Premier League · Matchday 6 Match report

Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Aston Villa

2-2Full time

Brentford

Saturday 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC Villa Park, Birmingham

Our picks against the result

5 of 12 right

Result Aston Villa win36% 2-2
Double chance Aston Villa or Brentford (12)71% 2-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.558% 4 goals
More corners Aston Villa54% Level (2-2)
Yellow cards Around average 7 yellow cards · league 3.8
Yellow cards 7 yellow cards 2.5 Over75% 3.5 Over56% 4.5 Under64%
Corners Above average 4 corners · league 9.4
Corners 4 corners 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under55% 11.5 Under65%

Match stats

Aston Villa Brentford

2 Goals 2
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Aston Villa vs Brentford meet at Villa Park in the Premier League on Saturday 10 October 2026, Matchday 6, with our model going for a home win and a double chance on either team to win, the draw aside.

Why this pick?

Our model leans towards Aston Villa, with home advantage at Villa Park the main reason. The counterweight is Brentford's form: unbeaten in the league, fourth on nine points, and a side our long-run strength rating places only slightly behind Villa. What holds the pick up is the overall picture rather than one argument: Villa's defensive rating is the stronger unit against Brentford's attack, while Brentford's defence is the softer part of their game. Villa's heavier schedule with European football to follow goes the other way, as does the visitors' chance creation over the last five matches, but neither overturns the view. All of that leaves a narrow call.

Form guide

Aston Villa

W 3-2 at Tottenham Hotspur (A) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 3-1 at Coventry City (A) EFL Cup · 16 Sep
L 1-2 vs Nottingham Forest (H) Premier League · 12 Sep
W 3-2 at Club Brugge (A) Champions League · 8 Sep
D 0-0 at Hull City (A) Premier League · 5 Sep

Brentford

W 3-0 vs Chelsea (H) Premier League · 18 Sep
W 2-1 at Reading (A) EFL Cup · 15 Sep
D 2-2 at AFC Bournemouth (A) Premier League · 12 Sep
D 1-1 vs Sunderland (H) Premier League · 5 Sep
D 1-1 at Leeds United (A) Premier League · 30 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Aston VillaBrentford

Attack 58 63 0.8 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 68 53 1.8 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Premier League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.