NBA · Regular season

Utah Jazz 108-123 Orlando Magic: Result, Game Stats and Our Prediction

Utah Jazz 1-10

108-123Final

Orlando Magic 3-7

Thursday 12 November 2026, 02:00 UTC Delta Center, Salt Lake City

Our picks

Winner Orlando Magic

Model probability Utah Jazz 41% Orlando Magic 59%
First half Orlando Magic ahead

Model probability Utah Jazz 42% Tie 3% Orlando Magic 55%
Total points Below the league average(league average 231.5)

Model probability Over 221.5 47%Over 231.5 27%Over 241.5 13%
Utah Jazz points Below the league average(league average 115.5)

Model probability Over 109.5 47%Over 115.5 28%Over 121.5 14%
Orlando Magic points Below the league average(league average 115.5)

Model probability Over 109.5 56%Over 115.5 36%Over 121.5 19%

Projected game flow & score range

Coarse model projection bands and tempo profile — exact points unlock with full probabilities.

Projected score band

UTA 104–110 In range

ORL 108–114

Game script Close / clutch finish

1st-half scoring Measured 1st half 1H avg 116.5

Key model decision drivers

Primary factors shaping our winner and total-points projections.

Orlando Magic hold the stronger net team & lineup rating Notable edge
Utah Jazz shorthanded on the official injury report Slight edge
Home-court advantage for Utah Jazz Minor offset
Half-court tempo projects fewer possessions than average Strong under drag

Players

PTSREBAST

Ace Bailey Over 12.5 64% Under 6.5 69% Over 1.5 60% F · 31.7 MPG PRA: Over 20.5 ★ Top lean: REB

Jaxson Hayes Under 8.5 52% Under 5.5 60% Under 1.5 60% F-C · 24.5 MPG PRA: Under 15.5

Darryn Peterson Over 15.5 53% Under 4.5 61% Over 3.5 58% G · 30.7 MPG PRA: Over 23.5

Wendell Carter Jr. Under 14.5 60% Under 9.5 64% Over 1.5 54% F-C · 33.4 MPG PRA: Under 25.5

Desmond Bane Over 17.5 57% Under 4.5 58% Over 2.5 57% G · 35.0 MPG PRA: Over 24.5

Franz Wagner Under 22.5 54% Under 6.5 62% Under 8.5 79% F · 36.6 MPG PRA: Under 37.5 ★ Top lean: AST

Over or under each player's season average (the line), for the three players a side we expect to play the most minutes.

All probabilities

Winning margin

Expected Orlando Magic 2.5

Total points220.1

Points per team

Utah Jazz108.7

Orlando Magic111.3

Total points

Over 221.5 / Under 221.547% · 53%

Over 231.5 / Under 231.527% · 73%

Over 241.5 / Under 241.513% · 87%

Utah Jazz points

Over 109.5 / Under 109.547% · 53%

Over 115.5 / Under 115.528% · 72%

Over 121.5 / Under 121.514% · 86%

Orlando Magic points

Over 109.5 / Under 109.556% · 44%

Over 115.5 / Under 115.536% · 64%

Over 121.5 / Under 121.519% · 81%

First-half points

Expected111.1

Over 110.5 / Under 110.552% · 48%

Over 116.5 / Under 116.533% · 67%

Over 122.5 / Under 122.518% · 82%

Why this pick?

Our model goes with an Orlando Magic win because it rates them slightly stronger than the Utah Jazz, taking in team results and the players expected to play. The strongest point against is home court, with the game in Salt Lake City, the one thing on Utah's side. It does not carry enough: the Jazz injury report has Lauri Markkanen and Jaren Jackson Jr. out and Keyonte George questionable, and Utah arrive at 1‑10 with five straight losses. Those reasons clearly outweigh it, and with both teams on the second night of a back-to-back, the call is narrow.

Total points: Both teams play at a slower pace than a typical NBA game, and that is the strongest pull on the total. The absences on the injury report trim expected scoring a little further, so the total points sit below the league average.

Game details

Stage: NBA, Regular season
Tip-off: Thursday 12 November 2026, 02:00 UTC
Arena: Delta Center
City: Salt Lake City
Since last match: Utah Jazz: Miami Heat (109‑115) Orlando Magic: Sacramento Kings (100‑107)
Next match: Utah Jazz: Houston Rockets Orlando Magic: Milwaukee Bucks

Missing production & availability impact

Share of last 10 games' offensive creation (PTS + AST) and minutes sidelined.

