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NBA · Regular season

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks: Preview and Stats

Toronto Raptors 5-7
vs
Milwaukee Bucks 1-11
Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Our picks

Our picks for Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Toronto Raptors 10 of 12 right (83%)
  • Milwaukee Bucks 10 of 12 right (83%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Scotiabank Arena
City
Toronto
Since last match
Toronto Raptors: Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks: Philadelphia 76ers
Next match
Milwaukee Bucks: Brooklyn Nets

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Toronto Raptors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Milwaukee Bucks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Toronto Raptors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Milwaukee Bucks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Toronto Raptors

Projected Starters
  • G-F RJ Barrett
    34.1 MPG 21.3 PPG 6.7 RPG 4.2 APG
  • G Ja'Kobe Walter
    31.6 MPG 11.6 PPG 4.3 RPG 1.7 APG
  • G Immanuel Quickley
    31.6 MPG 17.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 5.4 APG
  • G-F Scottie Barnes
    34.0 MPG 22.8 PPG 6.8 RPG 5.2 APG
  • G Jamal Shead
    24.6 MPG 7.5 PPG 2.2 RPG 7.1 APG
Key Bench
  • F Kawhi Leonard
    31.0 MPG 23.1 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Collin Murray-Boyles
    23.8 MPG 11.2 PPG 4.2 RPG 1.8 APG
  • C Jakob Poeltl
    23.8 MPG 9.2 PPG 6.4 RPG 1.5 APG

Milwaukee Bucks

Projected Starters
  • G Tyler Herro
    30.9 MPG 20.3 PPG 4.6 RPG 4.1 APG
  • F Kyle Kuzma
    26.7 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.9 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G Jaime Jaquez Jr.
    26.6 MPG 15.2 PPG 5.0 RPG 2.6 APG
  • F-C Myles Turner
    26.2 MPG 5.7 PPG 5.9 RPG 2.9 APG
  • G Brayden Burries
    23.5 MPG 10.1 PPG 5.7 RPG 2.3 APG
Key Bench
  • G Ryan Rollins
    22.3 MPG 10.9 PPG 4.2 RPG 4.0 APG
  • G Cormac Ryan
    26.2 MPG 15.2 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • G AJ Green
    18.5 MPG 6.1 PPG 1.9 RPG 1.5 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Toronto Raptors

#20 of 30
Net rating -2.0 30d: -3.8
Pace: -0.9 (#11 of 30)

Milwaukee Bucks

#30 of 30
Net rating -8.1 30d: -2.7
Pace: -2.1 (#22 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Toronto Raptors

Net 40
Shot quality (TS%) 37
3PT volume & accuracy 44
Ball security & passing 46
Rebounding control 57
Defensive disruption 32

ORtg 111.5 · DRtg 115.1 · Net -3.6 · TS 55.9%

Milwaukee Bucks

Net 12
Shot quality (TS%) 21
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 19
Rebounding control 38
Defensive disruption 45

ORtg 103.4 · DRtg 118.9 · Net -15.5 · TS 53.6%

Toronto Raptors · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 5W actual vs 6.5W expected (12 GP)
Milwaukee Bucks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 1W actual vs 1.7W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Toronto Raptors

Win rate when leading at HT 4/7 (57%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/6 (33%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 58.8 (51.7%) 2H: 54.9 (48.3%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-2 10+ pt margins: 4-5

Milwaukee Bucks

Win rate when leading at HT 1/5 (20%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/10 (10%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 51.4 (47.5%) 2H: 56.8 (52.5%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-0 10+ pt margins: 1-11

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

TORMIL
Points scored / game 112.4 104.0
Points allowed / game 116.0 119.6
Average game total 228.4 223.6
Average 1st-half total 116.7 106.0
Possessions / 48 min 100.8 100.6
Games with 220+ pts 8/10 5/10
Games with 230+ pts 5/10 4/10
Games with 240+ pts 2/10 2/10
Scored 115+ pts 4/10 1/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Toronto Raptors

