NBA · Regular season, NBA Cup game

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat: Preview and Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026, 22:00 UTC Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Our picks

Our picks for Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest Wednesday 25 November 2026, 19:00 UTC (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

Philadelphia 76ers 10 of 13 right (77%)
Miami Heat 6 of 11 right (55%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 20 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season, NBA Cup game
Tip-off: Wednesday 25 November 2026, 22:00 UTC
Arena: Xfinity Mobile Arena
City: Philadelphia
Since last match: Philadelphia 76ers: Portland Trail Blazers Miami Heat: Oklahoma City Thunder

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Philadelphia 76ers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Miami Heat

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Philadelphia 76ers

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Miami Heat

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Philadelphia 76ers

Projected Starters

G Tyrese Maxey

35.3 MPG 26.1 PPG 3.3 RPG 5.7 APG
G-F Jaylen Brown

34.8 MPG 20.8 PPG 6.6 RPG 3.2 APG
G VJ Edgecombe

33.9 MPG 13.1 PPG 5.9 RPG 3.7 APG
F LeBron James

32.2 MPG 15.0 PPG 6.6 RPG 6.6 APG
F-C Joel Embiid

30.4 MPG 16.5 PPG 8.5 RPG 3.0 APG

Key Bench

F-C Dean Wade

25.2 MPG 3.6 PPG 4.0 RPG 1.9 APG
G Anfernee Simons

22.0 MPG 11.4 PPG 2.3 RPG 1.4 APG
G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

20.6 MPG 4.9 PPG 2.4 RPG 1.8 APG

Miami Heat

Projected Starters

G Davion Mitchell

36.0 MPG 17.0 PPG 2.2 RPG 8.2 APG
F-C Bam Adebayo

33.4 MPG 18.1 PPG 8.5 RPG 3.2 APG
F Giannis Antetokounmpo

33.0 MPG 27.0 PPG 13.3 RPG 5.6 APG
G Pelle Larsson

30.1 MPG 12.3 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.5 APG
G-F Klay Thompson

25.6 MPG 14.8 PPG 1.6 RPG 2.1 APG

Key Bench

F Andrew Wiggins

25.6 MPG 8.5 PPG 2.9 RPG 1.5 APG
F Bobby Portis Jr.

19.9 MPG 6.8 PPG 6.0 RPG 1.8 APG
G Tim Hardaway Jr.

14.3 MPG 4.8 PPG 1.0 RPG 0.6 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Philadelphia 76ers

#8 of 30

Net rating +3.9 30d: -0.6

Pace: -0.8 (#10 of 30)

Miami Heat

#15 of 30

Net rating -0.6 30d: -0.1

Pace: 2.3 (#1 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

Net 49

Shot quality (TS%) 40

3PT volume & accuracy 42

Ball security & passing 58

Rebounding control 49

Defensive disruption 50

ORtg 110.3 · DRtg 110.5 · Net -0.2 · TS 56.4%

Miami Heat

Net 44

Shot quality (TS%) 44

3PT volume & accuracy 50

Ball security & passing 50

Rebounding control 48

Defensive disruption 33

ORtg 110.3 · DRtg 112.4 · Net -2.1 · TS 56.9%

Philadelphia 76ers · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 10W actual vs 7.2W expected (13 GP)

Miami Heat · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 5W actual vs 4.1W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Philadelphia 76ers

Win rate when leading at HT 7/7 (100%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/7 (29%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 56.1 (50.9%) 2H: 54.1 (49.1%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 3-5

Miami Heat

Win rate when leading at HT 6/7 (86%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/7 (14%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 60.9 (50.9%) 2H: 58.8 (49.1%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-3 10+ pt margins: 4-5

