NBA · Regular season

Philadelphia 76ers 123-112 Toronto Raptors: Result, Game Stats and Our Prediction

Philadelphia 76ers 9-3

123-112Final

Toronto Raptors 5-6

Friday 13 November 2026, 00:00 UTC Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia

Our picks

Winner Philadelphia 76ers

Model probability Philadelphia 76ers 72% Toronto Raptors 28%
First half Philadelphia 76ers ahead

Model probability Philadelphia 76ers 63% Tie 3% Toronto Raptors 34%
Total points Below the league average(league average 231.5)

Model probability Over 221.5 55%Over 231.5 34%Over 241.5 17%
Philadelphia 76ers points Around the league average(league average 115.5)

Model probability Over 109.5 68%Over 115.5 48%Over 121.5 29%
Toronto Raptors points Below the league average(league average 115.5)

Model probability Over 109.5 48%Over 115.5 29%Over 121.5 14%

Projected game flow & score range

Coarse model projection bands and tempo profile — exact points unlock with full probabilities.

Projected score band

PHI 112–118

TOR 104–110

Game script Single-digit edge

1st-half scoring Measured 1st half 1H avg 116.5

Key model decision drivers

Primary factors shaping our winner and total-points projections.

Philadelphia 76ers hold the stronger net team & lineup rating Decisive edge
Toronto Raptors on the second night of a back-to-back Slight edge
Home-court advantage for Philadelphia 76ers Slight edge
Half-court tempo projects fewer possessions than average Lowers total

Players

PTSREBAST

VJ Edgecombe Over 12.5 56% Under 6.5 60% Over 3.5 50% G · 33.2 MPG PRA: Over 22.5

Tyrese Maxey Under 26.5 59% Under 3.5 52% Over 5.5 51% G · 35.4 MPG PRA: Under 35.5

Jaylen Brown Over 21.5 57% Under 6.5 53% Over 3.5 62% G-F · 35.0 MPG PRA: Over 31.5 ★ Top lean: AST

RJ Barrett Over 20.5 51% Under 6.5 60% Under 4.5 68% G-F · 33.8 MPG PRA: Under 31.5

Ja'Kobe Walter Over 11.5 52% Under 4.5 64% Under 2.5 72% G · 30.8 MPG PRA: Under 18.5 ★ Top lean: AST

Immanuel Quickley Under 16.5 54% Under 3.5 52% Under 5.5 59% G · 29.9 MPG PRA: Under 25.5

Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.

All probabilities

Winning margin

Expected Philadelphia 76ers 6.7

Total points224.0

Points per team

Philadelphia 76ers115.0

Toronto Raptors108.9

Total points

Over 221.5 / Under 221.555% · 45%

Over 231.5 / Under 231.534% · 66%

Over 241.5 / Under 241.517% · 83%

Philadelphia 76ers points

Over 109.5 / Under 109.568% · 32%

Over 115.5 / Under 115.548% · 52%

Over 121.5 / Under 121.529% · 71%

Toronto Raptors points

Over 109.5 / Under 109.548% · 52%

Over 115.5 / Under 115.529% · 71%

Over 121.5 / Under 121.514% · 86%

First-half points

Expected112.1

Over 110.5 / Under 110.555% · 45%

Over 116.5 / Under 116.536% · 64%

Over 122.5 / Under 122.520% · 80%

Why this pick?

Our model backs the Philadelphia 76ers mainly because it rates them clearly stronger than the Toronto Raptors: 9‑3 and second in the Eastern Conference against a 5‑6 side 18th of 30. The plainest argument against it comes from Philadelphia's injury report, with LeBron James out, Dominick Barlow out and Joel Embiid questionable. The pick still holds, because Toronto arrive on the second night of a back-to-back after two losses in a row and without Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard, while the 76ers have won five of six away from home. Home court adds a little, and the call is moderate.

Total points: This one shapes up with fewer points than a typical NBA night: both sides play slower than most of the league, and their games give up fewer points per possession at either end, which is why our model sets the total under the league average.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season
Tip-off: Friday 13 November 2026, 00:00 UTC
Arena: Xfinity Mobile Arena
City: Philadelphia
Since last match: Philadelphia 76ers: Boston Celtics (101‑123) Toronto Raptors: Boston Celtics (93‑98)
Next match: Philadelphia 76ers: Indiana Pacers Toronto Raptors: New York Knicks

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Philadelphia 76ers

Moderate absence load

Missing offense15.2%

Missing minutes15.1%

4 Out / Doubtful 1 starter out 1 GTD

Key sidelined

LeBron James, Adem Bona

Toronto Raptors

Moderate absence load

Missing offense16.9%

Missing minutes13.6%

4 Out / Doubtful 1 starter out

Key sidelined

Scottie Barnes, Kawhi Leonard

Official NBA injury report

Philadelphia 76ers

Out LeBron James F Injury · 15.0 PPG · 32.2 MPG
Out Adem Bona F Injury · 2.4 PPG · 14.9 MPG
Out Dominick Barlow F Injury · 3.0 PPG · 10.7 MPG
Out Ariel Hukporti C Injury · 1.7 PPG · 7.5 MPG
Questionable Joel Embiid F-C Injury · 17.5 PPG · 31.4 MPG

Toronto Raptors

Out Scottie Barnes G-F Injury · 23.6 PPG · 34.4 MPG
Out Kawhi Leonard F Injury · 16.0 PPG · 28.0 MPG
Out Trayce Jackson-Davis F Injury · 2.4 PPG · 7.1 MPG
Out Nate Bittle Injury

The report of 12 Nov, 18:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Game rotation & box-score minutes

Top 8 rotation players by minutes played in this game.

