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NBA · Regular season

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction and Preview

Minnesota Timberwolves 3-1
vs
Golden State Warriors 1-3
Minneapolis

Our picks

Free picks
  • Winner Free pick Minnesota Timberwolves
    Model probability 29% 48%
  • First half Free pick Minnesota Timberwolves ahead
    Model probability 73% 96% 52%
  • Total points Free pick Below the league average(league average 231.5)
    Model probability Over 221.5 88%Over 231.5 37%Over 241.5 35%
  • Minnesota Timberwolves points Free pick Around the league average(league average 115.5)
    Model probability Over 109.5 74%Over 115.5 43%Over 121.5 28%
  • Golden State Warriors points Free pick Below the league average(league average 115.5)
    Model probability Over 109.5 93%Over 115.5 31%Over 121.5 19%

Players

PTSREBAST
Rudy Gobert Under 10.5 53% Under 11.5 36% Under 1.5 39%
Jaden McDaniels Under 15.5 57% Under 4.5 15% Under 2.5 17%
LaMelo Ball Under 20.5 94% Under 4.5 60% Under 7.5 87%
Draymond Green Under 8.5 84% Under 5.5 46% Under 5.5 11%
Brandin Podziemski Under 13.5 18% Under 5.5 65% Under 3.5 90%
Stephen Curry Under 26.5 51% Under 3.5 99% Under 4.5 62%

Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.

See exactly how confident our model is

Every probability, the total and team points lines and the player lines. The winner percentages are free for everyone 2h before tip-off ·

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Every percentage of our model from 48 hours before kick-off: result, double chance, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 goals, yellow card and corner lines, and our Top 5 picks as soon as they are out. Cancel any time.

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Why this pick?

Our model makes Minnesota the winner, mainly on the rating gap: the Timberwolves sit seventh of 30, the Warriors 18th, and a 3‑1 start against 1‑3 backs that up. The strongest argument the other way is Minnesota's absences, with Donte DiVincenzo out and Anthony Edwards questionable. The pick still holds, and clearly so: Golden State are without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody and Kristaps Porziņģis, Yaxel Lendeborg is questionable, and the Warriors lost four of the last five meetings. Minnesota have won their only home game; the Warriors are 1‑2 on the road. The call is moderate.

Total points: The total sits below the league average mainly because both teams play slower than a typical NBA game, Golden State 28th of 30 in pace. The injury report removes scoring on both sides, and only the higher points per possession of these matchups pushes the other way, slightly.

Game summary

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors in the NBA regular season at Minneapolis on Wednesday 28 October 2026: our model backs the Timberwolves to win and sees the total points below the league average.

Latest news

Official injury report

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Questionable Anthony Edwards (key player)
  • Out Donte DiVincenzo (rotation regular)

Golden State Warriors

  • Questionable Yaxel Lendeborg (key player)
  • Out Jimmy Butler III (key player)
  • Out Moses Moody (rotation regular)
  • Out Kristaps Porziņģis (rotation regular)

The report of 27 Oct, 21:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Last five games

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • L 125-127 at Cleveland Cavaliers (A) 26 Oct
  • W 117-94 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 25 Oct
  • W 115-93 at Orlando Magic (A) 23 Oct
  • W 131-106 at Miami Heat (A) 21 Oct

Golden State Warriors

  • W 134-114 at Denver Nuggets (A) 27 Oct
  • L 122-131 at Phoenix Suns (A) 25 Oct
  • L 108-111 vs Memphis Grizzlies (H) 24 Oct
  • L 105-127 at Los Angeles Lakers (A) 22 Oct

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Team facts

MINGSW
Record 3-1 1-3
At home 1-0 0-1
On the road 2-1 1-2
Conference 6 of 15, Western Conference 12 of 15, Western Conference
Streak – –
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #7 of 30 #18 of 30
Pace #11 of 30 #28 of 30

Last meetings

  • 14 Mar 2026Golden State Warriors 117-127 Minnesota Timberwolves
  • 27 Jan 2026Minnesota Timberwolves 108-83 Golden State Warriors
  • 25 Jan 2026Minnesota Timberwolves 85-111 Golden State Warriors
  • 13 Dec 2025Golden State Warriors 120-127 Minnesota Timberwolves
  • 15 May 2025Minnesota Timberwolves 121-110 Golden State Warriors

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
City
Minneapolis

Questions and answers

What time is Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors?

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors tips off at 00:00 UK time (20:00 US Eastern time) on Wednesday 28 October 2026, US date.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Minnesota Timberwolves to win, a call with a fair margin. The main reason is the teams' strength on our ratings. It sees the total points below the league average.

Who is out for Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors?

The official NBA injury report lists Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves): questionable; Donte DiVincenzo (Minnesota Timberwolves): out; Yaxel Lendeborg (Golden State Warriors): questionable; Jimmy Butler III (Golden State Warriors): out; Moses Moody (Golden State Warriors): out; Kristaps Porziņģis (Golden State Warriors): out.

How are Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors doing this season?

Minnesota Timberwolves are 3-1; Golden State Warriors are 1-3.

When did Minnesota Timberwolves and Golden State Warriors last meet?

On 2026-03-14: Golden State Warriors 117-127 Minnesota Timberwolves.

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