NBA · Regular season, NBA Cup game

Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets: Preview and Stats

Saturday 21 November 2026, 00:00 UTC State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Our picks

Our picks for Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest Friday 20 November 2026, 21:00 UTC (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

Atlanta Hawks 7 of 12 right (58%)
Charlotte Hornets 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season, NBA Cup game
Tip-off: Saturday 21 November 2026, 00:00 UTC
Arena: State Farm Arena
City: Atlanta
Since last match: Atlanta Hawks: Oklahoma City Thunder Charlotte Hornets: Los Angeles Lakers
Next match: Atlanta Hawks: Detroit Pistons Charlotte Hornets: Memphis Grizzlies

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Atlanta Hawks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Charlotte Hornets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Atlanta Hawks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Charlotte Hornets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Atlanta Hawks

Projected Starters

F Jalen Johnson

35.1 MPG 19.1 PPG 8.0 RPG 7.3 APG
G Nickeil Alexander-Walker

31.4 MPG 21.8 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.3 APG
G Dyson Daniels

30.6 MPG 8.7 PPG 7.2 RPG 6.1 APG
F-C Onyeka Okongwu

30.4 MPG 14.6 PPG 8.8 RPG 2.6 APG
G CJ McCollum

26.0 MPG 13.1 PPG 3.1 RPG 4.3 APG

Key Bench

G Aaron Wiggins

25.8 MPG 14.4 PPG 4.0 RPG 2.8 APG
G Luguentz Dort

25.1 MPG 9.5 PPG 3.0 RPG 1.9 APG
G Kingston Flemings

22.3 MPG 9.8 PPG 2.1 RPG 4.1 APG

Charlotte Hornets

Projected Starters

F-C Naz Reid

30.1 MPG 17.0 PPG 8.5 RPG 1.7 APG
F Brandon Miller

31.4 MPG 22.8 PPG 5.6 RPG 2.6 APG
G Grayson Allen

27.9 MPG 15.0 PPG 3.0 RPG 3.2 APG
G Dennis Schröder

30.7 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.4 RPG 5.0 APG
F Moussa Diabaté

29.5 MPG 8.1 PPG 9.9 RPG 2.0 APG

Key Bench

G Sion James

26.3 MPG 6.6 PPG 3.7 RPG 3.0 APG
F Royce O'Neale

19.9 MPG 5.0 PPG 3.2 RPG 0.8 APG
C Ryan Kalkbrenner

19.0 MPG 4.5 PPG 5.3 RPG 1.4 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Atlanta Hawks

#13 of 30

Net rating +0.3 30d: -0.1

Pace: 1.7 (#3 of 30)

Charlotte Hornets

#25 of 30

Net rating -3.7 30d: -2.4

Pace: -3.7 (#28 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Atlanta Hawks

Net 42

Shot quality (TS%) 31

3PT volume & accuracy 52

Ball security & passing 48

Rebounding control 57

Defensive disruption 39

ORtg 110.2 · DRtg 113.0 · Net -2.8 · TS 55.0%

Charlotte Hornets

Net 24

Shot quality (TS%) 13

3PT volume & accuracy 51

Ball security & passing 12

Rebounding control 80

Defensive disruption 40

ORtg 101.5 · DRtg 110.9 · Net -9.4 · TS 52.4%

Atlanta Hawks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 6.7W expected (12 GP)

Charlotte Hornets · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 4W actual vs 2.2W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Atlanta Hawks

Win rate when leading at HT 6/7 (86%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/8 (12%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 57.1 (50.3%) 2H: 56.4 (49.7%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 2-7

Charlotte Hornets

Win rate when leading at HT 5/7 (71%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/8 (12%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 52.2 (51.9%) 2H: 48.5 (48.1%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-2 10+ pt margins: 2-6

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

ATL

CHA

Points scored / game 115.9 99.2

Points allowed / game 118.8 108.4

Average game total 234.7 207.6

Average 1st-half total 120.1 108.7

Possessions / 48 min 105.1 97.7

Games with 220+ pts 9/10 2/10

Games with 230+ pts 6/10 1/10

Games with 240+ pts 3/10 0/10

Scored 115+ pts 4/10 2/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Atlanta Hawks

