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LaLiga · Matchday 13

Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo: Match Preview & Stats

Real Madrid crest Real Madrid
vs
Celta Vigo crest Celta Vigo
Estadio Bernabéu, Madrid

Our picks

Model predictions are published 48 hours before kick-off

To take in the latest form and rest days, the predictions for this match come out on . (If either team plays another match in between, they come out once that match is over.)

See today's ready predictions →

Our record

  • Real Madrid: 7 of 8 right
  • Celta Vigo: 4 of 8 right

Our result picks in each club's earlier matches on this site.

Match facts

Competition
LaLiga, Matchday 13
Kick-off
Venue
Estadio Bernabéu, Madrid
Since last match
Real Madrid: 14 days (LaLiga) · Valencia (0‑3) Celta Vigo: 8 days (Copa del Rey) · Levante (0‑0)
Next match
Real Madrid: 3 days (Champions League) later · PSV Eindhoven Celta Vigo: 4 days (Europa League) later · AFC Bournemouth

Last starting XI

Real Madrid 4-2-3-1

  1. 1 Courtois
  2. 8 Valverde
  3. 15 Konaté
  4. 4 Huijsen
  5. 22 Cucurella
  6. 20 Silva
  7. 14 Tchouaméni
  8. 8 Güler
  9. 10 Bellingham
  10. 25 Diomande
  11. 10 Mbappé

Coach: José Mourinho at Valencia, 3-0 · LaLiga · 7 Nov

Celta Vigo 3-4-3

  1. 13 Radu
  2. 20 Rodríguez
  3. 21 Cáceres
  4. 3 Alonso
  5. 17 Rueda
  6. 28 Antañón
  7. 6 Moriba
  8. 5 Carreira
  9. 10 Aspas
  10. 11 Durán
  11. 24 Driouech

Coach: Claudio Giráldez vs Levante, 0-0 · LaLiga · 8 Nov

Our predicted line-ups come with our picks, 48 hours before kick-off. Until then: each club's last starting XI.

Injuries and suspensions

Real Madrid

  • DF Ferland MendyInjured · Back in training
  • DF Raúl AsencioInjured · Back in training
  • MF Aurélien TchouaméniInjured · About 1-2 weeks
  • FW Kylian MbappéInjured · A few days
  • FW RodrygoInjured · Back in training

Celta Vigo

  • DF Carl StarfeltInjured · Doubtful
  • DF Álvaro NúñezInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Ilaix MoribaInjured · Late November 2026
  • MF Jones El-AbdellaouiInjured · Mid January 2027
  • MF Miguel RománInjured · Return unknown
  • FW Borja IglesiasInjured · Late November 2026

Players listed as injured, suspended or away with their national team, with their expected return.

Missing Players Impact

Real Madrid

High impact
Missing attack share 28.0%
Missing minutes share 15.0%
5 players out 2 regular starters out
Key absences:
  • FW Kylian Mbappé 26% attack · 8% mins
  • MF Aurélien Tchouaméni 3% attack · 6% mins

Celta Vigo

Moderate impact
Missing attack share 11.0%
Missing minutes share 12.0%
6 players out 1 regular starter out
Key absences:
  • MF Ilaix Moriba 4% attack · 6% mins
  • MF Miguel Román 4% attack · 2% mins

Share of team playing time and attacking output over the last 10 matches accounted for by unavailable players.

Tactical Profile & Play Quality (0–100)

Real Madrid Celta Vigo
Box & Territory Pressure 70 49
Set-Piece & Corner Threat 45 34
Finishing Efficiency 90 25
Defensive & Goalkeeper Wall 57 69
Underlying Play Power 81 63
Real Madrid Results above play quality (running hot)
Celta Vigo Playing above results (positive regression candidate)

OptimaGoal 0–100 performance indices built from the last 10 matches before kick-off.

Game-State Scenarios & Goal Timing

Real Madrid

When scoring first 100% won · 100% unbeaten (11 matches)
When conceding first 50% points rescued · 50% won (4 matches)
1st Half: 52% 2nd Half: 48%
First 15': 7% Last 15' (76-90'): 33%

Celta Vigo

When scoring first 33% won · 50% unbeaten (6 matches)
When conceding first 40% points rescued · 20% won (5 matches)
1st Half: 43% 2nd Half: 57%
First 15': 14% Last 15' (76-90'): 14%

Reaction to scoring or conceding first and goal distribution across the last 15 matches.

Key Attacking Threats

Real Madrid

  1. 1. MF Arda Güler 3G · 4A
    Team attack 15.0% Team shots 13.0%
  2. 2. FW Yan Diomande 4G · 4A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 10.0%
  3. 3. MF Jude Bellingham 2G · 1A
    Team attack 9.0% Team shots 11.0%

Celta Vigo

  1. 1. FW Pablo Durán 3G · 0A
    Team attack 12.0% Team shots 16.0%
  2. 2. FW Hugo Álvarez 1G · 3A
    Team attack 11.0% Team shots 4.0%
  3. 3. FW Ferrán Jutglà 1G · 0A
    Team attack 8.0% Team shots 12.0%

Top available players by share of team attacking production and shot volume over the last 10 matches.

