Champions League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

Inter 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Inter

1-0Full time

Shakhtar Donetsk

Wednesday 21 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Our picks against the result

8 of 13 right

Result Inter win75% 1-0
Double chance Inter or draw (1X)91% 1-0
Both teams to score Yes63% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.572% 1 goal
More corners Inter79% Inter (5-4)
Yellow cards Around average 4 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under57% 4.5 Under76% 5.5 Under88%
Corners Around average 9 corners · league 9.8
Corners 9 corners 8.5 Over57% 9.5 Under54% 10.5 Under64%

Match stats

Inter Shakhtar Donetsk

1 Goals 0
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
5 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Inter vs Shakhtar Donetsk is the Champions League league-phase fixture at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday 21 October 2026, and our model goes for a home win, with Inter win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Inter clear favourites: our strength rating places them clearly above the Champions League average, with Shakhtar Donetsk just as far beneath it, and the goal model points in the same direction. The counterweight is Shakhtar's own form, unbeaten in this competition and on a run of five straight wins, plus a head-to-head record with three draws in five meetings. What swings it back is Inter's attacking output, with big chances comfortably above the league average across their recent games while Shakhtar create markedly less, and the Meazza setting adds a little more. On that reading the call is clear.

Both teams to score: Our model also expects both teams to score: Inter's recent games have been open, with 5‑3, 3‑4 and 2‑2 among them, and their big-chance numbers sit above the league average, while Shakhtar have found the net in each of their last five.

Form guide

Inter

W 3-1 at Bologna (A) Serie A · 17 Oct
L 3-4 vs Club Brugge (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 3-0 vs Parma (H) Serie A · 10 Oct
D 2-2 at Roma (A) Serie A · 19 Sep
W 5-3 vs Udinese (H) Serie A · 14 Sep

Shakhtar Donetsk

W 2-1 vs FC Kolos Kovalivka (H) Premier League · 17 Oct
W 3-1 vs AEK Athens (H) Champions League · 14 Oct
W 3-0 at Veres Rivne (A) Premier League · 9 Oct
W 3-0 vs LNZ Cherkasy (H) Premier League · 20 Sep
W 2-0 vs Chornomorets Odesa (H) Premier League · 14 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

InterShakhtar Donetsk

Attack 80 9 2.0 goals per match this season2.0 goals per match this season

Defence 57 23 3.0 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.