NBA · Regular season

Washington Wizards 140-144 Detroit Pistons (OT): Result, Game Stats and Our Prediction

Washington Wizards 4-8

140-1442OT

Detroit Pistons 7-3

Friday 13 November 2026, 00:00 UTC Capital One Arena, Washington

Our picks

Winner Detroit Pistons

Model probability Washington Wizards 20% Detroit Pistons 80%
First half Detroit Pistons ahead

Model probability Washington Wizards 27% Tie 3% Detroit Pistons 70%
Total points Below the league average(league average 231.5)

Model probability Over 221.5 44%Over 231.5 25%Over 241.5 11%
Washington Wizards points Below the league average(league average 115.5)

Model probability Over 109.5 33%Over 115.5 17%Over 121.5 7%
Detroit Pistons points Around the league average(league average 115.5)

Model probability Over 109.5 67%Over 115.5 47%Over 121.5 28%

Projected game flow & score range

Coarse model projection bands and tempo profile — exact points unlock with full probabilities.

Projected score band

WAS 100–106

DET 112–118

Game script Double-digit margin lean

1st-half scoring Measured 1st half 1H avg 116.5

Key model decision drivers

Primary factors shaping our winner and total-points projections.

Detroit Pistons hold the stronger net team & lineup rating Decisive edge
Washington Wizards on the second night of a back-to-back Notable edge
Detroit Pistons shorthanded on the official injury report Minor offset
Half-court tempo projects fewer possessions than average Strong under drag

Players

PTSREBAST

Anthony Davis Under 25.5 69% Under 10.5 59% Over 1.5 63% F-C · 33.3 MPG PRA: Under 37.5

Trae Young Under 18.5 58% Under 3.5 71% Under 8.5 67% G · 34.8 MPG PRA: Under 30.5

AJ Dybantsa Under 16.5 69% Under 5.5 58% Under 2.5 73% F · 32.5 MPG PRA: Under 24.5 ★ Top lean: AST

Duncan Robinson Under 18.5 66% Over 1.5 68% Under 2.5 55% F · 30.9 MPG PRA: Under 22.5 ★ Top lean: REB

Ausar Thompson Under 9.5 53% Under 8.5 67% Under 4.5 65% G-F · 27.3 MPG PRA: Under 22.5

Cade Cunningham Under 22.5 52% Under 5.5 58% Over 7.5 57% G · 33.3 MPG PRA: Over 35.5

Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.

All probabilities

Winning margin

Expected Detroit Pistons 9.6

Total points218.9

Points per team

Washington Wizards104.4

Detroit Pistons114.5

Total points

Over 221.5 / Under 221.544% · 56%

Over 231.5 / Under 231.525% · 75%

Over 241.5 / Under 241.511% · 89%

Washington Wizards points

Over 109.5 / Under 109.533% · 67%

Over 115.5 / Under 115.517% · 83%

Over 121.5 / Under 121.57% · 93%

Detroit Pistons points

Over 109.5 / Under 109.567% · 33%

Over 115.5 / Under 115.547% · 53%

Over 121.5 / Under 121.528% · 72%

First-half points

Expected110.9

Over 110.5 / Under 110.551% · 49%

Over 116.5 / Under 116.532% · 68%

Over 122.5 / Under 122.517% · 83%

Why this pick?

Our model makes the Detroit Pistons the winner, above all because it rates them clearly the stronger side: 7‑3 and third in the Eastern Conference, 4‑1 on the road, against a Washington Wizards team at 4‑8 and 26th of 30. The strongest argument on the other side is that Detroit arrives short-handed, with Jalen Duren and Isaiah Joe out. Playing at home helps Washington, but they are on the second night of a back-to-back and have lost five in a row, and the Pistons have taken four of the last five meetings, so the reasons for Detroit clearly outweigh the case against. The call is clear.

Total points: Our model puts the total below the league average: Washington and Detroit both sit in the slower half of the NBA for pace, and the absences listed on the injury report trim expected scoring further, with nothing in the data pushing the number up.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season
Tip-off: Friday 13 November 2026, 00:00 UTC
Arena: Capital One Arena
City: Washington
Since last match: Washington Wizards: Indiana Pacers (114‑101) Detroit Pistons: Washington Wizards (122‑111)
Next match: Washington Wizards: Houston Rockets Detroit Pistons: Miami Heat

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Washington Wizards

Low absence load

Missing offense1.4%

Missing minutes1.2%

4 Out / Doubtful

Key sidelined

Tristan Vukčević, Jamir Watkins, Justin Champagnie

Detroit Pistons

Low absence load

Missing offense3.8%

Missing minutes3.3%

2 Out / Doubtful

Key sidelined

Jalen Duren, Isaiah Joe

Official NBA injury report

Washington Wizards

Out Jamir Watkins F Injury · 11.3 PPG · 24.7 MPG
Out Tristan Vukčević F Injury · 13.4 PPG · 17.5 MPG
Out Justin Champagnie G-F Injury · 6.5 PPG · 15.0 MPG
Out Reece Beekman G Injury · 0.0 PPG · 1.0 MPG

Detroit Pistons

Out Jalen Duren C Injury · 13.0 PPG · 19.0 MPG
Out Isaiah Joe G Injury · 7.3 PPG · 13.7 MPG

The report of 12 Nov, 18:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Game rotation & box-score minutes

Top 8 rotation players by minutes played in this game.

