Conference League · League phase, matchday 1 Match report

CSKA Sofia 1-2 Monaco: Result, Match Stats and Our Prediction

CSKA Sofia

1-2Full time

Monaco

Thursday 15 October 2026, 16:45 UTC Stadion Vasil Levski, Sofia

Our picks against the result

8 of 12 right

Result Monaco win66% 1-2
Double chance Monaco or draw (X2)85% 1-2
Goals over/under 2.5 Over 2.552% 3 goals
More corners Monaco57% CSKA Sofia (12-1)
Yellow cards Below average 4 yellow cards · league 4.4
Yellow cards 4 yellow cards 3.5 Over51% 4.5 Under68% 5.5 Under83%
Corners Around average 13 corners · league 8.8
Corners 13 corners 8.5 Over54% 9.5 Under57% 10.5 Under68%

Match stats

CSKA Sofia Monaco

1 Goals 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
12 Corners 1

Goals, yellow and red cards and corners of each club.

Before kick-off

What this page showed before the match: our reasons, form, ratings and records as they were then.

Match summary

The Conference League league phase opens on Thursday 15 October 2026 with CSKA Sofia vs Monaco in Sofia, and our model expects the visitors to take it: Monaco win, with Monaco win or draw as the double chance.

Why this pick?

Our model's result pick is a Monaco win, resting on the gap in our strength ratings, where the visitors stand clearly higher than a CSKA Sofia side down in the twenties. The argument the other way is the night itself: CSKA Sofia play at home, and that counts for something. What offsets it is the shape of their recent play over the last five matches — a team that keeps things tight but creates little, with big chances clearly below the league average and few touches in the opposition box. Monaco have been giving up few clear openings themselves, so the difference in quality should tell. The call is clear.

Form guide

CSKA Sofia

W 3-2 at CSKA 1948 (A) First Professional League · 11 Oct
D 1-1 at Lokomotiv Plovdiv (A) First Professional League · 20 Sep
W 2-0 at PFC Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 (A) First Professional League · 16 Sep
W 4-1 vs Arda Kardzhali (H) First Professional League · 12 Sep
D 1-1 at Spartak Varna (A) First Professional League · 5 Sep

Monaco

D 2-2 vs Toulouse (H) Ligue 1 · 10 Oct
W 2-1 vs Lens (H) Ligue 1 · 18 Sep
D 1-1 at Strasbourg (A) Ligue 1 · 12 Sep
W 2-1 at Paris Saint-Germain (A) Ligue 1 · 4 Sep
W 2-0 vs Marseille (H) Ligue 1 · 30 Aug

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Attack and defence ratings

CSKA SofiaMonaco

Attack 29 97

Defence 23 89

0 to 100 against this season's Conference League clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.