Real Madrid Celta Vigo
Over 1.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 2.5 goals 9/10 6/10
Over 3.5 goals 5/10 1/10
Both teams scored 7/10 4/10
Clean sheet 3/10 4/10
Failed to score 0/10 5/10
Goals per match (scored / conceded) 2.8 / 1.2 1.1 / 1.0

Last 10 matches, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

Form guide

Real Madrid

  • W 3-0 at Valencia (A) LaLiga · 7 Nov
  • W 3-2 at AEK Athens (A) Champions League · 4 Nov
  • W 3-0 at Racing Santander (A) LaLiga · 1 Nov
  • W 2-1 at Barcelona (A) LaLiga · 25 Oct
  • W 4-1 vs RB Leipzig (H) Champions League · 21 Oct

Celta Vigo

  • D 0-0 vs Levante (H) LaLiga · 8 Nov
  • L 1-2 vs Union St.Gilloise (H) Europa League · 5 Nov
  • L 0-3 at Rayo Vallecano (A) LaLiga · 31 Oct
  • D 0-0 vs Real Betis (H) LaLiga · 25 Oct
  • W 2-1 at Celtic (A) Europa League · 22 Oct

Last five competitive matches before kick-off, all competitions, results after 90 minutes.

When the goals come

ScoredConceded

Real Madrid

Celta Vigo

Goals in each 15-minute period, LaLiga this season. Stoppage time counts with its half.

Top scorers

Real Madrid

Player G A
Kylian Mbappé (3 pens) 13 2
Jude Bellingham 4 3
Arda Güler 3 4
Yan Diomande 3 2
Carlos Espí 2 0

Celta Vigo

Player G A
Ferrán Jutglà 2 0
Pablo Durán 2 0
Hugo González (1 pen) 1 2
Miguel Román 1 2
Iago Aspas 1 1

Goals and assists in the LaLiga this season.

Corners and yellow cards

Real Madrid Celta Vigo
  • 6.2 Corners won 3.1
  • 3.8 Corners conceded 4.2
  • 2.1 Yellow cards 1.6
  • 2.8 Opponents' yellow cards 1.8

Per match in the LaLiga this season. Average per club and match: 4.9 corners, 2.2 yellow cards.

Attack and defence ratings

Real MadridCelta Vigo
Attack 95 63 2.6 goals per match this season0.8 goals per match this season
Defence 100 63 0.8 conceded per match this season0.8 conceded per match this season

0 to 100 against this season's LaLiga clubs (100 = best). The rating is our model's long-run strength before this match: it uses the last three years and counts recent matches most, so a few results do not move it at once. Under each rating: this season's actual goals per match.

2183Elo #6 Elo rating 1879Elo #67

Head-to-head

25Real Madrid wins
4draws
4Celta Vigo wins

33 meetings since 2010, results after 90 minutes.

  • 6 Mar 2026 · LaLiga Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid
  • 7 Dec 2025 · LaLiga Real Madrid 0-2 Celta Vigo
  • 4 May 2025 · LaLiga Real Madrid 3-2 Celta Vigo
  • 16 Jan 2025 · Copa del Rey Real Madrid 5-2 Celta Vigo
  • 19 Oct 2024 · LaLiga Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Madrid

Table

#Team PWDLGoalsGDPts
1 Barcelona 12 1101 48:13 +35 33
2 Real Madrid 12 1002 31:10 +21 30
3 Atlético Madrid 12 912 23:10 +13 28
4 Real Betis 12 822 20:15 +5 26
5 Real Sociedad 12 714 21:20 +1 22
6 Sevilla 12 534 17:19 -2 18
7 Athletic Club 11 443 14:10 +4 16
8 Villarreal 12 435 17:15 +2 15
9 Deportivo A Coruña 12 363 15:14 +1 15
10 Racing Santander 12 426 17:30 -13 14
11 Celta Vigo 12 273 10:10 0 13
12 Deportivo Alavés 12 345 15:17 -2 13
13 Espanyol 12 336 13:14 -1 12
14 Rayo Vallecano 11 335 15:21 -6 12
15 Getafe 12 336 8:18 -10 12
16 Osasuna 12 336 12:23 -11 12
17 Levante 12 255 15:20 -5 11
18 Elche 12 246 14:20 -6 10
19 Valencia 12 237 8:20 -12 9
20 Málaga 12 057 9:23 -14 5

Our table from the results; the two clubs of this match are highlighted. Full table

Season projection

Members

Where these two clubs are projected to finish in the LaLiga: average points, likely range and chances.

ClubPts Avg ptsLikely TitleTop 4Relegated
Real Madrid 30
Celta Vigo 13

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Times are UTC.