Champions League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

FC Porto 0-1 PSV Eindhoven: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

FC Porto

0-1Full time

PSV Eindhoven

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Estádio Do Dragão, Porto

Our picks against the result

4 of 13 right

Result FC Porto win57% 0-1
Double chance FC Porto or PSV Eindhoven (12)80% 0-1
Both teams to score Yes61% No
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.564% 1 goal
More corners FC Porto57% PSV Eindhoven (2-3)
Yellow cards Above average 2 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 2 yellow cards 3.5 Over60% 4.5 Under60% 5.5 Under76%
Corners Around average 5 corners · league 9.8
Corners 5 corners 8.5 Over64% 9.5 Over53% 10.5 Under58%

Match stats

FC Porto PSV Eindhoven

0 Goals 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
2 Corners 3

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven comes in the Champions League league phase, matchday 3, at the Estádio Do Dragão on Tuesday 20 October 2026, and our model picks a home win. Our double chance choice is either side to win, with no draw.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with an FC Porto win, mainly because our strength rating puts the home side clearly above PSV Eindhoven, who sit below the Champions League average. Nothing in the data argues strongly the other way. Playing at the Dragão adds a further edge, and Porto's defensive rating is comfortably the strongest part of their profile, while PSV's weakest numbers come in that same area. Porto's recent play supports the call lightly, with big chances created above the league average, and their two defeats so far in the league phase are what keeps this from being a clearer call. The verdict is moderate rather than emphatic.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our pick as well: PSV Eindhoven's attack scores above the Champions League average and their defence concedes more than most, while Porto's home advantage should push the game forward, even if Porto's own defence is a strong unit.

Form guide

FC Porto

L 2-3 at Real Betis (A) Champions League · 14 Oct
W 2-1 at Marítimo (A) Liga Portugal · 10 Oct
W 3-1 vs Benfica (H) Liga Portugal · 20 Sep
W 4-1 at Casa Pia AC (A) Liga Portugal · 12 Sep
L 0-2 vs Manchester City (H) Champions League · 8 Sep

PSV Eindhoven

L 1-2 at ADO Den Haag (A) Eredivisie · 17 Oct
L 0-1 at RB Leipzig (A) Champions League · 13 Oct
W 2-0 vs SC Heerenveen (H) Eredivisie · 9 Oct
L 2-3 at FC Twente (A) Eredivisie · 20 Sep
W 4-1 vs Sparta Rotterdam (H) Eredivisie · 13 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

FC PortoPSV Eindhoven

Attack 37 57 1.0 goals per match this season0.5 goals per match this season

Defence 83 14 2.5 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.