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NBA · Regular season, NBA Cup game

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors: Preview and Stats

Detroit Pistons 8-3
vs
Toronto Raptors 5-7
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Our picks

Our picks for Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Detroit Pistons 9 of 11 right (82%)
  • Toronto Raptors 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season, NBA Cup game
Tip-off
Arena
Little Caesars Arena
City
Detroit
Since last match
Detroit Pistons: New Orleans Pelicans Toronto Raptors: Washington Wizards
Next match
Detroit Pistons: Atlanta Hawks Toronto Raptors: Milwaukee Bucks

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Detroit Pistons

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Toronto Raptors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Detroit Pistons

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Toronto Raptors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Detroit Pistons

Projected Starters
  • G Cade Cunningham
    34.6 MPG 25.3 PPG 5.3 RPG 7.9 APG
  • F Duncan Robinson
    32.2 MPG 17.8 PPG 1.9 RPG 2.2 APG
  • G Daniss Jenkins
    28.6 MPG 14.5 PPG 4.0 RPG 4.4 APG
  • F Paul Reed
    28.1 MPG 12.1 PPG 7.9 RPG 2.2 APG
  • G-F Ausar Thompson
    28.2 MPG 10.0 PPG 8.4 RPG 5.1 APG
Key Bench
  • F-C John Collins
    26.4 MPG 11.1 PPG 6.0 RPG 0.7 APG
  • G-F Kevin Huerter
    23.7 MPG 9.6 PPG 2.3 RPG 2.1 APG
  • G Javonte Green
    17.3 MPG 4.8 PPG 2.1 RPG 0.6 APG

Toronto Raptors

Projected Starters
  • G-F RJ Barrett
    34.1 MPG 21.3 PPG 6.7 RPG 4.2 APG
  • G Ja'Kobe Walter
    31.6 MPG 11.6 PPG 4.3 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G Immanuel Quickley
    31.6 MPG 17.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Scottie Barnes
    34.0 MPG 22.8 PPG 6.8 RPG 5.2 APG
  • G Jamal Shead
    24.6 MPG 7.5 PPG 2.2 RPG 7.1 APG
Key Bench
  • F Kawhi Leonard
    31.0 MPG 23.1 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Collin Murray-Boyles
    23.8 MPG 11.2 PPG 4.2 RPG 1.8 APG
  • C Jakob Poeltl
    23.8 MPG 9.2 PPG 6.4 RPG 1.5 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Detroit Pistons

#4 of 30
Net rating +6.0 30d: -0.3
Pace: -2.6 (#26 of 30)

Toronto Raptors

#20 of 30
Net rating -2.0 30d: -3.8
Pace: -0.9 (#11 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Detroit Pistons

Net 71
Shot quality (TS%) 54
3PT volume & accuracy 56
Ball security & passing 48
Rebounding control 41
Defensive disruption 80

ORtg 111.8 · DRtg 104.3 · Net +7.5 · TS 58.3%

Toronto Raptors

Net 40
Shot quality (TS%) 37
3PT volume & accuracy 44
Ball security & passing 46
Rebounding control 57
Defensive disruption 32

ORtg 111.5 · DRtg 115.1 · Net -3.6 · TS 55.9%

Detroit Pistons · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 8.0W expected (11 GP)
Toronto Raptors · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 5W actual vs 6.5W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Detroit Pistons

Win rate when leading at HT 7/9 (78%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/6 (33%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.7 (48.3%) 2H: 58.4 (51.7%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 6-2

Toronto Raptors

Win rate when leading at HT 4/7 (57%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/6 (33%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.8 (51.7%) 2H: 54.9 (48.3%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 4-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

DETTOR
Points scored / game 115.0 112.4
Points allowed / game 107.3 116.0
Average game total 222.3 228.4
Average 1st-half total 109.6 116.7
Possessions / 48 min 100.7 100.8
Games with 220+ pts 4/10 8/10
Games with 230+ pts 4/10 5/10
Games with 240+ pts 1/10 2/10
Scored 115+ pts 5/10 4/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Detroit Pistons

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Toronto Raptors

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Detroit Pistons

  • #1 Cade Cunningham G 22.0% pts share
    25.3 PPG · 5.3 RPG · 7.9 APG · 2.1 3PM 20.5% FGA
  • #2 Duncan Robinson F 15.5% pts share
    17.8 PPG · 1.9 RPG · 2.2 APG · 4.0 3PM 13.9% FGA
  • #3 Daniss Jenkins G 12.6% pts share
    14.5 PPG · 4.0 RPG · 4.4 APG · 2.3 3PM 11.5% FGA

Toronto Raptors

  • #1 Scottie Barnes G-F 20.3% pts share
    22.8 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 5.2 APG · 0.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 RJ Barrett G-F 19.0% pts share
    21.3 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 4.2 APG · 1.8 3PM 20.2% FGA
  • #3 Immanuel Quickley G 15.7% pts share
    17.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 5.4 APG · 2.6 3PM 15.6% FGA

Last five games

Detroit Pistons

  • W 144-140 at Washington Wizards (A) 13 Nov
  • W 122-111 vs Washington Wizards (H) 10 Nov
  • L 116-121 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 8 Nov
  • L 106-112 vs Philadelphia 76ers (H) 5 Nov
  • W 124-91 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 3 Nov

Toronto Raptors

  • L 112-123 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 13 Nov
  • L 93-98 vs Boston Celtics (H) 12 Nov
  • L 102-118 vs Memphis Grizzlies (H) 10 Nov
  • W 121-107 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 7 Nov
  • L 109-128 at Denver Nuggets (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

DET · 8W TOR · 2W
Avg total pts: 226.1 DET avg: 114.4 TOR avg: 111.7 225+ pt games: 5/10 DET at home: 5-0
  • 31 Mar 2026 DET 127‑116 TOR
  • 15 Mar 2026 TOR 119‑108 DET
  • 11 Feb 2026 TOR 95‑113 DET
  • 4 Apr 2025 TOR 105‑117 DET
  • 11 Jan 2025 DET 123‑114 TOR
  • 25 Nov 2024 DET 102‑100 TOR
  • 15 Nov 2024 TOR 95‑99 DET
  • 13 Mar 2024 DET 113‑104 TOR
  • 30 Dec 2023 DET 129‑127 TOR
  • 19 Nov 2023 TOR 142‑113 DET

Season profile comparison

DETTOR
Record 8-3 5-7
At home 3-2 2-3
On the road 5-1 3-4
Conference 3 of 15, Eastern Conference 8 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Won 2 in a row Lost 3 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #4 of 30 #20 of 30
Pace #25 of 30 #11 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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