Premier League · Matchday 6 Match report

Chelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Chelsea

5-1Full time

AFC Bournemouth

Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Stamford Bridge, London

Our picks against the result

8 of 13 right

Result Chelsea win44% 5-1
Double chance Chelsea or AFC Bournemouth (12)73% 5-1
Both teams to score Yes62% Yes
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.562% 6 goals
More corners Chelsea58% AFC Bournemouth (1-7)
Yellow cards Above average 4 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 2.5 Over78% 3.5 Over60% 4.5 Under60%
Corners Around average 8 corners · league 9.4
Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under57%

Match stats

Chelsea AFC Bournemouth

5 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
1 Corners 7

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth opens Matchday 6 of the Premier League at Stamford Bridge on Saturday 10 October 2026, and our model backs a Chelsea win, with Chelsea or AFC Bournemouth to win (no draw) as the double chance pick.

Why this pick?

Home advantage at Stamford Bridge is the main reason our model leans towards Chelsea, who also come out slightly stronger on our strength rating, with both clubs sitting above the Premier League average. The one thing that gives pause is Bournemouth's defensive work: they concede fewer shots and big chances than the average side, and they have drawn three of their five league games. But Chelsea's attacking output, and the touches they are getting in the opposition box, give the pick enough support, and the visitors have yet to win this season. The call is narrow.

Both teams to score: Both defences have been solid enough, but Chelsea's attack scores clearly above the league average and Bournemouth's also sits higher, while Chelsea have been giving up big chances at a rate well above the norm. Home advantage adds to it.

Form guide

Chelsea

L 0-3 at Brentford (A) Premier League · 18 Sep
D 2-2 vs Hull City (H) Premier League · 12 Sep
W 6-3 vs Leeds United (H) EFL Cup · 9 Sep
L 1-2 at Arsenal (A) Premier League · 6 Sep
W 4-3 vs Brighton & Hove Albion (H) Premier League · 30 Aug

AFC Bournemouth

L 0-1 vs Liverpool (H) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 2-1 at Real Sociedad (A) Europa League · 17 Sep
D 2-2 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 12 Sep
W 4-0 vs Lincoln City (H) EFL Cup · 8 Sep
D 2-2 at Newcastle United (A) Premier League · 5 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

ChelseaAFC Bournemouth

Attack 84 53 2.0 goals per match this season1.2 goals per match this season

Defence 26 58 2.4 conceded per match this season1.6 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.