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NBA · Regular season

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets Prediction and Preview

New Orleans Pelicans 0-3
vs
Denver Nuggets 1-2
New Orleans

Our picks

Free picks
  • Winner Free pick Denver Nuggets
    Model probability 60% 14%
  • First half Free pick Denver Nuggets ahead
    Model probability 18% 20% 48%
  • Total points Free pick Around the league average(league average 231.5)
    Model probability Over 221.5 97%Over 231.5 91%Over 241.5 68%
  • New Orleans Pelicans points Free pick Around the league average(league average 115.5)
    Model probability Over 109.5 83%Over 115.5 71%Over 121.5 33%
  • Denver Nuggets points Free pick Around the league average(league average 115.5)
    Model probability Over 109.5 90%Over 115.5 38%Over 121.5 35%

Players

PTSREBAST
Zion Williamson Under 21.5 63% Under 5.5 58% Under 3.5 87%
Saddiq Bey Under 17.5 85% Under 5.5 53% Under 2.5 50%
Trey Murphy III Under 21.5 92% Under 5.5 89% Under 3.5 42%
Jamal Murray Under 25.5 24% Under 4.5 52% Under 7.5 34%
Nikola Jokić Under 27.5 22% Under 12.5 76% Under 10.5 43%
Christian Braun Under 11.5 17% Under 4.5 10% Under 2.5 27%

Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.

See exactly how confident our model is

Every probability, the total and team points lines and the player lines. The winner percentages are free for everyone 2h before tip-off ·

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Every percentage of our model from 48 hours before kick-off: result, double chance, both teams to score, over/under 2.5 goals, yellow card and corner lines, and our Top 5 picks as soon as they are out. Cancel any time.

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Why this pick?

Our model backs Denver Nuggets to win, mainly because it rates them the stronger team once results and the players expected to play are counted, 14th of 30 against New Orleans Pelicans' 24th. New Orleans has arguments: home court, plus three days of rest against Denver's one. The injury report bites Denver harder, with Cameron Johnson Doubtful and Spencer Jones, Alpha Diallo and Julian Strawther Out, while the Pelicans are without Yves Missi. Even so, the rating gap outweighs those small edges, and a Pelicans side that has lost all three and sits 14th in the Western Conference does not swing it back. It is a narrow call.

Total points: The total lands around the league average: both teams' games have produced more points per possession than a typical NBA game and the absences push scoring up, but the two sides together play at a slower pace, which pulls it back.

Game summary

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets arrives in the NBA regular season on Wednesday 28 October 2026, with our model backing Denver Nuggets to win and seeing the total points around the league average.

Latest news

Official injury report

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Out Yves Missi (rotation regular)

Denver Nuggets

  • Doubtful Cameron Johnson (key player)
  • Out Spencer Jones (rotation regular)
  • Out Alpha Diallo (rotation regular)
  • Out Julian Strawther (rotation regular)

The report of 27 Oct, 21:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Last five games

New Orleans Pelicans

  • L 135-141 at Denver Nuggets (A) 25 Oct
  • L 119-120 at Utah Jazz (A) 24 Oct
  • L 120-123 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 22 Oct

Denver Nuggets

  • L 114-134 vs Golden State Warriors (H) 27 Oct
  • W 141-135 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 25 Oct
  • L 84-96 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 23 Oct

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Team facts

NOPDEN
Record 0-3 1-2
At home 0-1 1-1
On the road 0-2 0-1
Conference 14 of 15, Western Conference 8 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 3 in a row –
Days of rest 3 1
Our team rating #24 of 30 #14 of 30
Pace #8 of 30 #24 of 30

Last meetings

  • 25 Oct 2026Denver Nuggets 141-135 New Orleans Pelicans
  • 14 Jan 2026New Orleans Pelicans 116-122 Denver Nuggets
  • 20 Nov 2025New Orleans Pelicans 118-125 Denver Nuggets
  • 30 Oct 2025Denver Nuggets 122-88 New Orleans Pelicans
  • 6 Feb 2025Denver Nuggets 144-119 New Orleans Pelicans

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
City
New Orleans

Questions and answers

What time is New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets tips off at 00:00 UK time (20:00 US Eastern time) on Wednesday 28 October 2026, US date.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets prediction: who will win?

Our model picks Denver Nuggets to win, a narrow call. The main reason is the teams' strength on our ratings. It sees the total points around the league average.

Who is out for New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets?

The official NBA injury report lists Yves Missi (New Orleans Pelicans): out; Cameron Johnson (Denver Nuggets): doubtful; Spencer Jones (Denver Nuggets): out; Alpha Diallo (Denver Nuggets): out; Julian Strawther (Denver Nuggets): out.

How are New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets doing this season?

New Orleans Pelicans are 0-3; Denver Nuggets are 1-2.

When did New Orleans Pelicans and Denver Nuggets last meet?

On 2026-10-25: Denver Nuggets 141-135 New Orleans Pelicans.

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