NBA · Regular season

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors: Preview and Stats

Thursday 19 November 2026, 02:30 UTC American Airlines Center, Dallas

Our picks

Our picks for Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors come out after the official NBA injury report, at most 48 hours before tip-off, and at the latest Wednesday 18 November 2026, 23:30 UTC (3 hours before tip-off).

We are waiting for the result of a team's previous game.

Our NBA model track record for this matchup

Our winner picks on these teams

Dallas Mavericks 8 of 12 right (67%)
Golden State Warriors 9 of 12 right (75%)

Settled NBA winner picks since 22 Oct 2026.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season
Tip-off: Thursday 19 November 2026, 02:30 UTC
Arena: American Airlines Center
City: Dallas
Since last match: Dallas Mavericks: Boston Celtics Golden State Warriors: New Orleans Pelicans
Next match: Dallas Mavericks: LA Clippers Golden State Warriors: Memphis Grizzlies

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Official NBA injury report

Dallas Mavericks

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Golden State Warriors

Official NBA injury report not yet filed for this matchup.

Expected 8-man core rotation

Projected starters and key bench from recent usage and the official injury report.

Dallas Mavericks

Projected Starters

F Cooper Flagg

35.4 MPG 25.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 7.1 APG
F P.J. Washington

32.4 MPG 14.1 PPG 7.0 RPG 1.1 APG
G Kyrie Irving

31.6 MPG 22.1 PPG 3.4 RPG 4.8 APG
F Zaccharie Risacher

23.3 MPG 8.5 PPG 4.8 RPG 1.5 APG
F-C Daniel Gafford

22.2 MPG 10.3 PPG 5.8 RPG 1.7 APG

Key Bench

F Naji Marshall

22.7 MPG 10.1 PPG 2.7 RPG 4.0 APG
G Walter Clayton Jr.

18.7 MPG 7.7 PPG 3.2 RPG 3.8 APG
F Caleb Martin

18.8 MPG 4.0 PPG 2.2 RPG 1.8 APG

Golden State Warriors

Projected Starters

G Brandin Podziemski

33.6 MPG 17.2 PPG 5.4 RPG 4.3 APG
F Yaxel Lendeborg

31.9 MPG 23.0 PPG 7.3 RPG 3.6 APG
F-C Draymond Green

27.1 MPG 3.1 PPG 5.0 RPG 7.6 APG
G Stephen Curry

26.8 MPG 28.9 PPG 4.1 RPG 4.2 APG
G Moses Moody

31.1 MPG 17.4 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG

Key Bench

G De'Anthony Melton

22.8 MPG 11.1 PPG 4.8 RPG 2.6 APG
F Jimmy Butler III

29.7 MPG 21.0 PPG 0.0 RPG 0.0 APG
F Georges Niang

21.1 MPG 8.5 PPG 3.2 RPG 1.6 APG

OptimaGoal power & pace ratings

Full NBA power ratings

Neutral-court net point rating and 48-minute tempo rank across all 30 NBA franchises.

Dallas Mavericks

#17 of 30

Net rating -1.4 30d: +3.0

Pace: -0.2 (#5 of 30)

Golden State Warriors

#10 of 30

Net rating +2.0 30d: +5.0

Pace: -2.3 (#24 of 30)

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Dallas Mavericks

Net 54

Shot quality (TS%) 43

3PT volume & accuracy 42

Ball security & passing 28

Rebounding control 58

Defensive disruption 59

ORtg 110.0 · DRtg 108.6 · Net +1.4 · TS 56.8%

Golden State Warriors

Net 83

Shot quality (TS%) 82

3PT volume & accuracy 85

Ball security & passing 33

Rebounding control 60

Defensive disruption 61

ORtg 119.3 · DRtg 107.7 · Net +11.6 · TS 62.4%

Dallas Mavericks · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 7W actual vs 6.4W expected (12 GP)

Golden State Warriors · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 8W actual vs 8.6W expected (12 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Dallas Mavericks

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/9 (22%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 58.0 (50.2%) 2H: 57.6 (49.8%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 3-2 10+ pt margins: 5-5

Golden State Warriors

Win rate when leading at HT 5/5 (100%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 2/8 (25%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 55.5 (47.2%) 2H: 62.1 (52.8%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 4-2 10+ pt margins: 5-2

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

DAL

GSW

Points scored / game 112.7 121.9

Points allowed / game 111.3 110.0

Average game total 224.0 231.9

Average 1st-half total 114.5 109.9

Possessions / 48 min 102.5 101.1

Games with 220+ pts 7/10 9/10

Games with 230+ pts 1/10 5/10

Games with 240+ pts 1/10 3/10

Scored 115+ pts 4/10 8/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Dallas Mavericks

