadelphia 76ers (H) 5 Nov
  • W 124-91 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

SAS · 6W DET · 4W
Avg total pts: 233.8 SAS avg: 120.6 DET avg: 113.2 225+ pt games: 7/10 SAS at home: 4-1
  • 5 Mar 2026 SAS 121‑106 DET
  • 23 Feb 2026 DET 103‑114 SAS
  • 25 Mar 2025 DET 122‑96 SAS
  • 21 Feb 2025 SAS 110‑125 DET
  • 14 Apr 2024 SAS 123‑95 DET
  • 10 Jan 2024 DET 108‑130 SAS
  • 10 Feb 2023 DET 138‑131 (2OT) SAS
  • 6 Jan 2023 SAS 121‑109 DET
  • 1 Jan 2022 DET 117‑116 (OT) SAS
  • 26 Dec 2021 SAS 144‑109 DET

Season profile comparison

SASDET
Record 10-2 8-3
At home 4-2 3-2
On the road 6-0 5-1
Conference 2 of 15, Western Conference 3 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Won 5 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 1 2
Our team rating #3 of 30 #4 of 30
Pace #27 of 30 #25 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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