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Belgian Pro League · Matchday 12

Genk vs RAAL La Louvière: Match Preview & Stats

Cegeka Arena, Genk

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Genk: 3 of 4 right
  • RAAL La Louvière: 3 of 4 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Belgian Pro League, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Cegeka Arena, Genk
Since last match
Genk: 12 days (Belgian Pro League) · Union St.Gilloise (1‑0) RAAL La Louvière: 13 days (Belgian Pro League) · Cercle Brugge (0‑1)
Next match
Genk: 7 days (Belgian Pro League) later RAAL La Louvière: 6 days (Belgian Pro League) later

Last starting XI

Genk 3-4-3

  1. 28 Brughmans
  2. 6 Smets
  3. 5 Ravych
  4. 16 Kongolo
  5. 20 Amaro
  6. 4 Tahirović
  7. 8 Heynen
  8. 18 Ditu
  9. 23 Bibout
  10. 38 Heymans
  11. 17 Durosinmi

Coach: Jess Thorup at Union St.Gilloise, 0-1 · First Division A · 8 Nov

RAAL La Louvière 5-3-2

  1. 21 Peano
  2. 4 Faye
  3. 22 Gourville
  4. 25 Lamego
  5. 3 Gillot
  6. 5 Lutonda
  7. 29 Courcoul
  8. 10 Wade
  9. 78 Tajaouart
  10. 90 Rousseau
  11. 11 Isah

Coach: Edward Still vs Cercle Brugge, 0-1 · First Division A · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Genk

  • DF Adrian PalaciosInjured · Day to day
  • DF Christian AkpanInjured · Day to day
  • DF Ken NkubaInjured · Day to day
  • MF Kenan HarounInjured · Day to day

RAAL La Louvière

  • MF Bryan SoumaréInjured · Day to day
  • – Mouhamed BelkheirInjured · Day to day

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Genk

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 0.0%
4 players out

RAAL La Louvière

Low impact
Missing attack share 0.0%
Missing minutes share 1.0%
2 players out

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Genk RAAL La Louvière
Box & Territory Pressure 63 47
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 70 33
Finishing Efficiency 27 22
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 40 21
Underlying Play Power 69 37
Genk Balanced (results match underlying play)
RAAL La Louvière Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Genk

When scoring first 80% won · 80% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 17% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 60% 2nd Half: 40%
First 15': 15% Last 15' (76-90'): 10%

RAAL La Louvière

When scoring first 40% won · 40% unbeaten (5 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 10% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 39% 2nd Half: 61%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 22%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Genk

  1. 1. FW Rafiu Durosinmi 4G · 0A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Junya Ito 2G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 6.0%
  3. 3. MF Jeppe Erenbjerg 0G · 3A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 11.0%

RAAL La Louvière

  1. 1. FW Mustapha Isah 4G · 0A
    Team attack 21.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. FW Zsombor Gruber 0G · 2A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 13.0%
  3. 3. MF Nolan Gillot 3G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 7.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Genk RAAL La Louvière
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 5/10 7/10
Over 3.5 goals 2/10 5/10
Both teams scored 3/10 3/10
Clean sheet 4/10 3/10
Failed to score 4/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.6 / 1.1 1.5 / 2.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Genk

  • L 0-1 at Union St.Gilloise (A) Belgian Pro League · 8 Nov
  • L 0-1 at KV Mechelen (A) Belgian Pro League · 31 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Standard Liège (H) Belgian Pro League · 25 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Virton (A) Belgian Cup · 17 Oct
  • W 3-0 vs Kortrijk (H) Belgian Pro League · 10 Oct

RAAL La Louvière

  • L 0-1 vs Cercle Brugge (H) Belgian Pro League · 7 Nov
  • L 2-5 at Sporting Charleroi (A) Belgian Pro League · 1 Nov
  • W 3-0 vs Zulte Waregem (H) Belgian Pro League · 24 Oct
  • W 4-0 vs FC Liège (H) Belgian Cup · 17 Oct
  • L 1-4 vs Club Brugge (H) Belgian Pro League · 10 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Genk

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 5 scored, 0 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 3 scored, 1 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 2 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 2 scored, 6 conceded

RAAL La Louvière

  • 1-15 minutes: 3 scored, 3 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 1 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 1 scored, 6 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 3 scored, 4 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 3 scored, 5 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Belgian Pro League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Genk

Player G A
Rafiu Durosinmi (2 pens) 6 0
Aaron Bibout 3 0
Junya Ito 2 2
Josue Kongolo 2 0
Ayumu Yokoyama 1 1

RAAL La Louvière

Player G A
Mustapha Isah 6 0
Nolan Gillot 3 0
Elias Filet 2 0
Léandro Rousseau 2 0

Goals and assists in the Belgian Pro League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Genk RAAL La Louvière
  • 4.9 Corners won 3.8
  • 5.8 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 2.1 Yellow cards 1.9
  • 1.7 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Belgian Pro League this season. Average per club and match: 5.1 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

GenkRAAL La Louvière
Attack 71 12 1.6 goals per match this season1.2 goals per match this season
Defence 76 24 1.4 conceded per match this season2.2 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Belgian Pro League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1836Elo #100 Elo rating 1607Elo #323

Head-to-head

0Genk wins
2draws
0RAAL La Louvière wins

2 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 22 Mar 2026 · Belgian Pro League RAAL La Louvière 5-5 Genk
  • 26 Oct 2025 · Belgian Pro League Genk 1-1 RAAL La Louvière

Table

Belgian Pro League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Union St.Gilloise 11 920 30:7 +23 29
2 Club Brugge 11 911 27:9 +18 28
3 Gent 11 911 20:6 +14 28
4 Sporting Charleroi 11 902 26:13 +13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 623 14:12 +2 20
6 Lommel 11 443 15:13 +2 16
7 Genk 11 434 18:15 +3 15
8 Standard Liège 11 434 18:16 +2 15
9 Westerlo 11 425 26:30 -4 14
10 OH Leuven 11 335 12:17 -5 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 335 13:20 -7 12
12 St.Truiden 11 326 22:22 0 11
13 Royal Antwerp 11 326 18:24 -6 11
14 Zulte Waregem 11 326 13:20 -7 11
15 SK Beveren 11 317 13:23 -10 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 236 14:22 -8 9
17 RAAL La Louvière 11 218 13:24 -11 7
18 Kortrijk 11 119 4:23 -19 4

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Belgian Pro League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleRelegated
Genk 15
RAAL La Louvière 7

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.