Utah Jazz

Moderate absence load

Missing offense14.2%

Missing minutes11.7%

4 Out / Doubtful 1 starter out 1 GTD

Key sidelined

Lauri Markkanen, Jaren Jackson Jr., Jusuf Nurkić

Orlando Magic

Low absence load

Missing offense8.3%

Missing minutes6.9%

5 Out / Doubtful 2 GTD

Key sidelined

Paolo Banchero, Jalen Suggs

Official NBA injury report

Utah Jazz

Out Lauri Markkanen F-C Injury · 18.0 PPG · 30.1 MPG
Out Jusuf Nurkić C Injury · 12.4 PPG · 28.4 MPG
Out Jaren Jackson Jr. F-C Injury · 16.7 PPG · 25.3 MPG
Out Trey Alexander G G League · 5.2 PPG · 12.3 MPG
Questionable Keyonte George G Injury · 21.0 PPG · 32.4 MPG

Orlando Magic

Out Paolo Banchero F Injury · 24.5 PPG · 33.5 MPG
Out Jalen Suggs G Injury · 8.0 PPG · 33.3 MPG
Out Jonathan Isaac F Injury · 1.5 PPG · 8.8 MPG
Out Noah Penda G-F Injury · 0.7 PPG · 6.1 MPG
Out Izaiyah Nelson Injury
Questionable Tristan da Silva F Injury · 15.1 PPG · 30.4 MPG
Questionable Jamal Cain F Injury · 7.0 PPG · 19.5 MPG

The report of 11 Nov, 20:00 (US Eastern time), players with real minutes only.

Game rotation & box-score minutes

Top 8 rotation players by minutes played in this game.

Utah Jazz

	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	+/-
Darryn Peterson G	33	22	4	5	2	-9
Keyonte George G	33	13	7	7	2	-3
Ace Bailey F	31	18	7	2	3	-9
Jaxson Hayes F-C	30	11	8	0	0	-13
Josh Green G	26	3	2	1	1	-15
Brice Sensabaugh F	23	19	3	1	3	-24
Svi Mykhailiuk G-F	20	3	0	2	1	-1
Mo Bamba C	18	5	1	1	0	-2

Orlando Magic

	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	+/-
Franz Wagner F	39	38	8	1	3	+10
Anthony Black G	39	22	7	8	3	+19
Desmond Bane G	34	25	3	2	7	+16
Jevon Carter G	28	11	3	4	3	+24
Wendell Carter Jr. F-C	28	9	7	3	0	+2
Jase Richardson G	20	6	1	2	1	+4
Goga Bitadze F-C	20	4	7	0	0	+13
Alex Morales G	18	5	4	3	1	-16

OptimaGoal tactical & efficiency profile (0–100)

Original 0–100 indices built from each team's last 10 played games before tip-off.

Utah Jazz

Net 22

Shot quality (TS%) 23

3PT volume & accuracy 38

Ball security & passing 15

Rebounding control 58

Defensive disruption 59

ORtg 102.1 · DRtg 112.0 · Net -9.9 · TS 53.9%

Orlando Magic

Net 29

Shot quality (TS%) 37

3PT volume & accuracy 50

Ball security & passing 15

Rebounding control 56

Defensive disruption 39

ORtg 105.0 · DRtg 112.5 · Net -7.5 · TS 55.9%

Utah Jazz · Record vs point differential Stronger profile than W-L (bounce candidate) 1W actual vs 2.2W expected (11 GP)

Orlando Magic · Record vs point differential W-L record aligned with point differential 3W actual vs 2.8W expected (10 GP)

Halftime splits & clutch profile

Game-state outcomes and half-by-half scoring share over the last 15 games.

Utah Jazz

Win rate when leading at HT 2/4 (50%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 0/10 (0%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 54.9 (49.2%) 2H: 56.7 (50.8%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 1-3 10+ pt margins: 1-8

Orlando Magic

Win rate when leading at HT 4/5 (80%)

Comeback wins when trailing at HT 1/10 (10%)

Scoring split (1H vs 2H)

1H: 54.3 (52.2%) 2H: 49.7 (47.8%)

Clutch (≤5 pts / OT): 0-1 10+ pt margins: 0-6

Pace & total-points trends

Scoring environment and threshold hit counts across the last 10 games.