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

PHI

MIA

Points scored / game 109.8 116.7

Points allowed / game 110.0 118.9

Average game total 219.8 235.6

Average 1st-half total 112.1 122.2

Possessions / 48 min 99.5 104.7

Games with 220+ pts 5/10 10/10

Games with 230+ pts 3/10 5/10

Games with 240+ pts 1/10 3/10

Scored 115+ pts 3/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

1 day rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 3

Miami Heat

2 days rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 6

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Philadelphia 76ers

#1 Tyrese Maxey G 23.8% pts share

26.1 PPG · 3.3 RPG · 5.7 APG · 2.4 3PM 19.7% FGA
#2 Jaylen Brown G-F 18.9% pts share

20.8 PPG · 6.6 RPG · 3.2 APG · 1.7 3PM 18.9% FGA
#3 LeBron James F 13.7% pts share

15.0 PPG · 6.6 RPG · 6.6 APG · 1.0 3PM 15.2% FGA

Miami Heat

#1 Giannis Antetokounmpo F 23.1% pts share

27.0 PPG · 13.3 RPG · 5.6 APG · 0.6 3PM 21.1% FGA
#2 Davion Mitchell G 14.6% pts share

17.0 PPG · 2.2 RPG · 8.2 APG · 2.4 3PM 14.2% FGA
#3 Bam Adebayo F-C 15.5% pts share

18.1 PPG · 8.5 RPG · 3.2 APG · 0.5 3PM 14.1% FGA

Last five games

Philadelphia 76ers

W 123-112 vs Toronto Raptors (H) 13 Nov
L 101-123 vs Boston Celtics (H) 11 Nov
W 127-121 at Chicago Bulls (A) 8 Nov
L 95-119 at Cleveland Cavaliers (A) 7 Nov
W 112-106 at Detroit Pistons (A) 5 Nov

Miami Heat

W 115-109 at Utah Jazz (A) 11 Nov
W 114-108 at Sacramento Kings (A) 9 Nov
L 100-120 at Golden State Warriors (A) 6 Nov
W 117-116 at LA Clippers (A) 5 Nov
L 117-138 at Los Angeles Lakers (A) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

PHI · 4W MIA · 6W

Avg total pts: 216.4 PHI avg: 105.2 MIA avg: 111.2 225+ pt games: 3/10 PHI at home: 3-3

30 Mar 2026 MIA 119‑109 PHI
26 Feb 2026 PHI 124‑117 MIA
23 Nov 2025 PHI 117‑127 MIA
7 Apr 2025 MIA 117‑105 PHI
29 Mar 2025 PHI 95‑118 MIA
5 Feb 2025 PHI 101‑108 MIA
18 Nov 2024 MIA 106‑89 PHI
17 Apr 2024 PHI 105‑104 MIA
4 Apr 2024 MIA 105‑109 PHI
18 Mar 2024 PHI 98‑91 MIA

Season profile comparison

PHI

MIA

Record 10-3 5-6

At home 5-2 1-3

On the road 5-1 4-3

Conference 2 of 15, Eastern Conference 7 of 15, Eastern Conference

Streak – Won 2 in a row

Days of rest 1 2

Our team rating #8 of 30 #15 of 30

Pace #10 of 30 #2 of 30

Eastern Conference standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	Home	Road	L10	Streak
1	Boston Celtics	10	2	.833	–	5-0	5-2	9-1	W5
2	Philadelphia 76ers	10	3	.769	0.5	5-2	5-1	7-3	W1
3	Detroit Pistons	8	3	.727	1.5	3-2	5-1	7-3	W2
4	Atlanta Hawks	7	5	.583	3.0	3-3	4-2	5-5	L1
5	New York Knicks	6	5	.545	3.5	4-3	2-2	6-4	L1
6	Cleveland Cavaliers	6	6	.500	4.0	4-2	2-4	5-5	W1
7	Miami Heat	5	6	.455	4.5	1-3	4-3	5-5	W2
8	Toronto Raptors	5	7	.417	5.0	2-3	3-4	3-7	L3
9	Orlando Magic	4	7	.364	5.5	0-4	4-3	4-6	W2
10	Charlotte Hornets	4	8	.333	6.0	3-4	1-4	3-7	L1
11	Indiana Pacers	4	8	.333	6.0	1-4	3-4	3-7	W1
12	Washington Wizards	4	9	.308	6.5	2-3	2-6	2-8	L6
13	Brooklyn Nets	3	8	.273	6.5	1-3	2-5	3-7	W1
14	Chicago Bulls	1	9	.100	8.0	0-4	1-5	1-9	L8
15	Milwaukee Bucks	1	11	.083	9.0	1-6	0-5	1-9	L8

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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