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NBA · Regular season

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder: Preview and Stats

Sacramento Kings 1-10
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder 8-4
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Our picks

Our picks for Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

  • Sacramento Kings 9 of 11 right (82%)
  • Oklahoma City Thunder 7 of 12 right (58%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 21 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage
NBA, Regular season
Tip-off
Arena
Golden 1 Center
City
Sacramento
Since last match
Sacramento Kings: Portland Trail Blazers Oklahoma City Thunder: LA Clippers
Next match
Sacramento Kings: Phoenix Suns Oklahoma City Thunder: Atlanta Hawks

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Sacramento Kings

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Sacramento Kings

Projected Starters
  • G Darius Acuff Jr.
    37.5 MPG 27.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 7.7 APG
  • F-C Domantas Sabonis
    34.4 MPG 13.8 PPG 12.8 RPG 5.7 APG
  • G Zach LaVine
    32.6 MPG 21.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 2.4 APG
  • G-F De'Andre Hunter
    32.8 MPG 14.1 PPG 4.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • F Precious Achiuwa
    26.1 MPG 9.9 PPG 6.5 RPG 1.0 APG
Key Bench
  • C Maxime Raynaud
    31.8 MPG 16.3 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
  • F Keegan Murray
    24.3 MPG 11.0 PPG 1.7 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Emanuel Sharp
    18.2 MPG 4.3 PPG 1.5 RPG 0.7 APG

Oklahoma City Thunder

Projected Starters
  • G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
    32.3 MPG 30.7 PPG 4.3 RPG 4.7 APG
  • G Jared McCain
    27.4 MPG 12.8 PPG 4.1 RPG 2.0 APG
  • G Ajay Mitchell
    28.2 MPG 20.8 PPG 3.9 RPG 3.3 APG
  • F-C Isaiah Hartenstein
    26.0 MPG 8.6 PPG 11.2 RPG 3.9 APG
  • C Aday Mara
    23.1 MPG 9.3 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.6 APG
Key Bench
  • G Bennett Stirtz
    22.0 MPG 9.5 PPG 1.4 RPG 1.4 APG
  • G-F Kenrich Williams
    21.5 MPG 7.6 PPG 3.9 RPG 1.3 APG
  • G Alex Caruso
    18.9 MPG 7.4 PPG 4.4 RPG 2.9 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Sacramento Kings

#28 of 30
Net rating -5.6 30d: +1.4
Pace: -0.4 (#6 of 30)

Oklahoma City Thunder

#14 of 30
Net rating -0.2 30d: -8.9
Pace: -1.5 (#16 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

Net 19
Shot quality (TS%) 44
3PT volume & accuracy 50
Ball security & passing 16
Rebounding control 43
Defensive disruption 31

ORtg 106.1 · DRtg 117.2 · Net -11.1 · TS 57.0%

Oklahoma City Thunder

Net 57
Shot quality (TS%) 39
3PT volume & accuracy 37
Ball security & passing 46
Rebounding control 53
Defensive disruption 63

ORtg 110.3 · DRtg 107.7 · Net +2.6 · TS 56.2%

Sacramento Kings · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 1.9W expected (11 GP)
Oklahoma City Thunder · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 7.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Sacramento Kings

Win rate when leading at HT 2/3 (67%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/12 (0%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 56.9 (52.1%) 2H: 52.3 (47.9%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 1-9

Oklahoma City Thunder

Win rate when leading at HT 7/7 (100%)
Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/7 (29%)
Scoring split (1H vs 2H)
1H: 57.3 (52.0%) 2H: 52.9 (48.0%)
Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-0 10+ pt margins: 6-5

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

SACOKC
Points scored / game 109.5 112.1
Points allowed / game 121.0 109.5
Average game total 230.5 221.6
Average 1st-half total 121.7 109.4
Possessions / 48 min 103.2 101.7
Games with 220+ pts 7/10 6/10
Games with 230+ pts 6/10 2/10
Games with 240+ pts 3/10 1/10
Scored 115+ pts 3/10 4/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Sacramento Kings

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 2 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 5

