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LaLiga · Matchday 13

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia: Match Preview & Stats

Rayo Vallecano crest Rayo Vallecano
vs
Valencia crest Valencia
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Rayo Vallecano: 2 of 4 right
  • Valencia: 2 of 5 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
LaLiga, Matchday 13
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Since last match
Rayo Vallecano: 13 days (LaLiga) · Real Sociedad (1‑0) Valencia: 10 days (Copa del Rey) · Real Madrid (0‑3)
Next match
Rayo Vallecano: 6 days (LaLiga) later Valencia: 7 days (LaLiga) later

Last starting XI

Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1

  1. 25 Audero
  2. 2 Rațiu
  3. 24 Lejeune
  4. 15 Sadick
  5. 17 Pedrosa
  6. 8 López
  7. 6 Ciss
  8. 19 de Frutos
  9. 4 Díaz
  10. 14 Tsitaishvili
  11. 10 Camello

Coach: Beñat San José at Real Sociedad, 0-1 · LaLiga · 8 Nov

Valencia 5-3-2

  1. 1 Dimitrievski
  2. 18 Pepelu
  3. 5 Tárrega
  4. 12 De Haas
  5. 24 Maffeo
  6. 14 Gayà
  7. 8 Guerra
  8. 2 Rodríguez
  9. 33 Mayol
  10. 6 Sadiq
  11. 7 Danjuma

Coach: Javier Aguirre vs Real Madrid, 0-3 · LaLiga · 7 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Rayo Vallecano

  • GK Augusto BatallaInjured · Early January 2027
  • DF Luiz FelipeInjured · Out for the season
  • DF Marash KumbullaInjured · Doubtful
  • MF Óscar ValentínInjured · Late November 2026
  • FW Álvaro GarciaInjured · Early December 2026

Valencia

  • DF José GayàSuspended
  • DF Dimitri FoulquierInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Jesus VázquezInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • MF David OtorbiInjured · Early December 2026
  • MF Diego LópezInjured · Mid February 2027
  • FW Umar SadiqInjured · Late November 2026
  • – Sergi CanosInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 13.0%
Missing minutes share 11.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Álvaro Garcia 11% attack · 6% mins

Valencia

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 21.0%
Missing minutes share 13.0%
7 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF David Otorbi 10% attack · 3% mins
  • DF José Gayà 6% attack · 7% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 9 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Rayo Vallecano Valencia
Box & Territory Pressure 42 32
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 45 27
Finishing Efficiency 50 36
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 18 34
Underlying Play Power 45 26
Rayo Vallecano Playing above results (positive regression candidate)
Valencia Balanced (results match underlying play)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 9 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Rayo Vallecano

When scoring first 38% won · 75% unbeaten (8 matches)
When conceding first 43% points rescued · 29% won (7 matches)
1st Half: 50% 2nd Half: 50%
First 15': 20% Last 15' (76-90'): 5%

Valencia

When scoring first 50% won · 75% unbeaten (4 matches)
When conceding first 33% points rescued · 22% won (9 matches)
1st Half: 38% 2nd Half: 62%
First 15': 12% Last 15' (76-90'): 31%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Rayo Vallecano

  1. 1. FW Sergio Camello 6G · 2A
    Team attack 20.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. MF Unai López 1G · 3A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 7.0%
  3. 3. MF Pedro Díaz 0G · 0A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 17.0%

Valencia

  1. 1. MF Javier Guerra 0G · 2A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 17.0%
  2. 2. MF Arnaut Danjuma 0G · 1A
    Team attack 13.0% Team shots 15.0%
  3. 3. FW Hugo Duro 0G · 1A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 12.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Rayo Vallecano Valencia
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 7/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 4/10 4/10
Both teams scored 7/10 3/10
Clean sheet 1/10 4/10
Failed to score 2/10 4/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 1.6 / 2.0 1.3 / 1.6

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Rayo Vallecano

  • L 0-1 at Real Sociedad (A) LaLiga · 8 Nov
  • W 3-0 vs Celta Vigo (H) LaLiga · 31 Oct
  • W 3-2 at Recreativo Huelva (A) Copa del Rey · 27 Oct
  • L 0-3 vs Elche (H) LaLiga · 24 Oct
  • D 1-1 at Getafe (A) LaLiga · 19 Oct

Valencia

  • W 6-0 at Tavernes de la Valldigna (A) Copa del Rey · 10 Nov
  • L 0-3 vs Real Madrid (H) LaLiga · 7 Nov
  • W 1-0 at Elche (A) LaLiga · 1 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Villarreal (H) LaLiga · 24 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Athletic Club (H) LaLiga · 17 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Rayo Vallecano

Valencia

Goals in each 15-minute period, LaLiga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

Player G A
Sergio Camello 7 2
Álvaro Garcia 3 2
Jorge de Frutos 2 2
Unai López 1 3
Adrià Pedrosa 1 1

Valencia

Player G A
Umar Sadiq 2 0
Aaron Mayol 1 0
Dani Raba 1 0
David Otorbi 1 0
Luis Rioja 1 0

Goals and assists in the LaLiga this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Rayo Vallecano Valencia
  • 5.3 Corners won 3.8
  • 5.8 Corners conceded 5.0
  • 2.5 Yellow cards 2.4
  • 2.2 Opponents' yellow cards 2.1

Per match in the LaLiga this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 2.2 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Rayo VallecanoValencia
Attack 32 21 1.4 goals per match this season0.7 goals per match this season
Defence 68 47 1.9 conceded per match this season1.7 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's LaLiga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

1874Elo #70 Elo rating 1854Elo #83

Head-to-head

5Rayo Vallecano wins
11draws
8Valencia wins

24 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 14 May 2026 · LaLiga Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 1 Dec 2025 · LaLiga Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia
  • 19 Apr 2025 · LaLiga Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia
  • 7 Dec 2024 · LaLiga Valencia 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
  • 12 May 2024 · LaLiga Valencia 0-0 Rayo Vallecano

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Barcelona 12 1101 48:13 +35 33
2 Real Madrid 12 1002 31:10 +21 30
3 Atlético Madrid 12 912 23:10 +13 28
4 Real Betis 12 822 20:15 +5 26
5 Real Sociedad 12 714 21:20 +1 22
6 Sevilla 12 534 17:19 -2 18
7 Athletic Club 11 443 14:10 +4 16
8 Villarreal 12 435 17:15 +2 15
9 Deportivo A Coruña 12 363 15:14 +1 15
10 Racing Santander 12 426 17:30 -13 14
11 Celta Vigo 12 273 10:10 0 13
12 Deportivo Alavés 12 345 15:17 -2 13
13 Espanyol 12 336 13:14 -1 12
14 Rayo Vallecano 11 335 15:21 -6 12
15 Getafe 12 336 8:18 -10 12
16 Osasuna 12 336 12:23 -11 12
17 Levante 12 255 15:20 -5 11
18 Elche 12 246 14:20 -6 10
19 Valencia 12 237 8:20 -12 9
20 Málaga 12 057 9:23 -14 5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the LaLiga: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Rayo Vallecano 12
Valencia 9

For members

Every club's chance of every place, from our simulated seasons, updated daily.

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Times are UTC.