1 day rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 4

Charlotte Hornets

2 days rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Atlanta Hawks

#1 Jalen Johnson F 16.5% pts share

19.1 PPG · 8.0 RPG · 7.3 APG · 1.1 3PM 15.2% FGA
#2 Nickeil Alexander-Walker G 18.8% pts share

21.8 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 2.3 APG · 4.0 3PM 18.2% FGA
#3 CJ McCollum G 11.3% pts share

13.1 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 4.3 APG · 1.6 3PM 13.0% FGA

Charlotte Hornets

#1 Brandon Miller F 23.0% pts share

22.8 PPG · 5.6 RPG · 2.6 APG · 2.9 3PM 24.7% FGA
#2 Grayson Allen G 15.1% pts share

15.0 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 3.2 APG · 3.4 3PM 11.4% FGA
#3 Naz Reid F-C 17.1% pts share

17.0 PPG · 8.5 RPG · 1.7 APG · 2.1 3PM 19.0% FGA

Last five games

Atlanta Hawks

L 114-124 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 10 Nov
W 124-121 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 8 Nov
W 139-132 vs Washington Wizards (H) 7 Nov
W 120-105 at Washington Wizards (A) 5 Nov
W 108-104 at Indiana Pacers (A) 3 Nov

Charlotte Hornets

L 96-101 at Phoenix Suns (A) 13 Nov
W 124-112 vs Cleveland Cavaliers (H) 10 Nov
L 80-119 vs Boston Celtics (H) 7 Nov
L 104-114 at Brooklyn Nets (A) 5 Nov
L 91-124 vs Detroit Pistons (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

ATL · 6W CHA · 4W

Avg total pts: 230.7 ATL avg: 119.6 CHA avg: 111.1 225+ pt games: 6/10 ATL at home: 3-2

23 Oct 2026 CHA 81‑128 ATL
11 Feb 2026 CHA 110‑107 ATL
7 Feb 2026 ATL 119‑126 CHA
18 Dec 2025 CHA 133‑126 ATL
23 Nov 2025 ATL 113‑110 CHA
18 Mar 2025 CHA 102‑134 ATL
12 Mar 2025 ATL 123‑110 CHA
30 Nov 2024 CHA 104‑107 ATL
25 Oct 2024 ATL 125‑120 CHA
10 Apr 2024 ATL 114‑115 CHA

Season profile comparison

ATL

CHA

Record 7-5 4-8

At home 3-3 3-4

On the road 4-2 1-4

Conference 4 of 15, Eastern Conference 11 of 15, Eastern Conference

Streak – –

Days of rest 1 2

Our team rating #13 of 30 #24 of 30

Pace #3 of 30 #28 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	Home	Road	L10	Streak
1	Boston Celtics	10	2	.833	–	5-0	5-2	9-1	W5
2	Philadelphia 76ers	10	3	.769	0.5	5-2	5-1	7-3	W1
3	Detroit Pistons	8	3	.727	1.5	3-2	5-1	7-3	W2
4	Atlanta Hawks	7	5	.583	3.0	3-3	4-2	5-5	L1
5	New York Knicks	6	5	.545	3.5	4-3	2-2	6-4	L1
6	Cleveland Cavaliers	6	6	.500	4.0	4-2	2-4	5-5	W1
7	Miami Heat	5	6	.455	4.5	1-3	4-3	5-5	W2
8	Toronto Raptors	5	7	.417	5.0	2-3	3-4	3-7	L3
9	Orlando Magic	4	7	.364	5.5	0-4	4-3	4-6	W2
10	Charlotte Hornets	4	8	.333	6.0	3-4	1-4	3-7	L1
11	Indiana Pacers	4	8	.333	6.0	1-4	3-4	3-7	W1
12	Washington Wizards	4	9	.308	6.5	2-3	2-6	2-8	L6
13	Brooklyn Nets	3	8	.273	6.5	1-3	2-5	3-7	W1
14	Chicago Bulls	1	9	.100	8.0	0-4	1-5	1-9	L8
15	Milwaukee Bucks	1	11	.083	9.0	1-6	0-5	1-9	L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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