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NBA · Regular season

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns: Preview and Stats

Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Our picks

Our picks for Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Sacramento Kings 9 of 11 right (82%)
  • Phoenix Suns 7 of 11 right (64%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Golden 1 Center
City
Sacramento
Since last match
Sacramento Kings: Oklahoma City Thunder Phoenix Suns: Denver Nuggets
Next match
Sacramento Kings: Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns: Utah Jazz

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Phoenix Suns

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Phoenix Suns

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Sacramento Kings

Projected Starters
  • G Darius Acuff Jr.
    37.5 MPG 27.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 7.7 APG
  • F-C Domantas Sabonis
    34.4 MPG 13.8 PPG 12.8 RPG 5.7 APG
  • G Zach LaVine
    32.6 MPG 21.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G-F De'Andre Hunter
    32.8 MPG 14.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • F Precious Achiuwa
    26.1 MPG 9.9 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Maxime Raynaud
    31.8 MPG 16.3 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Keegan Murray
    24.3 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Emanuel Sharp
    18.2 MPG 4.3 PPG 1.5 RPG 0.7 APG

Phoenix Suns

Projected Starters
  • G Devin Booker
    34.4 MPG 25.8 PPG 2.4 RPG 5.3 APG
  • G-F Dillon Brooks
    30.1 MPG 15.4 PPG 3.8 RPG 2.3 APG
  • F Miles Bridges
    29.9 MPG 15.3 PPG 7.6 RPG 3.4 APG
  • G Jalen Green
    27.4 MPG 12.0 PPG 3.5 RPG 3.1 APG
  • G Collin Gillespie
    24.8 MPG 8.5 PPG 2.3 RPG 4.3 APG
Key Bench
  • F Oso Ighodaro
    23.1 MPG 5.8 PPG 5.4 RPG 3.6 APG
  • C Khaman Maluach
    19.8 MPG 8.3 PPG 6.0 RPG 1.4 APG
  • F Ryan Dunn
    17.2 MPG 5.5 PPG 4.1 RPG 1.3 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Sacramento Kings

#28 of 30
Net rating -5.6 30d: +1.4
Pace: -0.4 (#6 of 30)

Phoenix Suns

#18 of 30
Net rating -1.4 30d: +0.2
Pace: -2.0 (#19 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

Net 19
Shot quality (TS%) 44
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 16
Rebounding control 43
Defensive disruption 31

ORtg 106.1 · DRtg 117.2 · Net -11.1 · TS 57.0%

Phoenix Suns

Net 48
Shot quality (TS%) 56
3PT volume & accuracy 62
Ball security & passing 53
Rebounding control 29
Defensive disruption 48

ORtg 113.0 · DRtg 113.7 · Net -0.7 · TS 58.7%

Sacramento Kings · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 1.9W expected (11 GP)
Phoenix Suns · Record vs point differential Outperforming point differential (close-game luck) 5W actual vs 4.1W expected (11 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Sacramento Kings

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/12 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.9 (52.1%) 2H: 52.3 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-9

Phoenix Suns

Win rate when leading at HT 4/5 (80%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/9 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 55.2 (50.2%) 2H: 54.9 (49.8%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 2-1 10+ pt margins: 2-7

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

SACPHX
Points scored / game 109.5 114.6
Points allowed / game 121.0 115.3
Average game total 230.5 229.9
Average 1st-half total 121.7 113.9
Possessions / 48 min 103.2 101.4
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 7/10
Games with 230+ pts 6/10 5/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 4/10
Scored 115+ pts 3/10 5/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

2 days rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 5

Phoenix Suns

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 1

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Sacramento Kings

  • #1 Darius Acuff Jr. G 25.2% pts share
    27.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 7.7 APG · 3.4 3PM 26.3% FGA
  • #2 Zach LaVine G 19.8% pts share
    21.7 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 2.4 APG · 2.8 3PM 16.4% FGA
  • #3 Domantas Sabonis F-C 12.6% pts share
    13.8 PPG · 12.8 RPG · 5.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 10.0% FGA

Phoenix Suns

  • #1 Devin Booker G 22.5% pts share
    25.8 PPG · 2.4 RPG · 5.3 APG · 2.4 3PM 20.8% FGA
  • #2 Miles Bridges F 13.4% pts share
    15.3 PPG · 7.6 RPG · 3.4 APG · 1.9 3PM 13.7% FGA
  • #3 Dillon Brooks G-F 13.4% pts share
    15.4 PPG · 3.8 RPG · 2.3 APG · 2.1 3PM 14.2% FGA

Last five games

Sacramento Kings

  • L 100-107 vs Orlando Magic (H) 11 Nov
  • L 108-114 vs Miami Heat (H) 9 Nov
  • L 109-124 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-116 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 5 Nov
  • W 115-100 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 3 Nov

Phoenix Suns

  • W 101-96 vs Charlotte Hornets (H) 13 Nov
  • W 133-110 vs LA Clippers (H) 11 Nov
  • L 96-122 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 10 Nov
  • W 102-99 vs Houston Rockets (H) 8 Nov
  • W 117-104 vs Orlando Magic (H) 6 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

SAC · 3W PHX · 7W
Avg total pts: 227.7 SAC avg: 112.2 PHX avg: 115.5 225+ pt games: 6/10 SAC at home: 2-3
  • 3 Mar 2026 SAC 103‑114 PHX
  • 2 Jan 2026 PHX 129‑102 SAC
  • 26 Nov 2025 SAC 100‑112 PHX
  • 22 Oct 2025 PHX 120‑116 SAC
  • 13 Apr 2025 SAC 109‑98 PHX
  • 14 Mar 2025 PHX 122‑106 SAC
  • 13 Nov 2024 SAC 127‑104 PHX
  • 10 Nov 2024 PHX 118‑127 (OT) SAC
  • 12 Apr 2024 SAC 107‑108 PHX
  • 13 Feb 2024 PHX 130‑125 SAC

Season profile comparison

SACPHX
Record 1-10 5-6
At home 0-6 5-3
On the road 1-4 0-3
Conference 14 of 15, Western Conference 11 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 4 in a row Won 2 in a row
Days of rest 2 1
Our team rating #28 of 30 #17 of 30
Pace #6 of 30 #20 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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