Premier League · Matchday 6 Match report

Arsenal 2-1 Leeds United: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Arsenal

2-1Full time

Leeds United

Saturday 10 October 2026, 11:30 UTC Emirates Stadium, London

Our picks against the result

5 of 12 right

Result Arsenal win70% 2-1
Double chance Arsenal or draw (1X)90% 2-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.554% 3 goals
More corners Arsenal81% Leeds United (2-4)
Yellow cards Below average 5 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 5 yellow cards 2.5 Over64% 3.5 Under58% 4.5 Under76%
Corners Above average 6 corners · league 9.4
Corners 6 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over54% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

Arsenal Leeds United

2 Goals 1
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Arsenal vs Leeds United in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026, Matchday 6, is our pick for an Arsenal win, with Arsenal win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model backs Arsenal to win, mainly because its strength rating places them clearly above Leeds United and among the strongest sides in the Premier League. The model finds no strong argument against the pick, and the supporting case is solid: Arsenal have home advantage and have won eleven of the last thirteen meetings between the clubs, with no defeats. Over their last five matches, Arsenal have created big chances above the league average and conceded clearly fewer than average, while Leeds have been below average for shots and big chances created. That combination makes the result call clear.

Form guide

Arsenal

L 0-3 at Brighton & Hove Albion (A) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 4-2 at Ipswich Town (A) EFL Cup · 15 Sep
W 2-0 at Sunderland (A) Premier League · 12 Sep
W 1-0 at Napoli (A) Champions League · 9 Sep
W 2-1 vs Chelsea (H) Premier League · 6 Sep

Leeds United

D 0-0 vs Crystal Palace (H) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 4-1 vs Newcastle United (H) Premier League · 14 Sep
L 3-6 at Chelsea (A) EFL Cup · 9 Sep
D 1-1 at Brighton & Hove Albion (A) Premier League · 5 Sep
D 1-1 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 30 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ArsenalLeeds United

Attack 95 32 1.6 goals per match this season1.4 goals per match this season

Defence 100 74 0.8 conceded per match this season0.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.