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NBA · Regular season

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies: Preview and Stats

Charlotte Hornets 4-8
vs
Memphis Grizzlies 7-4
Spectrum Center, Charlotte

Our picks

Our picks for Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Charlotte Hornets 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • Memphis Grizzlies 3 of 11 right (27%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Spectrum Center
City
Charlotte
Since last match
Charlotte Hornets: Atlanta Hawks Memphis Grizzlies: Minnesota Timberwolves
Next match
Charlotte Hornets: Chicago Bulls Memphis Grizzlies: LA Clippers

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Charlotte Hornets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Charlotte Hornets

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Memphis Grizzlies

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Charlotte Hornets

Projected Starters
  • F-C Naz Reid
    30.1 MPG 17.0 PPG 8.5 RPG 1.7 APG
  • F Brandon Miller
    31.4 MPG 22.8 PPG 5.6 RPG 2.6 APG
  • G Grayson Allen
    27.9 MPG 15.0 PPG 3.0 RPG 3.2 APG
  • G Dennis Schröder
    30.7 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.4 RPG 5.0 APG
  • F Moussa Diabaté
    29.5 MPG 8.1 PPG 9.9 RPG 2.0 APG
Key Bench
  • G Sion James
    26.3 MPG 6.6 PPG 3.7 RPG 3.0 APG
  • F Royce O'Neale
    19.9 MPG 5.0 PPG 3.2 RPG 0.8 APG
  • C Ryan Kalkbrenner
    19.0 MPG 4.5 PPG 5.3 RPG 1.4 APG

Memphis Grizzlies

Projected Starters
  • F Cameron Boozer
    32.1 MPG 16.8 PPG 9.7 RPG 5.5 APG
  • G-F Ty Jerome
    30.7 MPG 24.1 PPG 3.1 RPG 4.8 APG
  • G Cedric Coward
    28.3 MPG 13.4 PPG 8.9 RPG 2.8 APG
  • F Jaylen Wells
    27.2 MPG 12.0 PPG 2.8 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Jerami Grant
    23.4 MPG 10.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 2.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Zach Edey
    20.8 MPG 7.8 PPG 7.6 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Cam Spencer
    19.8 MPG 9.9 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.1 APG
  • F-C Isaiah Stewart
    18.2 MPG 10.8 PPG 3.1 RPG 0.8 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Charlotte Hornets

#25 of 30
Net rating -3.7 30d: -2.4
Pace: -3.7 (#28 of 30)

Memphis Grizzlies

#16 of 30
Net rating -1.1 30d: +3.5
Pace: -1.1 (#12 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Charlotte Hornets

Net 24
Shot quality (TS%) 13
3PT volume & accuracy 51
Ball security & passing 12
Rebounding control 80
Defensive disruption 40

ORtg 101.5 · DRtg 110.9 · Net -9.4 · TS 52.4%

Memphis Grizzlies

Net 63
Shot quality (TS%) 61
3PT volume & accuracy 68
Ball security & passing 26
Rebounding control 59
Defensive disruption 51

ORtg 114.0 · DRtg 109.6 · Net +4.5 · TS 59.3%

Charlotte Hornets · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 4W actual vs 2.2W expected (12 GP)
Memphis Grizzlies · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 7.4W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Charlotte Hornets

Win rate when leading at HT 5/7 (71%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/8 (12%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 52.2 (51.9%) 2H: 48.5 (48.1%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-2 10+ pt margins: 2-6

Memphis Grizzlies

Win rate when leading at HT 6/8 (75%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/6 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.7 (50.5%) 2H: 57.6 (49.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-3 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

CHAMEM
Points scored / game 99.2 117.4
Points allowed / game 108.4 112.8
Average game total 207.6 230.2
Average 1st-half total 108.7 116.5
Possessions / 48 min 97.7 101.9
Games with 220+ pts 2/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 1/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 0/10 3/10
Scored 115+ pts 2/10 6/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Charlotte Hornets

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Memphis Grizzlies

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Charlotte Hornets

  • #1 Brandon Miller F 23.0% pts share
    22.8 PPG · 5.6 RPG · 2.6 APG · 2.9 3PM 24.7% FGA
  • #2 Grayson Allen G 15.1% pts share
    15.0 PPG · 3.0 RPG · 3.2 APG · 3.4 3PM 11.4% FGA
  • #3 Naz Reid F-C 17.1% pts share
    17.0 PPG · 8.5 RPG · 1.7 APG · 2.1 3PM 19.0% FGA

Memphis Grizzlies

  • #1 Ty Jerome G-F 20.5% pts share
    24.1 PPG · 3.1 RPG · 4.8 APG · 2.3 3PM 19.8% FGA
  • #2 Cameron Boozer F 14.3% pts share
    16.8 PPG · 9.7 RPG · 5.5 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.5% FGA
  • #3 Cedric Coward G 11.4% pts share
    13.4 PPG · 8.9 RPG · 2.8 APG · 2.4 3PM 12.3% FGA

Last five games

Charlotte Hornets

  • L 96-101 at Phoenix Suns (A) 13 Nov
  • W 124-112 vs Cleveland Cavaliers (H) 10 Nov
  • L 80-119 vs Boston Celtics (H) 7 Nov
  • L 104-114 at Brooklyn Nets (A) 5 Nov
  • L 91-124 vs Detroit Pistons (H) 3 Nov

Memphis Grizzlies

  • L 118-123 vs Denver Nuggets (H) 12 Nov
  • W 118-102 at Toronto Raptors (A) 10 Nov
  • L 97-128 vs Oklahoma City Thunder (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-107 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 5 Nov
  • L 134-135 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

CHA · 5W MEM · 5W
Avg total pts: 227.5 CHA avg: 112.3 MEM avg: 115.2 225+ pt games: 6/10 CHA at home: 2-3
  • 21 Mar 2026 CHA 124‑101 MEM
  • 28 Jan 2026 MEM 97‑112 CHA
  • 8 Apr 2025 CHA 100‑124 MEM
  • 22 Jan 2025 MEM 132‑120 CHA
  • 13 Mar 2024 MEM 98‑110 CHA
  • 10 Feb 2024 CHA 115‑106 MEM
  • 4 Jan 2023 CHA 107‑131 MEM
  • 4 Nov 2022 MEM 130‑99 CHA
  • 12 Feb 2022 CHA 118‑125 MEM
  • 10 Nov 2021 MEM 108‑118 CHA

Season profile comparison

CHAMEM
Record 4-8 7-4
At home 3-4 2-4
On the road 1-4 5-0
Conference 11 of 15, Eastern Conference 8 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #24 of 30 #16 of 30
Pace #28 of 30 #12 of 30

Inter-conference matchup — both conference tables shown with Play-off (#6) and Play-in (#10) cut lines.

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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