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Belgian Pro League · Matchday 12

Sporting Charleroi vs St.Truiden: Match Preview & Stats

Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Sporting Charleroi: 3 of 4 right
  • St.Truiden: 3 of 7 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Belgian Pro League, Matchday 12
Kick-off
Venue
Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
Since last match
Sporting Charleroi: 14 days (Belgian Pro League) · Westerlo (1‑5) St.Truiden: 12 days (Belgian Pro League) · Zulte Waregem (4‑1)
Next match
Sporting Charleroi: 7 days (Belgian Pro League) later St.Truiden: 5 days (Conference League) later · Hajduk Split

Last starting XI

Sporting Charleroi 4-2-3-1

  1. 30 Koné
  2. 3 Van Den Kerkhof
  3. 4 Ousou
  4. 33 Solheid
  5. 2 Rowe
  6. 18 Khalifi
  7. 51 Kera
  8. 14 Pflücke
  9. 8 Romsaas
  10. 20 Mbemba
  11. 21 Scheidler

Coach: Mario Kohnen at Westerlo, 5-1 · First Division A · 7 Nov

St.Truiden 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 Kokubo
  2. 60 Vanwesemael
  3. 5 Taniguchi
  4. 26 Musliu
  5. 23 Pupe
  6. 8 Sissako
  7. 18 Ishiwatari
  8. 11 Mbuku
  9. 99 Shinkawa
  10. 10 Sebaoui
  11. 9 Baždar

Coach: Frederic De Meyer vs Zulte Waregem, 4-1 · First Division A · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Sporting Charleroi

  • DF Massamba SowInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Antoine BernierInjured · Day to day

St.Truiden

No absences reported.

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Sporting Charleroi

Low impact
Missing attack share 3.0%
Missing minutes share 3.0%
2 players out

St.Truiden

Low impact

Full squad available — no listed absences

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Sporting Charleroi St.Truiden
Box & Territory Pressure 58 70
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 63 48
Finishing Efficiency 87 49
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 71 17
Underlying Play Power 74 63
Sporting Charleroi Results above play quality (running hot)
St.Truiden Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Sporting Charleroi

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 25% points rescued · 0% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 37% 2nd Half: 63%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 20%

St.Truiden

When scoring first 67% won · 89% unbeaten (9 matches)
When conceding first 17% points rescued · 0% won (6 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 17% Last 15' (76-90'): 17%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Sporting Charleroi

  1. 1. FW Aurélien Scheidler 6G · 2A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 21.0%
  2. 2. FW Freddy Mbemba 4G · 3A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 11.0%
  3. 3. MF Patrick Pflücke 2G · 4A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 11.0%

St.Truiden

  1. 1. FW Ilias Sebaoui 4G · 0A
    Team attack 18.0% Team shots 19.0%
  2. 2. MF Nathanaël Mbuku 1G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 17.0%
  3. 3. FW Samed Baždar 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends Sporting Charleroi St.Truiden
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 9/10
Over 2.5 goals 6/10 5/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 4/10
Both teams scored 5/10 6/10
Clean sheet 4/10 2/10
Failed to score 1/10 2/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.3 / 1.2 1.8 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Sporting Charleroi

  • W 5-1 at Westerlo (A) Belgian Pro League · 7 Nov
  • W 5-2 vs RAAL La Louvière (H) Belgian Pro League · 1 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Royal Antwerp (A) Belgian Pro League · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Renaissance Mons (A) Belgian Cup · 17 Oct
  • W 1-0 at Standard Liège (A) Belgian Pro League · 11 Oct

St.Truiden

  • W 4-1 vs Zulte Waregem (H) Belgian Pro League · 8 Nov
  • D 1-1 vs Brann (H) Conference League · 5 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs OH Leuven (H) Belgian Pro League · 1 Nov
  • L 2-3 at Club Brugge (A) Belgian Pro League · 25 Oct
  • W 1-0 at FC Midtjylland (A) Conference League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Sporting Charleroi

  • 1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 4 scored, 2 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 6 scored, 2 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 5 scored, 1 conceded

St.Truiden

  • 1-15 minutes: 4 scored, 1 conceded
  • 16-30 minutes: 0 scored, 4 conceded
  • 31-45 minutes: 3 scored, 5 conceded
  • 46-60 minutes: 5 scored, 6 conceded
  • 61-75 minutes: 6 scored, 3 conceded
  • 76-90 minutes: 4 scored, 3 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Belgian Pro League this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Sporting Charleroi

Player G A
Aurélien Scheidler (2 pens) 6 2
Freddy Mbemba 5 3
Patrick Pflücke 2 4
Jakob Napoleon Romsaas 2 3
Kévin Van Den Kerkhof 2 2

St.Truiden

Player G A
Samed Baždar 5 0
Ilias Sebaoui (2 pens) 4 3
Ryan Merlen 3 4
Kaito Matsuzawa 2 2
Nelson Ishiwatari 2 1

Goals and assists in the Belgian Pro League this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Sporting Charleroi St.Truiden
  • 5.4 Corners won 6.1
  • 4.2 Corners conceded 4.3
  • 1.5 Yellow cards 1.6
  • 1.4 Opponents' yellow cards 1.5

Per match in the Belgian Pro League this season. Average per club and match: 5.1 corners, 1.7 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Sporting CharleroiSt.Truiden
Attack 65 76 2.4 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season
Defence 71 53 1.2 conceded per match this season2.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Belgian Pro League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1809Elo #125 Elo rating 1778Elo #141

Head-to-head

13Sporting Charleroi wins
9draws
6St.Truiden wins

28 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 31 Jan 2026 · Belgian Pro League St.Truiden 0-2 Sporting Charleroi
  • 3 Aug 2025 · Belgian Pro League Sporting Charleroi 1-1 St.Truiden
  • 21 Dec 2024 · Belgian Pro League Sporting Charleroi 2-1 St.Truiden
  • 3 Aug 2024 · Belgian Pro League St.Truiden 1-4 Sporting Charleroi
  • 23 Dec 2023 · Belgian Pro League St.Truiden 1-0 Sporting Charleroi

Table

Belgian Pro League: Table
#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Union St.Gilloise 11 920 30:7 +23 29
2 Club Brugge 11 911 27:9 +18 28
3 Gent 11 911 20:6 +14 28
4 Sporting Charleroi 11 902 26:13 +13 27
5 Anderlecht 11 623 14:12 +2 20
6 Lommel 11 443 15:13 +2 16
7 Genk 11 434 18:15 +3 15
8 Standard Liège 11 434 18:16 +2 15
9 Westerlo 11 425 26:30 -4 14
10 OH Leuven 11 335 12:17 -5 12
11 KV Mechelen 11 335 13:20 -7 12
12 St.Truiden 11 326 22:22 0 11
13 Royal Antwerp 11 326 18:24 -6 11
14 Zulte Waregem 11 326 13:20 -7 11
15 SK Beveren 11 317 13:23 -10 10
16 Cercle Brugge 11 236 14:22 -8 9
17 RAAL La Louvière 11 218 13:24 -11 7
18 Kortrijk 11 119 4:23 -19 4

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Belgian Pro League: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleRelegated
Sporting Charleroi 27
St.Truiden 11

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