Champions League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

Aston Villa 3-1 Viking: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Aston Villa

3-1Full time

Viking

Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Villa Park, Birmingham

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Aston Villa win72% 3-1
Double chance Aston Villa or draw (1X)89% 3-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.570% 4 goals
More corners Aston Villa72% Aston Villa (8-6)
Yellow cards Around average 0 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Over53% 4.5 Under67% 5.5 Under81%
Corners Around average 14 corners · league 9.8
Corners 14 corners 8.5 Over67% 9.5 Over56% 10.5 Under54%

Match stats

Aston Villa Viking

3 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
8 Corners 6

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Aston Villa vs Viking is the Champions League league phase matchday 3 tie at Villa Park on Wednesday 21 October 2026, and our model picks a home win, with Aston Villa win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Aston Villa the pick, first of all because our strength rating places them clearly above Viking: two wins from two in the league phase, third of 36, with nine goals scored and two conceded. The one thing that argues the other way is Viking's 3‑3 draw with Bayern München, a reminder that they can find the net. It does not change the call: Villa have home advantage at Villa Park, the goal model reads the matchup their way, and Viking's ratings — attack 31, defence 11 — sit far lower, with recent play clearly below the league average in possession, shots and big chances created. The call is clear.

Form guide

Aston Villa

W 1-0 at Newcastle United (A) Premier League · 17 Oct
W 6-0 vs Fenerbahçe (H) Champions League · 14 Oct
D 2-2 vs Brentford (H) Premier League · 10 Oct
W 3-2 at Tottenham Hotspur (A) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 3-1 at Coventry City (A) EFL Cup · 16 Sep

Viking

W 3-2 vs Fredrikstad (H) Eliteserien · 17 Oct
D 3-3 vs Bayern München (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 2-0 at Brann (A) Eliteserien · 9 Oct
W 3-0 vs Lillestrøm (H) Eliteserien · 20 Sep
W 8-1 vs Kristiansund (H) Eliteserien · 13 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Aston VillaViking

Attack 77 31 4.5 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 83 11 1.0 conceded per match this season3.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.