Conference League · League phase, matchday 1 Match report

Heart of Midlothian 1-1 Nordsjælland: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

Heart of Midlothian

1-1Full time

Nordsjælland

Thursday 15 October 2026, 19:00 UTC Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Our picks against the result

4 of 10 right

Result Nordsjælland win46% 1-1
Double chance Heart of Midlothian or Nordsjælland (12)76% 1-1
Goals over/under 2.5 Under 2.551% 2 goals
More corners Nordsjælland46% Nordsjælland (6-7)
Yellow cards 6 yellow cards 3.5 Over62% 4.5 Under58% 5.5 Under74%
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over58% 9.5 Under53% 10.5 Under64%

Match stats

Heart of Midlothian Nordsjælland

1 Goals 1
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
6 Corners 7

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

Heart of Midlothian vs Nordsjælland opens the Conference League league phase at Tynecastle Park on Thursday 15 October 2026, and our model leans towards the visitors. We go for a Nordsjælland win, with the double chance covering either side to win, draw excluded.

Why this pick?

Our model rates Nordsjælland the stronger of the two on its long-run, xG-based strength rating, and that is the main reason behind the pick. Both clubs sit well above the Conference League average, though the visitors' marks are the higher. Recent play points the same way: Nordsjælland create big chances at a rate clearly beyond the league average and concede few, while Heart of Midlothian give up more than the norm. The point against the pick is Tynecastle, a moderate home advantage for Heart of Midlothian. The model still leans to the visitors because the gap in the ratings is the weightier point, and the call is a moderate one.

Form guide

Heart of Midlothian

W 5-0 vs St. Mirren (H) Premiership · 10 Oct
D 1-1 at Kilmarnock (A) Premiership · 19 Sep
L 1-2 at Falkirk (A) Premiership · 15 Sep
W 2-1 vs Dundee FC (H) Premiership · 6 Sep
W 3-1 at Hibernian (A) Premiership · 3 Sep

Nordsjælland

D 0-0 vs OB (H) Superligaen · 9 Oct
L 1-4 at Viborg (A) Superligaen · 20 Sep
W 2-0 vs AGF (H) Superligaen · 13 Sep
D 2-2 at FC Midtjylland (A) Superligaen · 7 Sep
L 0-2 at FC København (A) Superligaen · 3 Sep

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

Heart of MidlothianNordsjælland

Attack 45 75

Defence 35 75

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.