Washington Wizards

	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	+/-
Trae Young G	45	37	2	14	4	+7
Anthony Davis F-C	44	30	15	4	0	+3
Alex Sarr C	44	30	9	2	4	0
AJ Dybantsa F	44	5	8	4	1	+13
Tre Johnson G	30	13	4	2	1	-20
Bilal Coulibaly G	29	4	7	0	0	-25
Kyshawn George F	26	14	1	5	3	+11
Bub Carrington G	16	2	0	2	0	-6

Detroit Pistons

	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	+/-
Cade Cunningham G	48	52	5	11	3	+4
Ausar Thompson G-F	43	17	11	11	0	-1
Daniss Jenkins G	42	21	6	0	3	+6
Duncan Robinson F	41	13	3	1	3	+1
Paul Reed F	38	13	11	3	0	+25
John Collins F-C	25	10	4	0	2	-18
Kevin Huerter G-F	24	11	1	0	1	+10
Javonte Green G	15	5	1	0	1	+1

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Washington Wizards

Net 30

Shot quality (TS%) 31

3PT volume & accuracy 24

Ball security & passing 36

Rebounding control 34

Defensive disruption 60

ORtg 105.2 · DRtg 112.4 · Net -7.2 · TS 55.0%

Detroit Pistons

Net 72

Shot quality (TS%) 52

3PT volume & accuracy 58

Ball security & passing 42

Rebounding control 44

Defensive disruption 80

ORtg 111.3 · DRtg 103.3 · Net +8.0 · TS 58.1%

Washington Wizards · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 4W actual vs 3.9W expected (12 GP)

Detroit Pistons · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 7.4W expected (10 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Washington Wizards

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/12 (17%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 53.7 (49.4%) 2H: 55.1 (50.6%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-0 10+ pt margins: 2-9

Detroit Pistons

Win rate when leading at HT 6/8 (75%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/7 (29%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 53.6 (48.4%) 2H: 57.1 (51.6%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-2 10+ pt margins: 6-2

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

WAS

DET

Points scored / game 106.0 112.7

Points allowed / game 113.3 104.6

Average game total 219.3 217.3

Average 1st-half total 113.9 107.4

Possessions / 48 min 100.8 101.3

Games with 220+ pts 5/10 4/10

Games with 230+ pts 4/10 4/10

Games with 240+ pts 2/10 0/10

Scored 115+ pts 2/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Washington Wizards

0 days (Back-to-back)

3 in 4 nights 4 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Detroit Pistons

2 days rest

2 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Washington Wizards

#1 Trae Young G 16.7% pts share

17.7 PPG · 3.7 RPG · 7.5 APG · 2.0 3PM 14.7% FGA
#2 Anthony Davis F-C 24.6% pts share

26.1 PPG · 9.9 RPG · 1.8 APG · 1.0 3PM 22.4% FGA
#3 Kyshawn George F 18.2% pts share

19.3 PPG · 4.9 RPG · 5.1 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.0% FGA

Detroit Pistons

#1 Cade Cunningham G 19.8% pts share

22.3 PPG · 5.2 RPG · 7.6 APG · 1.9 3PM 20.0% FGA
#2 Duncan Robinson F 16.5% pts share

18.6 PPG · 1.8 RPG · 2.3 APG · 4.2 3PM 13.6% FGA
#3 Daniss Jenkins G 11.3% pts share

12.7 PPG · 3.6 RPG · 4.7 APG · 2.1 3PM 10.8% FGA

Last five games

Washington Wizards

L 101-114 at Indiana Pacers (A) 12 Nov
L 111-122 at Detroit Pistons (A) 10 Nov
L 75-114 at Oklahoma City Thunder (A) 8 Nov
L 132-139 at Atlanta Hawks (A) 7 Nov
L 105-120 vs Atlanta Hawks (H) 5 Nov

Detroit Pistons

W 122-111 vs Washington Wizards (H) 10 Nov
L 116-121 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 8 Nov
L 106-112 vs Philadelphia 76ers (H) 5 Nov
W 124-91 at Charlotte Hornets (A) 3 Nov
W 110-94 at Brooklyn Nets (A) 30 Oct

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

WAS · 3W DET · 7W

Avg total pts: 232.0 WAS avg: 112.5 DET avg: 119.5 225+ pt games: 7/10 WAS at home: 0-4

9 Nov 2026 DET 122‑111 WAS
19 Mar 2026 WAS 95‑117 DET
17 Mar 2026 WAS 117‑130 DET
5 Feb 2026 DET 117‑126 WAS
10 Nov 2025 DET 137‑135 (OT) WAS
13 Mar 2025 DET 125‑129 WAS
11 Mar 2025 DET 123‑103 WAS
17 Nov 2024 WAS 104‑124 DET
29 Mar 2024 WAS 87‑96 DET
27 Jan 2024 DET 104‑118 WAS

Season profile comparison

WAS

DET

Record 4-8 7-3

At home 2-2 3-2

On the road 2-6 4-1

Conference 12 of 15, Eastern Conference 3 of 15, Eastern Conference

Streak Lost 5 in a row –

Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 2

Our team rating #26 of 30 #4 of 30

Pace #19 of 30 #23 of 30

Standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	Home	Road	Streak
12	Washington Wizards	4	8	.333	2-2	2-6	L5
3	Detroit Pistons	7	3	.700	3-2	4-1	–

Other NBA results that day

All results

Times are UTC.