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Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 36

Botafogo vs São Paulo: Match Preview & Stats

Botafogo crest Botafogo
vs
São Paulo crest São Paulo
Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Botafogo: 2 of 3 right
  • São Paulo: 1 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 36
Kick-off
Local time
20:00 (Brasília time)
Venue
Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Since last match
Botafogo: 4 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Corinthians São Paulo: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Fluminense
Next match
Botafogo: 5 days (Brasileirão Série A) later São Paulo: 3 days (Brasileirão Série A) later · Remo

Last starting XI

Botafogo 3-5-2

  1. 12 Batista
  2. 5 Ferraresi
  3. 34 Justino
  4. 21 Marçal
  5. 2 Vitinho
  6. 88 Edenílson
  7. 75 Huguinho
  8. 6 Medina
  9. 29 Paulinho
  10. 90 Danilo
  11. 9 Soares

Coach: Tite vs Atlético-MG, 1-0 · Série A · 5 Nov

São Paulo 4-1-4-1

  1. 23 Rafael
  2. 32 Lima
  3. 5 Arboleda
  4. 2 Tolói
  5. 12 Iago
  6. 28 Newton
  7. 37 Artur
  8. 48 Djhordney
  9. 16 Bobadilla
  10. 7 Moura
  11. 10 Luciano

Coach: Dorival Júnior vs Corinthians, 0-0 · Série A · 5 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Botafogo

  • DF Arthur ChavesInjured · About a week
  • MF DaniloInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF Jordan BarreraInjured · Out for the season
  • – KaioInjured · Late November 2026

São Paulo

  • DF Aurélio ButaInjured · Late November 2026
  • DF Domingos DuarteInjured · Out for the season
  • DF NicolasInjured · Early December 2026
  • DF SabinoInjured · Out for the season
  • MF Marcos AntônioInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Botafogo

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 8.0%
4 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Danilo 11% attack · 6% mins

São Paulo

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 6.0%
Missing minutes share 10.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • MF Marcos Antônio 3% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Botafogo São Paulo
Box & Territory Pressure 49 48
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 43 64
Finishing Efficiency 32 20
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 65 65
Underlying Play Power 50 52
Botafogo Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
São Paulo Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Botafogo

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (4 matches)
When conceding first 20% points rescued · 0% won (10 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 15% Last 15' (76-90'): 31%

São Paulo

When scoring first 86% won · 86% unbeaten (7 matches)
When conceding first 29% points rescued · 0% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 56% 2nd Half: 44%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 12%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Botafogo

  1. 1. MF Vitinho 1G · 2A
    Team attack 10.0% Team shots 5.0%
  2. 2. DF Alex Telles 1G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 3.0%
  3. 3. MF Álvaro Montoro 1G · 2A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 6.0%

São Paulo

  1. 1. FW Artur 1G · 1A
    Team attack 14.0% Team shots 14.0%
  2. 2. FW Jonathan Calleri 3G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. DF Pedro Lima 1G · 1A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Botafogo São Paulo
Over 1.5 goals 7/10 7/10
Over 2.5 goals 4/10 3/10
Over 3.5 goals 1/10 1/10
Both teams scored 5/10 5/10
Clean sheet 3/10 3/10
Failed to score 3/10 3/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 0.9 / 1.3 0.9 / 1.2

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Botafogo

  • W 1-0 vs Atlético-MG (H) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • L 1-2 at Remo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
  • L 0-3 at Internacional (A) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Chapecoense (H) Brasileirão Série A · 17 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Coritiba (A) Brasileirão Série A · 12 Oct

São Paulo

  • D 0-0 vs Corinthians (H) Brasileirão Série A · 5 Nov
  • L 2-3 at Bahia (A) Brasileirão Série A · 29 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Mirassol (A) Brasileirão Série A · 24 Oct
  • W 1-0 vs Vasco da Gama (H) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Vitória (H) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Botafogo

São Paulo

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Botafogo

Player G A
Danilo 10 2
Arthur Cabral 7 1
Edenílson 5 2
Alex Telles (2 pens) 4 4
Matheus Martins 4 1

São Paulo

Player G A
Jonathan Calleri (2 pens) 10 2
Luciano (2 pens) 9 1
Ferreira 4 0
Artur 3 2
Lucas Moura (1 pen) 2 1

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Botafogo São Paulo
  • 4.7 Corners won 6.9
  • 5.6 Corners conceded 4.9
  • 2.6 Yellow cards 2.2
  • 1.9 Opponents' yellow cards 2.6

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

BotafogoSão Paulo
Attack 74 21 1.4 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season
Defence 42 84 1.6 conceded per match this season1.1 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1745Elo #176 Elo rating 1743Elo #178

Head-to-head

9Botafogo wins
11draws
10São Paulo wins

30 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 23 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A São Paulo 1-1 Botafogo
  • 14 Sep 2025 · Brasileirão Série A São Paulo 1-0 Botafogo
  • 16 Apr 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Botafogo 2-2 São Paulo
  • 8 Dec 2024 · Brasileirão Série A Botafogo 2-1 São Paulo
  • 26 Sep 2024 · Copa Libertadores São Paulo 1-1 Botafogo

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Flamengo 34 2374 71:29 +42 76
2 Palmeiras 34 21103 62:23 +39 73
3 Cruzeiro 34 18610 55:48 +7 60
4 Fluminense 34 1699 55:42 +13 57
5 Athletico Paranaense 34 15910 51:43 +8 54
6 Bahia 34 14119 50:45 +5 53
7 Atlético-MG 34 14812 44:40 +4 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 13813 44:39 +5 47
9 Santos 34 121111 50:49 +1 47
10 São Paulo 34 12814 39:39 0 44
11 Botafogo 34 11914 46:53 -7 42
12 Coritiba 34 11914 40:51 -11 42
13 Vasco da Gama 33 11814 43:50 -7 41
14 Mirassol 34 101014 39:48 -9 40
15 Internacional 34 91114 38:42 -4 38
16 Vitória 34 10816 35:51 -16 38
17 Corinthians 34 91015 36:42 -6 37
18 Grêmio 34 91015 38:47 -9 37
19 Remo 34 61117 37:57 -20 29
20 Chapecoense 33 4920 33:68 -35 21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleLibertadoresRelegated
Botafogo 42
São Paulo 44

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.