Premier League · Matchday 7 Match report

Nottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Nottingham Forest

0-1Full time

Arsenal

Sunday 18 October 2026, 15:30 UTC The City Ground, Nottingham, Nottinghamshire

Our picks against the result

7 of 12 right

Result Arsenal win57% 0-1
Double chance Arsenal or draw (X2)81% 0-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.553% 1 goal
More corners Arsenal61% Nottingham Forest (8-6)
Yellow cards Below average 2 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Under55% 4.5 Under74% 5.5 Under87%
Corners Around average 14 corners · league 9.3
Corners 14 corners 8.5 Over60% 9.5 Under52% 10.5 Under62%

Match stats

Nottingham Forest Arsenal

0 Goals 1
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
8 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal in the Premier League at The City Ground on Sunday 18 October 2026, Matchday 7: our model goes with an Arsenal win, and Arsenal win or draw for the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model's strength rating, built on long-run expected goals, places Arsenal well clear of Nottingham Forest and comfortably above the Premier League average, and its goal model sizes up the fixture the same way. The obvious counterweight is home advantage for Forest, which at The City Ground carries real weight. It does not shift the call: Forest have one win and five goals from six games, while Arsenal's defence has been the tightest in the competition. Forest are carving out clear chances, yet against this opponent that is hard to turn into enough. Moderate rather than clear.

Form guide

Nottingham Forest

L 1-3 at Crystal Palace (A) Premier League · 11 Oct
L 0-1 vs Coventry City (H) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 2-1 at Aston Villa (A) Premier League · 12 Sep
D 0-0 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H) Premier League · 5 Sep
D 2-2 at Liverpool (A) Premier League · 29 Aug

Arsenal

W 3-0 vs Lille (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 2-1 vs Leeds United (H) Premier League · 10 Oct
L 0-3 at Brighton & Hove Albion (A) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 4-2 at Ipswich Town (A) EFL Cup · 15 Sep
W 2-0 at Sunderland (A) Premier League · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Nottingham ForestArsenal

Attack 42 95 0.8 goals per match this season1.7 goals per match this season

Defence 63 100 1.3 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.