2 days rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 1

Golden State Warriors

1 day rest

1 in 4 nights 1 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 2

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Dallas Mavericks

#1 Cooper Flagg F 22.2% pts share

25.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 7.1 APG · 1.3 3PM 21.0% FGA
#2 Kyrie Irving G 19.6% pts share

22.1 PPG · 3.4 RPG · 4.8 APG · 3.2 3PM 19.7% FGA
#3 Naji Marshall F 9.0% pts share

10.1 PPG · 2.7 RPG · 4.0 APG · 0.9 3PM 9.4% FGA

Golden State Warriors

#1 Stephen Curry G 23.7% pts share

28.9 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 4.2 APG · 4.8 3PM 18.8% FGA
#2 Yaxel Lendeborg F 18.9% pts share

23.0 PPG · 7.3 RPG · 3.6 APG · 2.7 3PM 17.1% FGA
#3 Brandin Podziemski G 14.1% pts share

17.2 PPG · 5.4 RPG · 4.3 APG · 3.0 3PM 14.4% FGA

Last five games

Dallas Mavericks

L 94-133 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 13 Nov
W 125-122 vs Indiana Pacers (H) 10 Nov
W 130-93 vs Brooklyn Nets (H) 9 Nov
W 112-100 vs Utah Jazz (H) 7 Nov
L 111-112 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 5 Nov

Golden State Warriors

L 108-115 at Houston Rockets (A) 12 Nov
W 138-87 vs New Orleans Pelicans (H) 10 Nov
W 126-119 vs Orlando Magic (H) 8 Nov
W 120-100 vs Miami Heat (H) 6 Nov
W 116-113 vs Phoenix Suns (H) 3 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

DAL · 5W GSW · 5W

Avg total pts: 233.3 DAL avg: 116.0 GSW avg: 117.3 225+ pt games: 6/10 DAL at home: 4-1

23 Mar 2026 DAL 131‑137 (OT) GSW
22 Jan 2026 DAL 123‑115 GSW
25 Dec 2025 GSW 126‑116 DAL
23 Feb 2025 GSW 126‑102 DAL
12 Feb 2025 DAL 111‑107 GSW
15 Dec 2024 GSW 133‑143 DAL
12 Nov 2024 GSW 120‑117 DAL
5 Apr 2024 DAL 108‑106 GSW
2 Apr 2024 GSW 104‑100 DAL
13 Mar 2024 DAL 109‑99 GSW

Season profile comparison

DAL

GSW

Record 7-5 8-4

At home 5-2 6-1

On the road 2-3 2-3

Conference 10 of 15, Western Conference 6 of 15, Western Conference

Streak – –

Days of rest 2 1

Our team rating #18 of 30 #10 of 30

Pace #5 of 30 #24 of 30

Western Conference standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	GB	Home	Road	L10	Streak
1	Los Angeles Lakers	11	2	.846	–	5-1	6-1	8-2	W7
2	San Antonio Spurs	10	2	.833	0.5	4-2	6-0	10-0	W10
3	Houston Rockets	9	3	.750	1.5	6-1	3-2	7-3	W2
4	Minnesota Timberwolves	9	3	.750	1.5	5-1	4-2	7-3	W5
5	Portland Trail Blazers	8	3	.727	2.0	3-2	5-1	7-3	W2
6	Golden State Warriors	8	4	.667	2.5	6-1	2-3	8-2	L1
7	Oklahoma City Thunder	8	4	.667	2.5	5-0	3-4	6-4	L2
8	Memphis Grizzlies	7	4	.636	3.0	2-4	5-0	6-4	L1
9	Denver Nuggets	6	4	.600	3.5	3-2	3-2	6-4	W1
10	Dallas Mavericks	7	5	.583	3.5	5-2	2-3	6-4	L1
11	Phoenix Suns	5	6	.455	5.0	5-3	0-3	5-5	W2
12	New Orleans Pelicans	4	8	.333	6.5	3-4	1-4	4-6	L4
13	LA Clippers	2	8	.200	7.5	2-3	0-5	2-8	L1
14	Sacramento Kings	1	10	.091	9.0	0-6	1-4	1-9	L4
15	Utah Jazz	1	11	.083	9.5	1-6	0-5	0-10	L10

Solid cut lines mark Top 6 (direct Play-offs) and Top 10 (Play-in Tournament).

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