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Champions League · League phase, matchday 3 Match report

VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

VfB Stuttgart crest VfB Stuttgart
1-1Full time
Atlético Madrid crest Atlético Madrid
MHPArena, Stuttgart

Our picks against the result

5 of 13 right

  • Result VfB Stuttgart win40% 1-1
  • Double chance VfB Stuttgart or Atlético Madrid (12)78% 1-1
  • Both teams to score Yes64% Yes
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.567% 2 goals
  • More corners Atlético Madrid45% VfB Stuttgart (9-4)
  • Yellow cards Above average 1 yellow card · league 3.6
  • Yellow cards 1 yellow card 3.5 Over55% 4.5 Under65% 5.5 Under80%
  • Corners Around average 13 corners · league 9.8
  • Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

VfB Stuttgart Atlético Madrid
  • 1 Goals 1
  • 1 Yellow cards 0
  • 0 Red cards 1
  • 9 Corners 4

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid meet at the MHPArena on Tuesday 20 October 2026 in the Champions League league phase, matchday 3, and our model backs a Stuttgart win, with the double chance covering either side but not the draw.

Why this pick?

Our model goes with VfB Stuttgart, and playing at the MHPArena is the main reason: two wins from two in this league phase, six goals scored and one conceded. The strongest counter is that Atlético Madrid come out higher on our long-run, xG-based strength rating, above the Champions League average, and their recent attacking output backs that up, with five straight wins. The pick holds because no single argument settles it; the overall picture, goal expectation included, still points to the home side, and Stuttgart have been carving out big chances at a rate clearly above the league average. It is a narrow call.

Both teams to score: Both teams to score is our call, and clearly so: Atlético's attack sits above the Champions League average, Stuttgart's also scores well and home advantage should open the game up. Only Atlético's strong defence argues otherwise.

Form guide

VfB Stuttgart

  • L 0-1 at Hamburger SV (A) Bundesliga · 17 Oct
  • W 3-0 at Slovan Bratislava (A) Champions League · 14 Oct
  • W 2-0 at Paderborn (A) Bundesliga · 10 Oct
  • L 0-1 vs Borussia Dortmund (H) Bundesliga · 19 Sep
  • L 1-2 at Hoffenheim (A) Bundesliga · 12 Sep

Atlético Madrid

  • W 1-0 at Espanyol (A) LaLiga · 17 Oct
  • W 2-0 vs Manchester United (H) Champions League · 13 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Deportivo Alavés (A) LaLiga · 10 Oct
  • W 2-1 vs Real Madrid (H) LaLiga · 20 Sep
  • W 4-0 vs Osasuna (H) LaLiga · 16 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

VfB StuttgartAtlético Madrid
Attack 51 74 3.0 goals per match this season1.5 goals per match this season
Defence 40 74 0.5 conceded per match this season1.0 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's Champions League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

Head-to-head

VfB Stuttgart and Atlético Madrid have not met in our records since 2010.

Champions League so far

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
4 VfB Stuttgart 2 200 6:1 +5 6
15 Atlético Madrid 2 101 3:2 +1 3

Positions in our table of 36 clubs, before kick-off. Full table

Match facts

Competition
Champions League, League phase, matchday 3
Kick-off
Venue
MHPArena, Stuttgart

Questions and answers

What was the score of VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

VfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético Madrid in the Champions League (League phase, matchday 3) on Tuesday 20 October 2026.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid right?

No: our result pick was VfB Stuttgart win, and the score after 90 minutes was 1-1. 5 of our 13 picks and markets for this match were right.

How many cards and corners were there in VfB Stuttgart vs Atlético Madrid?

1 yellow card (VfB Stuttgart 1, Atlético Madrid 0), 1 red card (VfB Stuttgart 0, Atlético Madrid 1) and 13 corners (VfB Stuttgart 9, Atlético Madrid 4).

Other Champions League results that day

All results

Times are UTC.