Champions League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

Sabah FK 1-2 Borussia Dortmund: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Sabah FK

1-2Full time

Borussia Dortmund

Tuesday 20 October 2026, 16:45 UTC Baki Olimpiya Stadionu, Baku

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Borussia Dortmund win67% 1-2
Double chance Borussia Dortmund or draw (X2)86% 1-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.557% 3 goals
More corners Borussia Dortmund75% Borussia Dortmund (4-9)
Yellow cards Below average 4 yellow cards · league 3.6
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Under61% 4.5 Under79% 5.5 Under90%
Corners Around average 13 corners · league 9.8
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over62% 9.5 Over51% 10.5 Under59%

Match stats

Sabah FK Borussia Dortmund

1 Goals 2
4 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
4 Corners 9

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Sabah FK vs Borussia Dortmund opens matchday 3 of the Champions League league phase at the Baki Olimpiya Stadionu on Tuesday 20 October 2026, and our model goes with a Borussia Dortmund win, with a Dortmund win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model makes Borussia Dortmund the pick because its strength rating places them clearly above Sabah FK, who sit well below the Champions League average on the same measure. The obvious counterweight is the home advantage Sabah carry in Baku, and their 2‑0 win over Slavia Prague at home shows they can use it. What swings it back is the quality gap: Sabah's recent play is clearly below the league average for big chances created and touches in the opposition box, and they concede shots and big chances at a clearly higher rate than most, while Dortmund give up few of either. The call is a clear one.

Form guide

Sabah FK

W 4-0 at FK Qabala (A) Premier League · 17 Oct
W 2-0 vs Slavia Prague (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
D 0-0 at FK Neftchi (A) Premier League · 9 Oct
W 3-1 vs Imisli FK (H) Premier League · 19 Sep
W 3-0 at Shafa (A) Premier League · 14 Sep

Borussia Dortmund

D 0-0 at Union Berlin (A) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
L 0-1 at Bodø/Glimt (A) Champions League · 14 Oct
D 2-2 vs Werder Bremen (H) Bundesliga · 9 Oct
W 1-0 at VfB Stuttgart (A) Bundesliga · 19 Sep
W 3-0 vs Paderborn (H) Bundesliga · 12 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Sabah FKBorussia Dortmund

Attack 3 60 1.0 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season

Defence 6 71 2.0 conceded per match this season1.5 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.