Premier League · Matchday 7 Match report

AFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

AFC Bournemouth

2-0Full time

Sunderland

Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result AFC Bournemouth win56% 2-0
Double chance AFC Bournemouth or draw (1X)82% 2-0
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.554% 2 goals
More corners AFC Bournemouth63% AFC Bournemouth (5-3)
Yellow cards Around average 5 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 3.5 Over59% 4.5 Under60% 5.5 Under77%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 9.3
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over59% 9.5 Under52% 10.5 Under63%

Match stats

AFC Bournemouth Sunderland

2 Goals 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
5 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland takes place on Sunday 18 October 2026 in the Premier League, Matchday 7. Our model picks a Bournemouth win, with a double chance of Bournemouth win or draw.

Why this pick?

Our model makes AFC Bournemouth the pick for the win, mainly because it rates them stronger than Sunderland on its long-run, xG-based strength rating, with Bournemouth above the Premier League average and Sunderland below it. The obvious counterpoint is the table: Bournemouth are 18th with no wins, while Sunderland sit a place higher. Even so, the model's assessment of that strength gap, together with Bournemouth's home advantage, outweighs the table position, and its goal model also leans towards the home side. Recent play supports this: Bournemouth have conceded big chances clearly below the league average, while Sunderland have conceded them above average. The call is moderate.

Form guide

AFC Bournemouth

W 3-0 vs Sturm Graz (H) Europa League · 15 Oct
L 1-5 at Chelsea (A) Premier League · 10 Oct
L 0-1 vs Liverpool (H) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 2-1 at Real Sociedad (A) Europa League · 17 Sep
D 2-2 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 12 Sep

Sunderland

W 2-1 at Torreense (A) Europa League · 15 Oct
L 0-2 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) Premier League · 10 Oct
L 3-5 at Manchester City (A) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 1-0 vs AZ Alkmaar (H) Europa League · 16 Sep
L 0-2 vs Arsenal (H) Premier League · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

AFC BournemouthSunderland

Attack 53 5 1.2 goals per match this season1.0 goals per match this season

Defence 47 21 2.2 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.