Premier League · Matchday 7 Match report

Leeds United 1-1 Manchester United: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Leeds United

1-1Full time

Manchester United

Sunday 18 October 2026, 13:00 UTC Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire

Our picks against the result

6 of 12 right

Result Leeds United win37% 1-1
Double chance Leeds United or Manchester United (12)72% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.554% 2 goals
More corners Manchester United47% Manchester United (2-3)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Over52% 4.5 Under67% 5.5 Under82%
Corners Around average 5 corners · league 9.3
Corners 5 corners 8.5 Over63% 9.5 Over52% 10.5 Under59%

Match stats

Leeds United Manchester United

1 Goals 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Leeds United vs Manchester United is the Premier League Matchday 7 fixture at Elland Road on Sunday 18 October 2026; our model leans to a home win, and our double chance pick is Leeds United or Manchester United to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model's pick is a Leeds United win, and the main argument for it is the home advantage at Elland Road, where the hosts have looked awkward to handle. The strongest point on the other side is that Manchester United come out slightly ahead on our long-run, xG-based strength rating, and their shot volume over the last five matches has been above the league average. Nothing decides it on its own, though: Leeds sit seventh, their defensive record is tighter, and they have nine points to United's six. That is why the model's overall view falls on the home side, and the call is a narrow one.

Form guide

Leeds United

L 1-2 at Arsenal (A) Premier League · 10 Oct
D 0-0 vs Crystal Palace (H) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 4-1 vs Newcastle United (H) Premier League · 14 Sep
L 3-6 at Chelsea (A) EFL Cup · 9 Sep
D 1-1 at Brighton & Hove Albion (A) Premier League · 5 Sep

Manchester United

L 0-2 at Atlético Madrid (A) Champions League · 13 Oct
D 1-1 vs Tottenham Hotspur (H) Premier League · 10 Oct
D 1-1 at Fulham (A) Premier League · 20 Sep
L 2-3 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) EFL Cup · 16 Sep
L 0-1 vs Manchester City (H) Premier League · 13 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Leeds UnitedManchester United

Attack 32 58 1.3 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season

Defence 74 58 0.8 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.