Oklahoma City Thunder

1 day rest
1 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 3

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Sacramento Kings

  • #1 Darius Acuff Jr. G 25.2% pts share
    27.6 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 7.7 APG · 3.4 3PM 26.3% FGA
  • #2 Zach LaVine G 19.8% pts share
    21.7 PPG · 3.2 RPG · 2.4 APG · 2.8 3PM 16.4% FGA
  • #3 Domantas Sabonis F-C 12.6% pts share
    13.8 PPG · 12.8 RPG · 5.7 APG · 0.2 3PM 10.0% FGA

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • #1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G 27.4% pts share
    30.7 PPG · 4.3 RPG · 4.7 APG · 2.1 3PM 25.5% FGA
  • #2 Ajay Mitchell G 18.6% pts share
    20.8 PPG · 3.9 RPG · 3.3 APG · 1.0 3PM 16.9% FGA
  • #3 Jared McCain G 11.4% pts share
    12.8 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 2.0 APG · 1.7 3PM 13.5% FGA

Last five games

Sacramento Kings

  • L 100-107 vs Orlando Magic (H) 11 Nov
  • L 108-114 vs Miami Heat (H) 9 Nov
  • L 109-124 vs San Antonio Spurs (H) 7 Nov
  • L 103-116 vs Los Angeles Lakers (H) 5 Nov
  • W 115-100 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 3 Nov

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • L 108-118 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 12 Nov
  • L 103-123 at Portland Trail Blazers (A) 11 Nov
  • W 114-75 vs Washington Wizards (H) 8 Nov
  • W 128-97 at Memphis Grizzlies (A) 7 Nov
  • W 124-116 vs Cleveland Cavaliers (H) 5 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

SAC · 2W OKC · 8W
Avg total pts: 228.3 SAC avg: 107.6 OKC avg: 120.7 225+ pt games: 6/10 SAC at home: 2-3
  • 19 Nov 2025 OKC 113‑99 SAC
  • 7 Nov 2025 SAC 101‑132 OKC
  • 28 Oct 2025 OKC 107‑101 SAC
  • 25 Mar 2025 SAC 105‑121 OKC
  • 1 Feb 2025 OKC 144‑110 SAC
  • 25 Nov 2024 SAC 109‑130 OKC
  • 9 Apr 2024 OKC 112‑105 SAC
  • 11 Feb 2024 OKC 127‑113 SAC
  • 14 Dec 2023 SAC 128‑123 OKC
  • 10 Nov 2023 SAC 105‑98 OKC

Season profile comparison

SACOKC
Record 1-10 8-4
At home 0-6 5-0
On the road 1-4 3-4
Conference 14 of 15, Western Conference 7 of 15, Western Conference
Streak Lost 4 in a row Lost 2 in a row
Days of rest 1 1
Our team rating #28 of 30 #14 of 30
Pace #6 of 30 #16 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings
# Team W L PCT GB Home Road L10 Streak
1 Los Angeles Lakers 11 2 .846 – 5-1 6-1 8-2 W7
2 San Antonio Spurs 10 2 .833 0.5 4-2 6-0 10-0 W10
3 Houston Rockets 9 3 .750 1.5 6-1 3-2 7-3 W2
4 Minnesota Timberwolves 9 3 .750 1.5 5-1 4-2 7-3 W5
5 Portland Trail Blazers 8 3 .727 2.0 3-2 5-1 7-3 W2
6 Golden State Warriors 8 4 .667 2.5 6-1 2-3 8-2 L1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder 8 4 .667 2.5 5-0 3-4 6-4 L2
8 Memphis Grizzlies 7 4 .636 3.0 2-4 5-0 6-4 L1
9 Denver Nuggets 6 4 .600 3.5 3-2 3-2 6-4 W1
10 Dallas Mavericks 7 5 .583 3.5 5-2 2-3 6-4 L1
11 Phoenix Suns 5 6 .455 5.0 5-3 0-3 5-5 W2
12 New Orleans Pelicans 4 8 .333 6.5 3-4 1-4 4-6 L4
13 LA Clippers 2 8 .200 7.5 2-3 0-5 2-8 L1
14 Sacramento Kings 1 10 .091 9.0 0-6 1-4 1-9 L4
15 Utah Jazz 1 11 .083 9.5 1-6 0-5 0-10 L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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