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NBA · Regular season

Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards: Preview and Stats

Toronto Raptors 5-7
vs
Washington Wizards 4-9
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Our picks

Our picks for Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Toronto Raptors 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • Washington Wizards 10 of 13 right (77%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Scotiabank Arena
City
Toronto
Since last match
Toronto Raptors: New York Knicks Washington Wizards: Memphis Grizzlies
Next match
Toronto Raptors: Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards: Chicago Bulls

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Toronto Raptors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Toronto Raptors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Washington Wizards

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Toronto Raptors

Projected Starters
  • G-F RJ Barrett
    34.1 MPG 21.3 PPG 6.7 RPG 4.2 APG
  • G Ja'Kobe Walter
    31.6 MPG 11.6 PPG 4.3 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G Immanuel Quickley
    31.6 MPG 17.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Scottie Barnes
    34.0 MPG 22.8 PPG 6.8 RPG 5.2 APG
  • G Jamal Shead
    24.6 MPG 7.5 PPG 2.2 RPG 7.1 APG
Key Bench
  • F Kawhi Leonard
    31.0 MPG 23.1 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Collin Murray-Boyles
    23.8 MPG 11.2 PPG 4.2 RPG 1.8 APG
  • C Jakob Poeltl
    23.8 MPG 9.2 PPG 6.4 RPG 1.5 APG

Washington Wizards

Projected Starters
  • G Trae Young
    35.9 MPG 18.9 PPG 3.5 RPG 8.0 APG
  • F Kyshawn George
    34.0 MPG 18.5 PPG 4.1 RPG 5.2 APG
  • F AJ Dybantsa
    33.8 MPG 15.0 PPG 6.1 RPG 2.3 APG
  • F-C Anthony Davis
    35.0 MPG 27.5 PPG 11.0 RPG 1.6 APG
  • C Alex Sarr
    28.4 MPG 12.3 PPG 8.2 RPG 1.1 APG
Key Bench
  • G Bilal Coulibaly
    25.8 MPG 5.8 PPG 4.2 RPG 0.9 APG
  • G Tre Johnson
    23.9 MPG 8.3 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.0 APG
  • G Bub Carrington
    18.7 MPG 4.1 PPG 1.7 RPG 2.1 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Toronto Raptors

#20 of 30
Net rating -2.0 30d: -3.8
Pace: -0.9 (#11 of 30)

Washington Wizards

#26 of 30
Net rating -4.6 30d: -1.2
Pace: -2.1 (#21 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Toronto Raptors

Net 40
Shot quality (TS%) 37
3PT volume & accuracy 44
Ball security & passing 46
Rebounding control 57
Defensive disruption 32

ORtg 111.5 · DRtg 115.1 · Net -3.6 · TS 55.9%

Washington Wizards

Net 28
Shot quality (TS%) 33
3PT volume & accuracy 27
Ball security & passing 34
Rebounding control 34
Defensive disruption 57

ORtg 106.0 · DRtg 114.0 · Net -8.0 · TS 55.4%

Toronto Raptors · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 5W actual vs 6.5W expected (12 GP)
Washington Wizards · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 4.3W expected (13 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Toronto Raptors

Win rate when leading at HT 4/7 (57%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/6 (33%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.8 (51.7%) 2H: 54.9 (48.3%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 4-5

Washington Wizards

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/12 (17%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 54.4 (49.0%) 2H: 56.5 (51.0%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-1 10+ pt margins: 2-8

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

TORWAS
Points scored / game 112.4 107.6
Points allowed / game 116.0 115.7
Average game total 228.4 223.3
Average 1st-half total 116.7 114.5
Possessions / 48 min 100.8 99.5
Games with 220+ pts 8/10 5/10
Games with 230+ pts 5/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 2/10
Scored 115+ pts 4/10 2/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Toronto Raptors

0 days (Back-to-back)
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Washington Wizards

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Toronto Raptors

  • #1 Scottie Barnes G-F 20.3% pts share
    22.8 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 5.2 APG · 0.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 RJ Barrett G-F 19.0% pts share
    21.3 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 4.2 APG · 1.8 3PM 20.2% FGA
  • #3 Immanuel Quickley G 15.7% pts share
    17.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 5.4 APG · 2.6 3PM 15.6% FGA

Washington Wizards

  • #1 Trae Young G 17.6% pts share
    18.9 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 8.0 APG · 2.0 3PM 15.7% FGA
  • #2 Anthony Davis F-C 25.6% pts share
    27.5 PPG · 11.0 RPG · 1.6 APG · 1.0 3PM 22.2% FGA
  • #3 Kyshawn George F 17.2% pts share
    18.5 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 5.2 APG · 3.0 3PM 15.7% FGA

Last five games

Toronto Raptors

  • L 112-123 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 13 Nov
  • L 93-98 vs Boston Celtics (H) 12 Nov
  • L 102-118 vs Memphis Grizzlies (H) 10 Nov
  • W 121-107 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 7 Nov
  • L 109-128 at Denver Nuggets (A) 5 Nov

Washington Wizards

  • L 140-144 vs Detroit Pistons (H) 13 Nov
  • L 101-114 at Indiana Pacers (A) 12 Nov
  • L 111-122 at Detroit Pistons (A) 10 Nov
  • L 75-114 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 8 Nov
  • L 132-139 at Atlanta Hawks (A) 7 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

TOR · 7W WAS · 3W
Avg total pts: 231.3 TOR avg: 119.6 WAS avg: 111.7 225+ pt games: 5/10 TOR at home: 3-1
  • 23 Oct 2026 WAS 102‑112 TOR
  • 28 Feb 2026 WAS 125‑134 TOR
  • 26 Dec 2025 WAS 138‑117 TOR
  • 21 Nov 2025 TOR 140‑110 WAS
  • 24 Mar 2025 WAS 104‑112 TOR
  • 10 Mar 2025 TOR 119‑104 WAS
  • 8 Mar 2025 TOR 117‑118 WAS
  • 29 Jan 2025 WAS 82‑106 TOR
  • 7 Apr 2024 TOR 130‑122 WAS
  • 23 Mar 2024 WAS 112‑109 TOR

Season profile comparison

TORWAS
Record 5-7 4-9
At home 2-3 2-3
On the road 3-4 2-6
Conference 8 of 15, Eastern Conference 12 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Lost 3 in a row Lost 5 in a row
Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 1
Our team rating #20 of 30 #26 of 30
Pace #11 of 30 #22 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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