Brasileirão Série A · Matchday 36

Santos vs Grêmio: Match Preview & Stats

Santos

Grêmio

Tuesday 24 November 2026, 00:00 UTC MorumBIS, São Paulo, São Paulo

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on Sunday 22 November 2026, 00:00 UTC. (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

Santos: 1 of 3 right
Grêmio: 2 of 3 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition: Brasileirão Série A, Matchday 36
Kick-off: Tuesday 24 November 2026, 00:00 UTC
Local time: 21:00 (Brasília time)
Venue: MorumBIS, São Paulo, São Paulo
Since last match: Santos: 5 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Coritiba Grêmio: 4 days (Brasileirão Série A) · Bahia
Next match: Santos: 5 days (Brasileirão Série A) later Grêmio: 5 days (Brasileirão Série A) later

Last starting XI

Santos 4-2-3-1

1 Diógenes
23 Rodinei
42 Alencar
14 Peres
22 Barreal
48 Henrique
28 Oliva
8 Bontempo
11 Coutinho
7 Éverton
9 Barbosa

Coach: Cuca at RB Bragantino, 1-2 · Série A · 2 Nov

Grêmio 4-1-4-1

12 Grando
14 Rocha
6 Martins
4 Kannemann
54 Gabriel
8 Noriega
11 Tetê
20 Villasanti
17 Dodi
38 Paulista
22 Braithwaite

Coach: Renato Gaúcho at Flamengo, 1-3 · Série A · 4 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Santos

GK Gabriel BrazãoInjured · Out for the season
DF Lucas VeríssimoInjured · Late November 2026
DF Vinicius LiraInjured · Out for the season

Grêmio

MF DaniloInjured · About 1-2 weeks
MF Diego CaitoInjured · About 1-2 weeks
MF Juan NardoniInjured · Late November 2026
FW Cristian PavónInjured · About 1-2 weeks

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Santos

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 2.0%

Missing minutes share 6.0%

3 players out 1 regular starter out

Grêmio

Moderate impact

Missing attack share 16.0%

Missing minutes share 11.0%

4 players out 2 regular starters out

Key absences:

FW Cristian Pavón 12% attack · 5% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Santos Grêmio

Box & Territory Pressure 46 45

Set-Piece & Corner Threat 38 75

Finishing Efficiency 66 47

Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 36 57

Underlying Play Power 53 48

Santos Balanced (results match underlying play)

Grêmio Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Santos

When scoring first 83% won · 83% unbeaten (6 matches)

When conceding first 71% points rescued · 29% won (7 matches)

1st Half: 45% 2nd Half: 55%

First 15': 5% Last 15' (76-90'): 27%

Grêmio

When scoring first 40% won · 60% unbeaten (5 matches)

When conceding first 38% points rescued · 25% won (8 matches)

1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%

First 15': 0% Last 15' (76-90'): 19%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Santos

1. FW Gabriel Barbosa 6G · 2A

Team attack 25.0% Team shots 28.0%
2. FW Gabriel Bontempo 1G · 1A

Team attack 13.0% Team shots 11.0%
3. FW Benjamín Rollheiser 1G · 1A

Team attack 8.0% Team shots 8.0%

Grêmio

1. FW Francis Amuzu 1G · 1A

Team attack 12.0% Team shots 15.0%
2. FW Carlos Vinícius 1G · 0A

Team attack 11.0% Team shots 12.0%
3. MF Marlon 1G · 0A

Team attack 7.0% Team shots 5.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Scoring trends

Scoring trends	Santos	Grêmio
Over 1.5 goals	9/10	8/10
Over 2.5 goals	8/10	3/10
Over 3.5 goals	2/10	3/10
Both teams scored	9/10	6/10
Clean sheet	1/10	4/10
Failed to score	1/10	1/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded)	1.5 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.3

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Santos

L 1-2 at RB Bragantino (A) Brasileirão Série A · 2 Nov
D 0-0 vs Palmeiras (H) Brasileirão Série A · 28 Oct
D 1-1 vs Bahia (H) Brasileirão Série A · 25 Oct
W 2-1 at Fluminense (A) Brasileirão Série A · 18 Oct
L 1-2 at Atlético-MG (A) Brasileirão Série A · 11 Oct

