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NBA · Regular season

Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs: Preview and Stats

Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Our picks

Our picks for Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Utah Jazz 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • San Antonio Spurs 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Delta Center
City
Salt Lake City
Since last match
Utah Jazz: Houston Rockets San Antonio Spurs: Golden State Warriors
Next match
Utah Jazz: LA Clippers San Antonio Spurs: Detroit Pistons

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Utah Jazz

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Utah Jazz

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

San Antonio Spurs

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Utah Jazz

Projected Starters
  • F Ace Bailey
    32.6 MPG 14.2 PPG 6.8 RPG 1.8 APG
  • G Keyonte George
    32.6 MPG 20.3 PPG 5.1 RPG 6.2 APG
  • G Darryn Peterson
    31.0 MPG 17.1 PPG 4.1 RPG 4.3 APG
  • F-C Lauri Markkanen
    29.5 MPG 18.3 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.7 APG
  • F-C Jaxson Hayes
    24.8 MPG 8.0 PPG 6.3 RPG 1.4 APG
Key Bench
  • C Jusuf Nurkić
    28.4 MPG 12.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G Josh Green
    20.0 MPG 3.6 PPG 1.8 RPG 1.1 APG
  • G Josh Okogie
    19.5 MPG 4.4 PPG 3.5 RPG 1.2 APG

San Antonio Spurs

Projected Starters
  • G Dylan Harper
    31.5 MPG 17.8 PPG 5.5 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Victor Wembanyama
    29.4 MPG 32.6 PPG 11.4 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G De'Aaron Fox
    29.1 MPG 13.7 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.8 APG
  • G Stephon Castle
    28.7 MPG 12.9 PPG 5.3 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Devin Vassell
    29.6 MPG 12.8 PPG 3.9 RPG 3.5 APG
Key Bench
  • F Julian Champagnie
    25.9 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 1.6 APG
  • F Tobias Harris
    34.3 MPG 17.7 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G-F Keldon Johnson
    24.9 MPG 7.8 PPG 5.8 RPG 2.5 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Utah Jazz

#29 of 30
Net rating -6.5 30d: -2.6
Pace: -1.4 (#14 of 30)

San Antonio Spurs

#3 of 30
Net rating +6.9 30d: -1.1
Pace: -2.7 (#27 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Utah Jazz

Net 18
Shot quality (TS%) 20
3PT volume & accuracy 38
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 55
Defensive disruption 60

ORtg 101.3 · DRtg 112.7 · Net -11.4 · TS 53.4%

San Antonio Spurs

Net 91
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 47
Ball security & passing 72
Rebounding control 66
Defensive disruption 76

ORtg 119.5 · DRtg 104.8 · Net +14.7 · TS 58.4%

Utah Jazz · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 2.3W expected (12 GP)
San Antonio Spurs · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 10W actual vs 9.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Utah Jazz

Win rate when leading at HT 2/4 (50%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/10 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.2 (49.6%) 2H: 56.1 (50.4%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-3 10+ pt margins: 1-8

San Antonio Spurs

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 4/6 (67%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 61.3 (52.8%) 2H: 54.7 (47.2%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-3 10+ pt margins: 7-1

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

UTASAS
Points scored / game 105.6 121.6
Points allowed / game 117.5 106.6
Average game total 223.1 228.2
Average 1st-half total 111.4 119.3
Possessions / 48 min 102.1 100.7
Games with 220+ pts 5/10 8/10
Games with 230+ pts 3/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 1/10 9/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Utah Jazz

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

San Antonio Spurs

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 5

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Utah Jazz

  • #1 Keyonte George G 19.2% pts share
    20.3 PPG · 5.1 RPG · 6.2 APG · 1.4 3PM 18.3% FGA
  • #2 Darryn Peterson G 16.2% pts share
    17.1 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 4.3 APG · 2.4 3PM 17.1% FGA
  • #3 Lauri Markkanen F-C 17.3% pts share
    18.3 PPG · 6.5 RPG · 1.7 APG · 4.0 3PM 16.5% FGA

San Antonio Spurs

  • #1 Victor Wembanyama F-C 26.8% pts share
    32.6 PPG · 11.4 RPG · 2.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 22.7% FGA
  • #2 Dylan Harper G 14.6% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 5.5 RPG · 5.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 14.7% FGA
  • #3 De'Aaron Fox G 11.3% pts share
    13.7 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.8 APG · 1.1 3PM 9.9% FGA

Last five games

Utah Jazz

  • L 108-123 vs Orlando Magic (H) 12 Nov
  • L 109-115 vs Miami Heat (H) 11 Nov
  • L 100-115 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 9 Nov
  • L 100-112 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 7 Nov
  • L 113-120 at New Orleans Pelicans (A) 5 Nov

San Antonio Spurs

  • W 124-119 at Chicago Bulls (A) 12 Nov
  • W 122-96 at Phoenix Suns (A) 10 Nov
  • W 125-103 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 8 Nov
  • W 124-109 at Sacramento Kings (A) 7 Nov
  • W 112-111 vs Dallas Mavericks (H) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

UTA · 2W SAS · 8W
Avg total pts: 228.4 UTA avg: 109.7 SAS avg: 118.7 225+ pt games: 7/10 UTA at home: 0-5
  • 2 Nov 2026 SAS 119‑97 UTA
  • 28 Oct 2026 UTA 111‑117 (OT) SAS
  • 22 Jan 2026 UTA 109‑126 SAS
  • 19 Jan 2026 SAS 123‑110 UTA
  • 27 Dec 2025 SAS 114‑127 UTA
  • 26 Nov 2024 UTA 115‑128 SAS
  • 21 Nov 2024 SAS 126‑118 UTA
  • 9 Nov 2024 SAS 110‑111 UTA
  • 31 Oct 2024 UTA 88‑106 SAS
  • 27 Mar 2024 UTA 111‑118 SAS

Season profile comparison

UTASAS
Record 1-11 10-2
At home 1-6 4-2
On the road 0-5 6-0
Conference 15 of 15, Western Conference 2 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 5 in a row Won 5 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #29 of 30 #3 of 30
Pace #14 of 30 #27 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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