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NBA · Regular season

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies: Preview and Stats

Cleveland Cavaliers 6-6
vs
Memphis Grizzlies 7-4
Rocket Arena, Cleveland

Our picks

Our picks for Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Cleveland Cavaliers 7 of 12 right (58%)
  • Memphis Grizzlies 3 of 11 right (27%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Rocket Arena
City
Cleveland
Since last match
Cleveland Cavaliers: Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies: Washington Wizards
Next match
Cleveland Cavaliers: Indiana Pacers Memphis Grizzlies: Golden State Warriors

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Cleveland Cavaliers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Projected Starters
  • G James Harden
    32.5 MPG 17.2 PPG 4.4 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G Donovan Mitchell
    32.4 MPG 22.0 PPG 4.5 RPG 5.9 APG
  • C Evan Mobley
    31.6 MPG 16.5 PPG 7.0 RPG 3.7 APG
  • G Peyton Watson
    27.1 MPG 11.4 PPG 5.2 RPG 2.8 APG
  • C Jarrett Allen
    24.6 MPG 11.8 PPG 8.5 RPG 1.8 APG
Key Bench
  • G Meleek Thomas
    22.9 MPG 13.1 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.2 APG
  • G Sam Merrill
    23.3 MPG 8.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G-F Mario Hezonja
    18.9 MPG 7.5 PPG 5.7 RPG 1.5 APG

Memphis Grizzlies

Projected Starters
  • F Cameron Boozer
    32.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G-F Ty Jerome
    30.7 MPG 24.1 PPG 3.1 RPG 4.8 APG
  • G Cedric Coward
    28.3 MPG 13.4 PPG 8.9 RPG 2.8 APG
  • F Jaylen Wells
    27.2 MPG 12.0 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Jerami Grant
    23.4 MPG 10.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 2.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Zach Edey
    20.8 MPG 7.8 PPG 7.6 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Cam Spencer
    19.8 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Isaiah Stewart
    18.2 MPG 10.8 PPG 3.1 RPG 0.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Cleveland Cavaliers

#11 of 30
Net rating +1.5 30d: -3.0
Pace: -1.5 (#15 of 30)

Memphis Grizzlies

#16 of 30
Net rating -1.1 30d: +3.5
Pace: -1.1 (#12 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Net 58
Shot quality (TS%) 53
3PT volume & accuracy 66
Ball security & passing 70
Rebounding control 47
Defensive disruption 55

ORtg 115.3 · DRtg 112.4 · Net +2.9 · TS 58.2%

Memphis Grizzlies

Net 63
Shot quality (TS%) 61
3PT volume & accuracy 68
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 59
Defensive disruption 51

ORtg 114.0 · DRtg 109.6 · Net +4.5 · TS 59.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 6W actual vs 6.7W expected (12 GP)
Memphis Grizzlies · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 7.4W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Win rate when leading at HT 4/5 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/10 (20%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.5 (49.3%) 2H: 57.2 (50.7%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-2 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Memphis Grizzlies

Win rate when leading at HT 6/8 (75%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.7 (50.5%) 2H: 57.6 (49.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

CLEMEM
Points scored / game 116.6 117.4
Points allowed / game 113.7 112.8
Average game total 230.3 230.2
Average 1st-half total 112.3 116.5
Possessions / 48 min 100.1 101.9
Games with 220+ pts 8/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 5/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 3/10
Scored 115+ pts 6/10 6/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Cleveland Cavaliers

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Memphis Grizzlies

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • #1 Donovan Mitchell G 18.9% pts share
    22.0 PPG · 4.5 RPG · 5.9 APG · 2.8 3PM 17.8% FGA
  • #2 James Harden G 14.8% pts share
    17.2 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.8 3PM 14.0% FGA
  • #3 Evan Mobley C 14.2% pts share
    16.5 PPG · 7.0 RPG · 3.7 APG · 2.0 3PM 12.4% FGA

Memphis Grizzlies

  • #1 Ty Jerome G-F 20.5% pts share
    24.1 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 4.8 APG · 2.3 3PM 19.8% FGA
  • #2 Cameron Boozer F 14.3% pts share
    16.8 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.5% FGA
  • #3 Cedric Coward G 11.4% pts share
    13.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 2.8 APG · 2.4 3PM 12.3% FGA

Last five games

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • W 115-107 at New York Knicks (A) 12 Nov
  • L 112-124 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-109 vs New York Knicks (H) 8 Nov
  • W 119-95 vs Philadelphia 76ers (H) 7 Nov
  • L 116-124 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 5 Nov

Memphis Grizzlies

  • L 118-123 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 12 Nov
  • W 118-102 at Toronto Raptors (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-128 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-107 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 5 Nov
  • L 134-135 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

CLE · 7W MEM · 3W
Avg total pts: 234.1 CLE avg: 119.9 MEM avg: 114.2 225+ pt games: 6/10 CLE at home: 4-1
  • 6 Apr 2026 MEM 126‑142 CLE
  • 15 Nov 2025 CLE 108‑100 MEM
  • 14 Mar 2025 MEM 124‑133 CLE
  • 23 Feb 2025 CLE 129‑123 MEM
  • 10 Apr 2024 CLE 110‑98 MEM
  • 1 Feb 2024 MEM 101‑108 CLE
  • 2 Feb 2023 CLE 128‑113 MEM
  • 18 Jan 2023 MEM 115‑114 CLE
  • 4 Jan 2022 CLE 106‑110 MEM
  • 20 Oct 2021 MEM 132‑121 CLE

Season profile comparison

CLEMEM
Record 6-6 7-4
At home 4-2 2-4
On the road 2-4 5-0
Conference 6 of 15, Eastern Conference 8 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #11 of 30 #16 of 30
Pace #15 of 30 #12 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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