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Conference League · League phase, matchday 1 Match report

Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Atalanta crest Atalanta
3-1Full time
Pafos FC crest Pafos FC
New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Our picks against the result

8 of 10 right

  • Result Atalanta win74% 3-1
  • Double chance Atalanta or draw (1X)90% 3-1
  • Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.555% 4 goals
  • More corners Atalanta77% Atalanta (6-2)
  • Yellow cards 0 yellow cards 3.5 Under54% 4.5 Under73% 5.5 Under86%
  • Corners 8 corners 8.5 Over65% 9.5 Over55% 10.5 Under56%

Match stats

Atalanta Pafos FC
  • 3 Goals 1
  • 0 Yellow cards 0
  • 0 Red cards 0
  • 6 Corners 2

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Atalanta vs Pafos FC opens the Conference League league phase at the New Balance Arena in Bergamo on Thursday 15 October 2026, and our model goes with a home win, with Atalanta win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Atalanta are our pick to win this Conference League opener, and the main reason is simple: our model's strength rating puts them clearly ahead of Pafos FC, and they play at home. The strongest argument on the other side is Pafos's defence, rated 85, along with three wins in their last five, so they are not a side that folds easily. What settles it is the other end of the pitch: Pafos's attacking rating is only 50, and their recent play shows them conceding shots and big chances clearly above the league average. Atalanta, meanwhile, sit at 95 for both attack and defence. The call is a clear one.

Form guide

Atalanta

  • W 3-1 vs Venezia (H) Serie A · 12 Oct
  • L 0-2 at Juventus (A) Serie A · 20 Sep
  • L 1-2 vs Cagliari (H) Serie A · 12 Sep
  • L 1-2 at Roma (A) Serie A · 5 Sep
  • W 1-0 vs Bologna (H) Serie A · 31 Aug

Pafos FC

  • W 3-1 at Anorthosis (A) 1. Division · 11 Oct
  • L 0-2 vs AEL Limassol (H) 1. Division · 18 Sep
  • W 1-0 at AEK Larnaca (A) 1. Division · 13 Sep
  • D 0-0 vs Olympiakos Nicosia (H) 1. Division · 7 Sep
  • W 3-0 at Karmiotissa (A) 1. Division · 30 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

AtalantaPafos FC
Attack 95 50
Defence 95 85

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

Head-to-head

Atalanta and Pafos FC have not met in our records since 2010.

Match facts

Competition
Conference League, League phase, matchday 1
Kick-off
Venue
New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Questions and answers

What was the score of Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

Atalanta 3-1 Pafos FC in the Conference League (League phase, matchday 1) on Thursday 15 October 2026.

Was the OptimaGoal prediction for Atalanta vs Pafos FC right?

Yes: our result pick was Atalanta win, and the score after 90 minutes was 3-1. 8 of our 10 picks and markets for this match were right.

How many cards and corners were there in Atalanta vs Pafos FC?

0 yellow cards (Atalanta 0, Pafos FC 0), no red cards and 8 corners (Atalanta 6, Pafos FC 2).

Other Conference League results that day

All results

Times are UTC.