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Milwaukee Bucks

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Toronto Raptors

  • #1 Scottie Barnes G-F 20.3% pts share
    22.8 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 5.2 APG · 0.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
  • #2 RJ Barrett G-F 19.0% pts share
    21.3 PPG · 6.7 RPG · 4.2 APG · 1.8 3PM 20.2% FGA
  • #3 Immanuel Quickley G 15.7% pts share
    17.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 5.4 APG · 2.6 3PM 15.6% FGA

Milwaukee Bucks

  • #1 Tyler Herro G 19.5% pts share
    20.3 PPG · 4.6 RPG · 4.1 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.4% FGA
  • #2 Jaime Jaquez Jr. G 14.6% pts share
    15.2 PPG · 5.0 RPG · 2.6 APG · 1.8 3PM 13.8% FGA
  • #3 Ryan Rollins G 10.5% pts share
    10.9 PPG · 4.2 RPG · 4.0 APG · 1.8 3PM 11.3% FGA

Last five games

Toronto Raptors

  • L 112-123 at Philadelphia 76ers (A) 13 Nov
  • L 93-98 vs Boston Celtics (H) 12 Nov
  • L 102-118 vs Memphis Grizzlies (H) 10 Nov
  • W 121-107 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 7 Nov
  • L 109-128 at Denver Nuggets (A) 5 Nov

Milwaukee Bucks

  • L 112-123 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 12 Nov
  • L 85-117 at New York Knicks (A) 11 Nov
  • L 97-117 vs Boston Celtics (H) 9 Nov
  • L 107-121 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 7 Nov
  • L 102-109 at Boston Celtics (A) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

TOR · 5W MIL · 5W
Avg total pts: 225.2 TOR avg: 112.8 MIL avg: 112.4 225+ pt games: 7/10 TOR at home: 1-3
  • 6 Nov 2026 MIL 107‑121 TOR
  • 22 Feb 2026 MIL 94‑122 TOR
  • 18 Dec 2025 MIL 105‑111 TOR
  • 4 Nov 2025 TOR 128‑100 MIL
  • 24 Oct 2025 TOR 116‑122 MIL
  • 17 Jan 2025 MIL 130‑112 TOR
  • 6 Jan 2025 TOR 104‑128 MIL
  • 12 Nov 2024 MIL 99‑85 TOR
  • 5 Apr 2024 MIL 111‑117 TOR
  • 15 Nov 2023 TOR 112‑128 MIL

Season profile comparison

TORMIL
Record 5-7 1-11
At home 2-3 1-6
On the road 3-4 0-5
Conference 8 of 15, Eastern Conference 15 of 15, Eastern Conference
Streak Lost 3 in a row Lost 5 in a row
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #20 of 30 #30 of 30
Pace #11 of 30 #21 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Boston Celtics 10 2 .833 – 5-0 5-2 9-1 W5
2 Philadelphia 76ers 10 3 .769 0.5 5-2 5-1 7-3 W1
3 Detroit Pistons 8 3 .727 1.5 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
4 Atlanta Hawks 7 5 .583 3.0 3-3 4-2 5-5 L1
5 New York Knicks 6 5 .545 3.5 4-3 2-2 6-4 L1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers 6 6 .500 4.0 4-2 2-4 5-5 W1
7 Miami Heat 5 6 .455 4.5 1-3 4-3 5-5 W2
8 Toronto Raptors 5 7 .417 5.0 2-3 3-4 3-7 L3
9 Orlando Magic 4 7 .364 5.5 0-4 4-3 4-6 W2
10 Charlotte Hornets 4 8 .333 6.0 3-4 1-4 3-7 L1
11 Indiana Pacers 4 8 .333 6.0 1-4 3-4 3-7 W1
12 Washington Wizards 4 9 .308 6.5 2-3 2-6 2-8 L6
13 Brooklyn Nets 3 8 .273 6.5 1-3 2-5 3-7 W1
14 Chicago Bulls 1 9 .100 8.0 0-4 1-5 1-9 L8
15 Milwaukee Bucks 1 11 .083 9.0 1-6 0-5 1-9 L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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