Grêmio

D 1-1 at Atlético-MG (A) Copa do Brasil · 7 Nov
L 1-3 at Flamengo (A) Brasileirão Série A · 4 Nov
W 2-0 vs Atlético-MG (H) Copa do Brasil · 1 Nov
W 2-0 vs Athletico Paranaense (H) Brasileirão Série A · 30 Oct
W 1-0 at Coritiba (A) Brasileirão Série A · 26 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Santos

1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 5 conceded
16-30 minutes: 8 scored, 6 conceded
31-45 minutes: 12 scored, 10 conceded
46-60 minutes: 10 scored, 5 conceded
61-75 minutes: 5 scored, 9 conceded
76-90 minutes: 13 scored, 14 conceded

Grêmio

1-15 minutes: 2 scored, 2 conceded
16-30 minutes: 5 scored, 9 conceded
31-45 minutes: 9 scored, 9 conceded
46-60 minutes: 10 scored, 8 conceded
61-75 minutes: 6 scored, 12 conceded
76-90 minutes: 6 scored, 7 conceded

Goals in each 15-minute period, Brasileirão Série A this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Santos

Player	G	A
Gabriel Barbosa (2 pens)	15	4
Neymar (4 pens)	8	3
Álvaro Barreal	5	1
Benjamín Rollheiser (2 pens)	4	3
Christian Oliva	2	2

Grêmio

Player	G	A
Carlos Vinícius (2 pens)	11	1
Cristian Pavón	3	4
Gustavo Martins	3	2
Francis Amuzu	2	4
Marlon	2	1

Goals and assists in the Brasileirão Série A this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Santos Grêmio

5.4 Corners won 4.5
5.3 Corners conceded 5.5
3.0 Yellow cards 2.6
2.4 Opponents' yellow cards 2.5

Per match in the Brasileirão Série A this season. Average per club and match: 5.3 corners, 2.4 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

SantosGrêmio

Attack 84 26 1.5 goals per match this season1.1 goals per match this season

Defence 26 37 1.4 conceded per match this season1.4 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Brasileirão Série A clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1753Elo #168 Elo rating 1711Elo #227

Head-to-head

10Santos wins

13draws

11Grêmio wins

34 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

23 May 2026 · Brasileirão Série A Grêmio 3-2 Santos
2 Oct 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Santos 1-1 Grêmio
4 May 2025 · Brasileirão Série A Grêmio 1-0 Santos
20 Aug 2023 · Brasileirão Série A Santos 2-1 Grêmio
16 Apr 2023 · Brasileirão Série A Grêmio 1-0 Santos

Table

Brasileirão Série A: Table
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo	34	23	7	4	71:29	+42	76
2	Palmeiras	34	21	10	3	62:23	+39	73
3	Cruzeiro	34	18	6	10	55:48	+7	60
4	Fluminense	34	16	9	9	55:42	+13	57
5	Athletico Paranaense	34	15	9	10	51:43	+8	54
6	Bahia	34	14	11	9	50:45	+5	53
7	Atlético-MG	34	14	8	12	44:40	+4	50
8	RB Bragantino	34	13	8	13	44:39	+5	47
9	Santos	34	12	11	11	50:49	+1	47
10	São Paulo	34	12	8	14	39:39	0	44
11	Botafogo	34	11	9	14	46:53	-7	42
12	Coritiba	34	11	9	14	40:51	-11	42
13	Vasco da Gama	33	11	8	14	43:50	-7	41
14	Mirassol	34	10	10	14	39:48	-9	40
15	Internacional	34	9	11	14	38:42	-4	38
16	Vitória	34	10	8	16	35:51	-16	38
17	Corinthians	34	9	10	15	36:42	-6	37
18	Grêmio	34	9	10	15	38:47	-9	37
19	Remo	34	6	11	17	37:57	-20	29
20	Chapecoense	33	4	9	20	33:68	-35	21

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the Brasileirão Série A: average points, likely range and chances.

Club	Pts	Avg pts	Likely	Title	Libertadores	Relegated
Santos	47
Grêmio	37

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.