UTA

ORL

Points scored / game 106.8 107.0

Points allowed / game 117.1 114.6

Average game total 223.9 221.6

Average 1st-half total 110.3 112.2

Possessions / 48 min 102.4 100.8

Games with 220+ pts 5/10 5/10

Games with 230+ pts 3/10 3/10

Games with 240+ pts 1/10 2/10

Scored 115+ pts 2/10 3/10

Schedule density & travel spot

Rest days, multi-game compression and current home/road stretch entering tip-off.

Utah Jazz

0 days (Back-to-back)

3 in 4 nights 4 in 6 nights Homestand · Game 2

Orlando Magic

0 days (Back-to-back)

2 in 4 nights 3 in 6 nights Road trip · Game 4

Primary offensive threats

Available rotation leaders by scoring and shot share over the last 10 games.

Utah Jazz

#1 Keyonte George G GTD 19.7% pts share

21.0 PPG · 4.4 RPG · 6.6 APG · 1.6 3PM 18.1% FGA
#2 Darryn Peterson G 15.4% pts share

16.4 PPG · 4.0 RPG · 3.9 APG · 2.3 3PM 16.3% FGA
#3 Ace Bailey F 12.2% pts share

13.0 PPG · 6.8 RPG · 1.8 APG · 1.3 3PM 13.2% FGA

Orlando Magic

#1 Franz Wagner F 20.6% pts share

22.0 PPG · 6.4 RPG · 8.6 APG · 1.1 3PM 21.3% FGA
#2 Anthony Black G 16.0% pts share

17.1 PPG · 5.9 RPG · 5.1 APG · 2.0 3PM 14.0% FGA
#3 Desmond Bane G 16.1% pts share

17.2 PPG · 4.1 RPG · 2.4 APG · 3.6 3PM 17.1% FGA

Last five games

Utah Jazz

L 109-115 vs Miami Heat (H) 11 Nov
L 100-115 at Minnesota Timberwolves (A) 9 Nov
L 100-112 at Dallas Mavericks (A) 7 Nov
L 113-120 at New Orleans Pelicans (A) 5 Nov
L 97-119 at San Antonio Spurs (A) 3 Nov

Orlando Magic

W 107-100 at Sacramento Kings (A) 11 Nov
L 119-126 at Golden State Warriors (A) 8 Nov
L 104-117 at Phoenix Suns (A) 6 Nov
L 94-103 vs Washington Wizards (H) 3 Nov
L 97-108 vs Boston Celtics (H) 1 Nov

Most recent first, all games of the season, overtime included.

Last 10 head-to-head meetings

UTA · 5W ORL · 5W

Avg total pts: 224.6 UTA avg: 113.9 ORL avg: 110.7 225+ pt games: 4/10 UTA at home: 3-2

7 Feb 2026 ORL 120‑117 UTA
20 Dec 2025 UTA 127‑128 (OT) ORL
1 Feb 2025 UTA 113‑99 ORL
5 Jan 2025 ORL 92‑105 UTA
29 Feb 2024 ORL 115‑107 UTA
2 Nov 2023 UTA 113‑115 ORL
9 Mar 2023 ORL 124‑131 UTA
13 Jan 2023 UTA 112‑108 ORL
11 Feb 2022 UTA 114‑99 ORL
7 Nov 2021 ORL 107‑100 UTA

Season profile comparison

UTA

ORL

Record 1-10 3-7

At home 1-5 0-4

On the road 0-5 3-3

Conference 15 of 15, Western Conference 10 of 15, Eastern Conference

Streak Lost 5 in a row –

Days of rest 0 (second night of a back-to-back) 0 (second night of a back-to-back)

Our team rating #29 of 30 #23 of 30

Pace #15 of 30 #18 of 30

Standings

Full NBA standings

#	Team	W	L	PCT	Home	Road	Streak
15	Utah Jazz	1	10	.091	1-5	0-5	L5
10	Orlando Magic	3	7	.300	0-4	3-3	–

Other NBA results that day

All results

Times are UTC.