Philadelphia 76ers

	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	+/-
Jaylen Brown G-F	36	18	6	2	0	+9
VJ Edgecombe G	36	15	8	8	1	-3
Tyrese Maxey G	35	27	2	8	1	+1
Dean Wade F-C	34	6	5	2	2	+2
Joel Embiid F-C	28	20	4	3	0	+11
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G	27	11	4	5	3	+21
Anfernee Simons G	23	17	3	2	5	+22
Jabari Walker F	16	9	8	1	1	-2

Toronto Raptors

	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	+/-
RJ Barrett G-F	37	31	14	5	4	-5
Collin Murray-Boyles F	32	14	0	4	1	-15
Ja'Kobe Walter G	32	6	5	0	1	+10
Immanuel Quickley G	28	26	4	6	3	-12
Jamison Battle F	25	13	1	1	3	-5
Jakob Poeltl C	25	9	5	3	0	+7
Jamal Shead G	22	5	1	5	1	-2
Alijah Martin G	18	7	4	1	1	-14

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

Net 49

Shot quality (TS%) 36

3PT volume & accuracy 45

Ball security & passing 58

Rebounding control 42

Defensive disruption 52

ORtg 109.5 · DRtg 109.7 · Net -0.2 · TS 55.7%

Toronto Raptors

Net 46

Shot quality (TS%) 31

3PT volume & accuracy 36

Ball security & passing 42

Rebounding control 64

Defensive disruption 40

ORtg 110.3 · DRtg 111.8 · Net -1.5 · TS 55.0%

Philadelphia 76ers · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 9W actual vs 6.4W expected (12 GP)

Toronto Raptors · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 5W actual vs 6.4W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Philadelphia 76ers

Win rate when leading at HT 7/8 (88%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/7 (29%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 56.2 (51.7%) 2H: 52.6 (48.3%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-0 10+ pt margins: 2-5

Toronto Raptors

Win rate when leading at HT 5/8 (62%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/6 (33%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 57.3 (51.0%) 2H: 55.1 (49.0%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-2 10+ pt margins: 4-4

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

PHI

TOR

Points scored / game 110.2 112.4

Points allowed / game 110.4 113.9

Average game total 220.6 226.3

Average 1st-half total 112.5 115.9

Possessions / 48 min 100.7 101.9

Games with 220+ pts 5/10 7/10

Games with 230+ pts 3/10 4/10

Games with 240+ pts 2/10 2/10

Scored 115+ pts 3/10 4/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Philadelphia 76ers

1 day rest

2 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Toronto Raptors

0 days (Back-to-back)

3 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Philadelphia 76ers

#1 Tyrese Maxey G 23.6% pts share

26.0 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 5.3 APG · 2.7 3PM 20.5% FGA
#2 Jaylen Brown G-F 19.8% pts share

21.8 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 3.6 APG · 2.0 3PM 19.2% FGA
#3 Joel Embiid F-C GTD 15.9% pts share

17.5 PPG · 9.4 RPG · 3.9 APG · 0.1 3PM 16.4% FGA

Toronto Raptors

#1 RJ Barrett G-F 18.2% pts share

20.5 PPG · 6.2 RPG · 4.1 APG · 1.5 3PM 19.4% FGA
#2 Immanuel Quickley G 14.1% pts share

15.9 PPG · 3.5 RPG · 5.4 APG · 2.2 3PM 15.2% FGA
#3 Jamal Shead G 6.7% pts share

7.5 PPG · 2.3 RPG · 7.1 APG · 0.9 3PM 7.7% FGA

Last five games

Philadelphia 76ers

L 101-123 vs Boston Celtics (H) 11 Nov
W 127-121 at Chicago Bulls (A) 8 Nov
L 95-119 at Cleveland Cavaliers (A) 7 Nov
W 112-106 at Detroit Pistons (A) 5 Nov
W 126-107 vs Chicago Bulls (H) 3 Nov

Toronto Raptors

L 93-98 vs Boston Celtics (H) 12 Nov
L 102-118 vs Memphis Grizzlies (H) 10 Nov
W 121-107 at Milwaukee Bucks (A) 7 Nov
L 109-128 at Denver Nuggets (A) 5 Nov
W 125-118 at LA Clippers (A) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

PHI · 4W TOR · 6W

Avg total pts: 230.8 PHI avg: 115.2 TOR avg: 115.6 225+ pt games: 6/10 PHI at home: 2-3

12 Jan 2026 TOR 102‑115 PHI
11 Jan 2026 TOR 116‑115 (OT) PHI
19 Nov 2025 PHI 112‑121 TOR
8 Nov 2025 PHI 130‑120 TOR
30 Mar 2025 PHI 109‑127 TOR
12 Mar 2025 TOR 118‑105 PHI
11 Feb 2025 PHI 103‑106 TOR
25 Oct 2024 TOR 115‑107 PHI
31 Mar 2024 TOR 120‑135 PHI
22 Dec 2023 PHI 121‑111 TOR

Season profile comparison

PHI

TOR

Record 9-3 5-6

At home 4-2 2-3

On the road 5-1 3-3

Conference 2 of 15, Eastern Conference 8 of 15, Eastern Conference

Streak – Lost 2 in a row

Days of rest 1 0 (second night of a back-to-back)

Our team rating #9 of 30 #18 of 30

Pace #8 of 30 #9 of 30

Standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	Home	Road	Streak
2	Philadelphia 76ers	9	3	.750	4-2	5-1	–
8	Toronto Raptors	5	6	.455	2-3	3-3	L2

Other NBA results that day

All results

Times are UTC.